✓Model correct — prediction Bradford
Macauley Gillesphey
(ast. Callumm Connolly)
13'
Adam Phillips
(ast. Jake Beesley)
67'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bradford a 63% win probability (draw 17%, Peterborough 18%). The final result was Bradford 2–0 Peterborough. In 3 previous meetings, Bradford have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Peterborough.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
15
8
Shots on target
3
2.93
Actual xG
1.15
1
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
8
Corners
6
19
Tackles
19
6
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Macauley Gillesphey
5'
⚽Macauley Gillesphey
· ast. Callumm Connolly
13'
Reece Welch
20'
George Lapslie
28'
Bobby Pointon
31'
Callumm Connolly
34'
Reece Welch
/ Aden·Baldwin
53'
Corey O'Keeffe
/ Kayden Jackson
53'
57'
Matthew Garbett
/
Harry Ashfield
57'
Bolu Shofowoke
/
Vernon Masara
57'
James Dornelly
/
Carl Johnston
59'
Lucca Mendonça
George Lapslie
/ Adam Phillips
60'
Bobby Pointon
/ Will Swan
61'
66'
Harrison Jones
/
Brandon·Singh Khela
⚽Adam Phillips
· ast. Jake Beesley
67'
68'
Declan Firth
/
Owura Edwards
Antoni Sarcevic
/ Kieran Morgan
69'
73'
Harley Mills
Kieran Morgan
86'
Pre-match prediction
63.96%
Bradford ←
17.82%
X
18.22%
Peterborough
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bradford)
63.96%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.80
2.93
+0.13
1.44
1.15
-0.29
Bradford dominated by xG (2.93 vs 1.15).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
21
J. McCracken
G
5
M. Gillesphey
1 ⚽
D
28
M. Pennington
D
2
R. Welch
53'
D
R. Welch
53'
D
3
I. Touray
M
I. Touray
M
6
C. Connolly
1 👟
M
C. Connolly
1 👟
M
32
G. Lapslie
60'
M
G. Lapslie
60'
M
27
C. O'Keeffe
53'
M
23
B. Pointon
61'
M
10
A. Sarcevic
69'
M
A. Sarcevic
69'
M
9
J. Beesley
1 👟
F
J. Beesley
1 👟
F
Bench
15
A. Baldwin
37'
D
8
A. Phillips
1 ⚽
30'
M
1
C. Dawson
G
16
George Christopher John Pratt
D
20
Henry Cartwright
M
14
H. Matthews
D
22
Kieran Morgan
21'
M
19
K. Jackson
37'
F
24
W. Swan
29'
F
W. Swan
29'
F
1
A. Bass
G
14
Harley Mills
D
Harley Mills
D
12
Joshua Feeney
D
18
Lucca Mendonça
D
Lucca Mendonça
D
2
C. Johnston
57'
D
C. Johnston
57'
D
8
B. Khela
66'
M
45
Harry Ashfield
57'
M
11
O. Edwards
68'
M
O. Edwards
68'
M
10
Ethan Williams
M
17
Vernon Masara
57'
M
27
F
Bench
19
Bolu Shofowoke
33'
F
23
C. Andeng Ndi
G
3
E. Weir
D
E. Weir
D
7
Harrison Jones
24'
M
Harrison Jones
24'
M
33
James Dornelly
33'
D
4
L. Kelly
M
28
M. Garbett
33'
M
M. Garbett
33'
M
21
P. Sykut
M
Best on the pitch
J. Beesley
F · Bradford
7.70
1 👟
4 shots
· 17 pass
A. Phillips
M · Bradford
7.22
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
A. Bass
G · Peterborough
7.04
· 32 pass
C. Connolly
M · Bradford
7.01
1 👟
· 48 pass
K. Jackson
F · Bradford
6.98
· 11 pass
A. Baldwin
D · Bradford
6.92
· 15 pass
Bradford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McCracken | G | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Gillesphey | D | 90 | 6.91 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 26% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Pennington | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Welch | D | 53 | 5.63 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — |
| I. Touray | M | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Connolly | M | 90 | 7.01 | — | 1 | 0 | 48 | 33% | 0 | 1 | — |
| G. Lapslie | M | 60 | 5.64 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. O'Keeffe | M | 53 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Pointon | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Sarcevic | M | 69 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Beesley | F | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 4 | 17 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Baldwin | D | 37 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Phillips | M | 30 | 7.22 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Kieran Morgan | M | 21 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 3 | 1 | — |
| K. Jackson | F | 37 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Swan | F | 29 | 6.45 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Peterborough — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bass | G | 90 | 7.04 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Harley Mills | D | 90 | 5.56 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Joshua Feeney | D | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucca Mendonça | D | 90 | 5.65 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 41% | 4 | 1 | — |
| C. Johnston | D | 57 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Khela | M | 66 | 6.16 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Harry Ashfield | M | 57 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Edwards | M | 68 | 6.31 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Ethan Williams | M | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 4 | 30 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Vernon Masara | M | 57 | 5.85 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 2% | 2 | — | — | |
| Bolu Shofowoke | F | 33 | 6.35 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Harrison Jones | M | 24 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| James Dornelly | D | 33 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Garbett | M | 33 | 5.99 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bradford vs Peterborough?
The final score was Bradford 2–0 Peterborough.
What did the model predict before Bradford vs Peterborough?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Bradford win, 17% to a draw, and 18% to an Peterborough win.