League One
· Semi-finals
May 14, 2026 21:00
81'
X. Simons
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bradford a 39% win probability (draw 25%, Bolton 34%). The final result was Bradford 0–1 Bolton. In 3 previous meetings, Bradford have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Bolton.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
2
0.47
Actual xG
0.73
1
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
8
Corners
3
14
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
43'
M. Conway
/
E. Toal
C. Tilt
/ T. Wright
46'
B. Pointon
/ S. Humphrys
61'
J. Metcalfe
/ G. Lapslie
61'
J. Wright
/ N. Powell
62'
65'
T. Gale
/
I. Cissoko
65'
S. Dalby
/
R. Rodrigues
76'
X. Simons
/
E. Erhahon
76'
J. McAtee
/
M. Burstow
81'
X. Simons⚽
A. Baldwin
90'+1
M. Power
/ W. Swan
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
39.22%
Bradford
25.97%
X
34.81%
Bolton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bolton)
34.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
0.47
-0.83
1.21
0.73
-0.48
xG dominance was balanced (0.47 – 0.73).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. Walker
G
S. Walker
G
26
C. Tilt
45'
D
C. Tilt
45'
D
4
J. Wright
62'
D
J. Wright
62'
D
15
A. Baldwin
D
A. Baldwin
D
3
I. Touray
M
I. Touray
M
6
M. Power
M
M. Power
M
21
Jenson Metcalfe
61'
M
Jenson Metcalfe
61'
M
7
J. Neufville
M
J. Neufville
M
23
B. Pointon
61'
F
B. Pointon
61'
F
10
A. Sarcevic
F
A. Sarcevic
F
19
K. Jackson
F
K. Jackson
F
Bench
32
G. Lapslie
36'
M
G. Lapslie
36'
M
25
Joe Hilton
G
Joe Hilton
G
28
M. Pennington
D
M. Pennington
D
22
N. Powell
35'
M
N. Powell
35'
M
11
S. Humphrys
36'
F
S. Humphrys
36'
F
17
Tyreik Wright
52'
F
Tyreik Wright
52'
F
24
W. Swan
5'
F
W. Swan
5'
F
1
J. Bonham
G
J. Bonham
G
6
G. Johnston
D
G. Johnston
D
3
C. Forino-Joseph
D
C. Forino-Joseph
D
18
E. Toal
43'
D
E. Toal
43'
D
14
J. Osei-Tutu
D
J. Osei-Tutu
D
21
E. Erhahon
76'
M
E. Erhahon
76'
M
8
J. Sheehan
M
J. Sheehan
M
20
I. Cissoko
65'
M
I. Cissoko
65'
M
27
Ruben Rodrigues
65'
M
Ruben Rodrigues
65'
M
19
A. Cozier-Duberry
M
A. Cozier-Duberry
M
48
Mason Paul James Burstow
76'
F
Mason Paul James Burstow
76'
F
Bench
29
Cyrus Christie
D
Cyrus Christie
D
23
David Harrington
G
David Harrington
G
45
J. McAtee
21'
F
J. McAtee
21'
F
25
M. Conway
54'
D
M. Conway
54'
D
10
S. Dalby
32'
F
S. Dalby
32'
F
11
T. Gale
32'
F
T. Gale
32'
F
4
X. Simons
1 ⚽
21'
M
X. Simons
1 ⚽
21'
M
Best on the pitch
Tyreik Wright
F · Bradford
7.70
· 29 pass
J. Bonham
G · Bolton
7.70
· 42 pass
M. Power
M · Bradford
7.60
1 shots
· 55 pass
X. Simons
M · Bolton
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Ruben Rodrigues
M · Bolton
7.20
1 shots
· 23 pass
Jenson Metcalfe
M · Bradford
7.00
2 shots
· 28 pass
Bradford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Walker | G | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Tilt | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Wright | D | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Baldwin | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 60 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Touray | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Power | M | 92 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Jenson Metcalfe | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Neufville | M | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| B. Pointon | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Sarcevic | F | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Jackson | F | 97 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Lapslie | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| N. Powell | M | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Humphrys | F | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Tyreik Wright | F | 52 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Swan | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bolton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bonham | G | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 17% | — | — | — |
| G. Johnston | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 22% | — | — | — |
| C. Forino-Joseph | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Toal | D | 43 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Osei-Tutu | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Erhahon | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Sheehan | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| I. Cissoko | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ruben Rodrigues | M | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Mason Paul James Burstow | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. McAtee | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Conway | D | 54 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Dalby | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gale | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| X. Simons | M | 21 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bradford vs Bolton?
The final score was Bradford 0–1 Bolton.
What did the model predict before Bradford vs Bolton?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Bradford win, 25% to a draw, and 34% to an Bolton win.