League One · Regular Season - 41 April 03, 2026 16:00

Bradford

#4 · 77 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Northampton

#24 · 35 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Bradford

S. Humphrys (ast. B. Pointon) 14'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bradford a 75% win probability (draw 15%, Northampton 8%). The final result was Bradford 1–0 Northampton. In 1 previous meetings, Bradford have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Northampton.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

7

7

Shots on target

2

2

Saves

6

52%

Possession

48%

5

Corners

6

16

Tackles

17

2

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽S. Humphrys · ast. B. Pointon

14'

Jenson Metcalfe

55'

61'

T. Eaves / J. Vale ↕

61'

K. Swyer / S. Hoskins ↕

61'

T. Fornah / D. Campbell ↕

77'

Elliott Moore

↕ S. Humphrys / E. Wheatley

81'

↕ J. Metcalfe / L. Evans

82'

Max Power

86'

90'+1

K. McAdam / M. Jacobs ↕

90'+1

M. Dyche / T. Taylor ↕

↕ J. Neufville / J. Wright

90'+2

Matthew Pennington

90'

Pre-match prediction

75.74%

Bradford ←

15.8%

X

8.46%

Northampton

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bradford) 75.74% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Bradford

2.23

—

—

Northampton

0.46

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lincoln	46	103
2	Cardiff	46	91
3	Stockport County	46	77
4	Bradford	46	77
5	Bolton	46	75
6	Stevenage	46	75
7	Luton	46	74
8	Plymouth	46	73
9	Huddersfield	46	67
10	Mansfield Town	46	65
11	Wycombe	46	63
12	Reading	46	63
13	Blackpool	46	60
14	Doncaster	46	60
15	Barnsley	46	59
16	Wigan	46	56
17	Burton Albion	46	54
18	Peterborough	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient	46	52
21	Exeter City	46	49
22	Port Vale	46	42
23	Rotherham	46	41
24	Northampton	46	35

Lineups

Bradford 3-4-2-1

1

G 7.30

26 C. Tilt D 7.60

15 Aden Baldwin D 7.30

28 Matthew Pennington D 7.90

3 Ibou Touray M 7.60

6 M. Power M 7.30

21

J. Metcalfe

7 Josh Neufville M 6.70

23 Bobby Pointon 1 👟 F 7.20

10 Antoni Sarcevic F 7.30

11 Stephen Humphrys 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.90

Bench

33

H. Ashby D

4 Joe Wright 4' D

8

L. Evans 14' M 6.60

24 Will Swan F

Northampton 4-5-1

1

G 8.30

12

N. Guinness-Walker D 7.20

5

J. Guthrie D 7.20

24

Elliott Moore D 6.70

2

J. Burroughs D 6.20

17

M. Jacobs M 7.30

4

D. Campbell 61' M 6.70

23

T. Taylor M 6.50

8

C. McGeehan M 6.50

7

S. Hoskins 61' M 6.70

27

J. Vale 61' F 6.20

Bench

26

K. McAdam 5' D

11

K. Swyer 35' F 6.50

9

T. Eaves 35' F 6.50

14

T. Fornah 35' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

G · Northampton

8.30

· 19 pass

Matthew Pennington

D · Bradford

7.90

· 52 pass

Stephen Humphrys

F · Bradford

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 12 pass

C. Tilt

D · Bradford

7.60

· 39 pass

Ibou Touray

M · Bradford

7.60

· 40 pass

G · Bradford

7.30

· 20 pass

Bradford — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	7.30	—	—	—	20	5%	—	—	—
C. Tilt	D	96	7.60	—	—	—	39	24%	2	—	—
Aden Baldwin	D	96	7.30	—	—	—	45	29%	—	—	—
Matthew Pennington	D	96	7.90	—	—	—	52	36%	3	1	—
Ibou Touray	M	96	7.60	—	—	—	40	29%	4	—	—
M. Power	M	96	7.30	—	—	2	47	36%	—	1	—
J. Metcalfe		—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Josh Neufville	M	92	6.70	—	—	1	34	30%	2	—	—
Bobby Pointon	F	96	7.20	—	1	3	38	30%	1	—	—
Antoni Sarcevic	F	96	7.30	—	—	1	36	25%	2	—	—
Stephen Humphrys	F	81	7.90	1	—	3	12	10%	1	—	—
Joe Wright	D	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	—	—
L. Evans	M	14	6.60	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—

Northampton — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	8.30	—	—	—	19	6%	—	—	—
N. Guinness-Walker	D	96	7.20	—	—	—	41	31%	3	—	—
J. Guthrie	D	96	7.20	—	—	—	30	22%	2	—	—
Elliott Moore	D	96	6.70	—	—	—	40	32%	2	1	—
J. Burroughs	D	96	6.20	—	—	—	45	24%	—	—	—
M. Jacobs	M	91	7.30	—	—	—	25	21%	2	—	—
D. Campbell	M	61	6.70	—	—	2	33	30%	1	—	—
T. Taylor	M	91	6.50	—	—	2	54	37%	2	—	—
C. McGeehan	M	96	6.50	—	—	3	31	23%	3	—	—
S. Hoskins	M	61	6.70	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—
J. Vale	F	61	6.20	—	—	—	10	6%	—	—	—
K. McAdam	D	5	—	—	—	—	3	1%	2	—	—
K. Swyer	F	35	6.50	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
T. Eaves	F	35	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
T. Fornah	M	35	6.30	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—