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Premier League · Regular Season - 7 October 18, 2026 15:00 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Bournemouth
#13 · 9 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Sunderland
#20 · 5 pts
Marcus Tavernier (ast. Francisco Evanilson) 6'
Francisco Evanilson 48'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bournemouth a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Sunderland 31%). The final result was Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland. In 2 previous meetings, Bournemouth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Sunderland.

Match statistics
29
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
0
4.53
Actual xG
0.13
0
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
5
Corners
3
11
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Marcus Tavernier · ast. Francisco Evanilson
6'
17'
Kevin Danso
Antonio Silva
26'
40'
Omar Alderete
Lewis Cook
45'+6
⚽Francisco Evanilson
48'
59'
Habib Diarra / Timur Tutierov ↕
59'
Luke O'Nien / Omar Alderete ↕
↕ Lewis Cook / Justin Kluivert
62'
65'
Chris Rigg
65'
Jules Ahoka / Chris Rigg ↕
Ryan Christie
79'
↕ Francisco Evanilson / Álvaro Rodríguez
79'
↕ Marcus Tavernier / Amine Adli
79'
↕ Tyler Adams / Bafode Diakite
89'
↕ Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha / Ben Gannon-Doak
89'
Pre-match prediction
38.92%
Bournemouth ←
29.7%
X
31.38%
Sunderland
we assigned to the actual result (Bournemouth) 38.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bournemouth
1.41
4.53
+3.12
Sunderland
1.16
0.13
-1.03
Bournemouth dominated by xG (4.53 vs 0.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Bournemouth Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
1 Đ. Petrović Đ. Petrović G 6.17
3 A. Truffert A. Truffert D 7.34
14 António Silva António Silva D 7.44
5 J. Hill J. Hill D 7.92
15 A. Smith A. Smith D 7.31
10 R. Christie R. Christie M 6.80
12 T. Adams T. Adams 89' M 6.93
16 M. Tavernier M. Tavernier 1 ⚽ 79' M 8.01
4 L. Cook L. Cook 62' M 7.17
37 Rayan Rayan 89' M 6.97
9 Evanilson Evanilson 1 ⚽ 1 👟 79' F 9.00
Bench
21 A. Adli A. Adli 11' F 6.44
30 Á. Rodríguez Á. Rodríguez 11' F 6.44
18 B. Diakité B. Diakité 1' D 6.96
11 B. Doak B. Doak 1' F 6.61
7 D. Brooks D. Brooks M 0.00
19 J. Kluivert J. Kluivert 28' F 6.47
6 J. Soler J. Soler D 0.00
24 Juanlu Sánchez Juanlu Sánchez M 0.00
20 M. Di Gregorio M. Di Gregorio G 0.00
Sunderland Sunderland 4-2-3-1
22 R. Roefs R. Roefs G 5.80
17 Reinildo Reinildo D 6.12
15 O. Alderete O. Alderete 59' D 5.10
4 K. Danso K. Danso 17' D 5.12
20 N. Mukiele N. Mukiele D 5.45
27 N. Sadiki N. Sadiki M 6.40
34 G. Xhaka G. Xhaka M 6.27
28 E. Le Fée E. Le Fée M 6.16
11 C. Rigg C. Rigg 65' M 5.98
32 T. Hume T. Hume M 5.57
57 Timur Tuterov Timur Tuterov 59' F 6.22
Bench
7 C. Talbi C. Talbi F 0.00
6 D. Methalie D. Methalie D 0.00
19 H. Diarra H. Diarra 31' M 5.90
50 J. Angulo J. Angulo F 0.00
29 Jules Ahoka Jules Ahoka 25' M 6.06
13 L. O'Nien L. O'Nien 31' M 6.05
31 M. Ellborg M. Ellborg G 0.00
39 M. Fofana M. Fofana F 0.00
10 N. Angulo N. Angulo F 0.00
Best on the pitch
Evanilson
Evanilson
F · Bournemouth
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots · 18 pass
M. Tavernier
M. Tavernier
M · Bournemouth
8.01
1 ⚽
3 shots · 41 pass
J. Hill
J. Hill
D · Bournemouth
7.92
2 shots · 77 pass
António Silva
António Silva
D · Bournemouth
7.44
· 84 pass
A. Truffert
A. Truffert
D · Bournemouth
7.34
1 shots · 55 pass
A. Smith
A. Smith
D · Bournemouth
7.31
1 shots · 50 pass
Bournemouth Bournemouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Đ. Petrović G 90 6.17 — — 0 28 17% 0 — —
A. Truffert D 90 7.34 — — 1 55 47% 0 — —
António Silva D 90 7.44 — — 0 84 77% 1 1 —
J. Hill D 90 7.92 — — 2 77 63% 2 — —
A. Smith D 90 7.31 — — 1 50 45% 0 — —
R. Christie M 90 6.80 — — 3 39 27% 1 1 —
T. Adams M 89 6.93 — — 1 64 57% 1 — —
M. Tavernier M 79 8.01 1 — 3 41 31% 0 — —
L. Cook M 62 7.17 — — 1 32 27% 2 1 —
Rayan M 89 6.97 — — 7 28 23% 1 — —
Evanilson F 79 9.00 1 1 6 18 13% 2 — —
A. Adli F 11 6.44 — — 1 12 11% 0 — —
Á. Rodríguez F 11 6.44 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
B. Diakité D 1 6.96 — — 0 11 11% 0 — —
B. Doak F 1 6.61 — — 0 10 10% 0 — —
J. Kluivert F 28 6.47 — — 3 12 10% 1 — —
Sunderland Sunderland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Roefs G 90 5.80 — — 0 40 13% 0 — —
Reinildo D 90 6.12 — — 0 25 20% 1 — —
O. Alderete D 59 5.10 — — 0 22 12% 0 1 —
K. Danso D 17 5.12 — — 1 11 9% 0 — 1
N. Mukiele D 90 5.45 — — 0 25 13% 1 — —
N. Sadiki M 90 6.40 — — 0 30 27% 0 — —
G. Xhaka M 90 6.27 — — 0 52 34% 2 — —
E. Le Fée M 90 6.16 — — 1 29 22% 3 — —
C. Rigg M 65 5.98 — — 0 13 11% 2 1 —
T. Hume M 90 5.57 — — 1 26 16% 0 — —
Timur Tuterov F 59 6.22 — — 0 7 3% 1 — —
H. Diarra M 31 5.90 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
Jules Ahoka M 25 6.06 — — 0 7 3% 0 — —
L. O'Nien M 31 6.05 — — 0 11 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
The final score was Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland.
What did the model predict before Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Bournemouth win, 29% to a draw, and 31% to an Sunderland win.