Premier League · Regular Season - 31 March 20, 2026 21:00 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Bournemouth

#6 · 57 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Manchester United

#3 · 71 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester United a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Bournemouth 31%). The final result was Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester United. In 1 previous meetings, Bournemouth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Manchester United.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

5

1.56

Actual xG

1.77

55%

Possession

45%

6

Corners

8

Pre-match prediction

31.89%

Bournemouth

30.26%

X ←

37.85%

Manchester

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.26% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Bournemouth

0.93

1.56

+0.63

Manchester

1.37

1.77

+0.4

xG dominance was balanced (1.56 – 1.77). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Arsenal	38	85
2	Manchester City	38	78
3	Manchester United	38	71
4	Aston Villa	38	65
5	Liverpool	38	60
6	Bournemouth	38	57
7	Sunderland	38	54
8	Brighton	38	53
9	Brentford	38	53
10	Chelsea	38	52
11	Fulham	38	52
12	Newcastle	38	49
13	Everton	38	49
14	Leeds	38	47
15	Crystal Palace	38	45
16	Nottingham Forest	38	44
17	Tottenham	38	41
18	West Ham	38	39
19	Burnley	38	22
20	Wolves	38	20