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Brackley Town - Chelmsford City

FA Cup October 03, 2026 16:00
Brackley Town
vs
Chelmsford City
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.09%
Win
Brackley Town
28.88%
Draw
45.03%
Win
Chelmsford City
0.77
Expected xG
1.32

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (13.75%)
1X2 Result
1 26%
X 29%
2 45%
Double Chance
1X 55%
X2 74%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chelmsford City a 45% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Brackley Town. Expected goals are 0.8 for Brackley Town and 1.3 for Chelmsford City (total 2.1), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.75% probability.

Season Stats

Brackley Town
2W 2D 1L
Chelmsford City
5W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
2.8
1.6
Conceded
1.2
3.0
Shots OT
6.0
4.5
Corners
3.0
38%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
83%
60%
O 2.5
67%
80%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
38%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
Brackley Town
2W 1D 1L · at home
Chelmsford City
2W 0D 0L · away
2.5
gls/g
1.5
1.8
Conceded
0.5
50%
Win %
100%
75%
Win or Draw
100%
75%
O 1.5
50%
75%
O 2.5
50%
75%
O 3.5
0%
75%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Brackley Town Chelmsford City →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4% 16.4% 10.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.5% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.6% 4.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Brackley Town Brackley Town
W AFC Portchester 1–0
L Burton Albion 1–3
D Notts County 2–2
W Woking 6–2
D Woking 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
Chelmsford City Chelmsford City
W Canvey Island 0–1
L Weston-super-Mare 0–2
W Braintree 4–1
W Chippenham Town 4–3
W Alvechurch 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Brackley Town Brackley Town
Attack
19
Defence
56
Form
47
Chelmsford City Chelmsford City
Attack
29
Defence
78
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Brackley Town vs Chelmsford City?
The model gives Brackley Town a 26% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 45% for an Chelmsford City win.
How many goals are expected in Brackley Town vs Chelmsford City?
Expected goals: Brackley Town 0.8, Chelmsford City 1.3 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in Brackley Town vs Chelmsford City?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.75%.