Bournemouth - Plzen
Europa League
December 10, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.98%
Win
Bournemouth
27.04%
Draw
30.99%
Win
Plzen
2.17
1.58
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.75%)
1X2 Result
1
42%
X
27%
2
31%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
69%
X2
58%
12
73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
64%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bournemouth a 41% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Plzen. Expected goals are 2.2 for Bournemouth and 1.6 for Plzen (total 3.8), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.75% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
4W
7D
2L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.2
1.0
Conceded
1.0
3.0
Shots OT
4.7
3.0
Corners
4.5
46%
Poss.
43%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
69%
100%
O 2.5
46%
100%
BTTS
46%
0%
Clean Sht
38%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Bournemouth
Plzen →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Bournemouth
Attack
45
Defence
63
Form
47
Plzen
Attack
42
Defence
62
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bournemouth vs Plzen?
The model gives Bournemouth a 41% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 30% for an Plzen win.
How many goals are expected in Bournemouth vs Plzen?
Expected goals: Bournemouth 2.2, Plzen 1.6 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Bournemouth vs Plzen?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.75%.