League One
· Semi-finals
May 14, 2026 21:00
81'
X. Simons
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bradford a 39% win probability (draw 25%, Bolton 34%). The final result was Bradford 0–1 Bolton. In 3 previous meetings, Bradford have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Bolton.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
2
0.47
Actual xG
0.73
1
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
8
Corners
3
14
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
43'
M. Conway
/
E. Toal
C. Tilt
/ T. Wright
46'
B. Pointon
/ S. Humphrys
61'
J. Metcalfe
/ G. Lapslie
61'
J. Wright
/ N. Powell
62'
65'
T. Gale
/
I. Cissoko
65'
S. Dalby
/
R. Rodrigues
76'
X. Simons
/
E. Erhahon
76'
J. McAtee
/
M. Burstow
81'
X. Simons⚽
A. Baldwin
90'+1
M. Power
/ W. Swan
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
39.22%
Bradford
25.97%
X
34.81%
Bolton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bolton)
34.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
0.47
-0.83
1.21
0.73
-0.48
xG dominance was balanced (0.47 – 0.73).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Sam Walker
G
Sam Walker
G
26
C. Tilt
45'
D
C. Tilt
45'
D
4
Joe Wright
62'
D
Joe Wright
62'
D
15
A. Baldwin
D
A. Baldwin
D
3
Ibou Touray
M
Ibou Touray
M
6
M. Power
M
M. Power
M
21
Jenson Metcalfe
61'
M
Jenson Metcalfe
61'
M
7
Josh Neufville
M
Josh Neufville
M
23
Bobby Pointon
61'
F
Bobby Pointon
61'
F
10
Antoni Sarcevic
F
Antoni Sarcevic
F
19
Kayden Jackson
F
Kayden Jackson
F
Bench
32
George Lapslie
36'
M
George Lapslie
36'
M
25
Joe Hilton
G
Joe Hilton
G
28
Matthew Pennington
D
Matthew Pennington
D
22
Nick Powell
35'
M
Nick Powell
35'
M
11
Stephen Humphrys
36'
F
Stephen Humphrys
36'
F
17
Tyreik Wright
52'
F
Tyreik Wright
52'
F
24
Will Swan
5'
F
Will Swan
5'
F
1
Jack Bonham
G
Jack Bonham
G
6
George Johnston
D
George Johnston
D
3
Chris Forino
D
Chris Forino
D
18
Eoin Toal
43'
D
Eoin Toal
43'
D
14
J. Osei-Tutu
D
J. Osei-Tutu
D
21
Ethan Erhahon
76'
M
Ethan Erhahon
76'
M
8
J. Sheehan
M
J. Sheehan
M
20
Ibrahim Cissoko
65'
M
Ibrahim Cissoko
65'
M
27
Rúben Rodrigues
65'
M
Rúben Rodrigues
65'
M
19
A. Cozier-Duberry
M
A. Cozier-Duberry
M
48
Mason Paul James Burstow
76'
F
Mason Paul James Burstow
76'
F
Bench
29
Cyrus Christie
D
Cyrus Christie
D
23
David Harrington
G
David Harrington
G
45
John McAtee
21'
F
John McAtee
21'
F
25
Max Conway
54'
D
Max Conway
54'
D
10
Sam Dalby
32'
F
Sam Dalby
32'
F
11
Thierry Gale
32'
F
Thierry Gale
32'
F
4
Xavier Simons
1 ⚽
21'
M
Xavier Simons
1 ⚽
21'
M
Best on the pitch
Tyreik Wright
F · Bradford
7.70
· 29 pass
Jack Bonham
G · Bolton
7.70
· 42 pass
M. Power
M · Bradford
7.60
1 shots
· 55 pass
Xavier Simons
M · Bolton
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Rúben Rodrigues
M · Bolton
7.20
1 shots
· 23 pass
Jenson Metcalfe
M · Bradford
7.00
2 shots
· 28 pass
Bradford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Walker | G | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Tilt | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Joe Wright | D | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Baldwin | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 60 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ibou Touray | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Power | M | 92 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Jenson Metcalfe | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Josh Neufville | M | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Bobby Pointon | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Antoni Sarcevic | F | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Kayden Jackson | F | 97 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| George Lapslie | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Nick Powell | M | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Stephen Humphrys | F | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Tyreik Wright | F | 52 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Will Swan | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bolton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bonham | G | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 17% | — | — | — |
| George Johnston | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Chris Forino | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Eoin Toal | D | 43 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Osei-Tutu | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Ethan Erhahon | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Sheehan | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Cissoko | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Rúben Rodrigues | M | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Mason Paul James Burstow | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | — | — | — |
| John McAtee | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Conway | D | 54 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Sam Dalby | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Thierry Gale | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Xavier Simons | M | 21 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bradford vs Bolton?
The final score was Bradford 0–1 Bolton.
What did the model predict before Bradford vs Bolton?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Bradford win, 25% to a draw, and 34% to an Bolton win.