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Bradford - Burnley

EFL Cup August 25, 2026 16:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.05%
Win
Bradford
22.71%
Draw
21.24%
Win
Burnley
3.01
Expected xG
0.68
Most likely outcome
Bradford
56.05%
Probability
0.0%
1X2 accuracy · 1 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (10.47%)
1X2 Result
1 56%
X 23%
2 21%
Double Chance
1X 79%
X2 44%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 60%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bradford a 56% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Burnley. Expected goals are 3.0 for Bradford and 0.7 for Burnley (total 3.7), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.47% probability.

Season Stats

Bradford
3W 0D 1L
Burnley
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.3
1.2
Conceded
1.3
5.3
Shots OT
5.7
5.8
Corners
3.7
37%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 4 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Bradford Burnley →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 7.5% 5.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 11.3% 7.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
3 11.3% 7.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
4 8.5% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
5 5.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%

Recent form

W Rochdale 2–0
L Newcastle 4–1
W Stoke City 0–3
W Blackburn 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
D Notts County 1–1
L Cardiff 1–2
W Derby 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

Bradford Bradford
Attack
60
Defence
74
Form
69
Burnley Burnley
Attack
28
Defence
52
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bradford vs Burnley?
The model gives Bradford a 56% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 21% for an Burnley win.
How many goals are expected in Bradford vs Burnley?
Expected goals: Bradford 3.0, Burnley 0.7 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Bradford vs Burnley?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.47%.