Antoni Sarcevic
79'
(pen.)
Will Swan
87'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stevenage a 32% win probability (draw 36%, Bradford 31%). The final result was Bradford 2–0 Stevenage. In 2 previous meetings, Bradford have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Stevenage.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
1
1.84
Actual xG
1.01
1
Saves
0
56%
Possession
44%
9
Corners
3
10
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
53'
Ben Broggio
/
Wanya Marcal
Kayden Jackson
/ Corey O'Keeffe
57'
Jake Beesley
/ Nick Powell
57'
Bobby Pointon
/ Stephen Humphrys
65'
Adam Phillips
/ Will Swan
65'
65'
Louis Thompson
/
Matthew Smith
66'
Michael Mellon
/
O. Sanderson
79'
Daniel Phillips
⚽Antoni Sarcevic
(pen.)
79'
Callumm Connolly
81'
82'
Terry·Taylor
/
Josh Magennis
82'
Phoenix Patterson
/
Daniel Phillips
⚽Will Swan
87'
Antoni Sarcevic
/ Macauley Gillesphey
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
31.2%
Bradford ←
36.13%
X
32.67%
Stevenage
we assigned to the actual result (Bradford)
31.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.61
1.84
+1.23
0.79
1.01
+0.22
Bradford dominated by xG (1.84 vs 1.01).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
21
J. McCracken
G
J. McCracken
G
16
George Christopher John Pratt
D
George Christopher John Pratt
D
15
A. Baldwin
D
A. Baldwin
D
28
M. Pennington
D
M. Pennington
D
3
I. Touray
M
I. Touray
M
6
C. Connolly
M
C. Connolly
M
10
A. Sarcevic
1 ⚽
M
A. Sarcevic
1 ⚽
M
19
K. Jackson
57'
M
K. Jackson
57'
M
23
B. Pointon
65'
M
B. Pointon
65'
M
8
A. Phillips
65'
M
A. Phillips
65'
M
9
J. Beesley
57'
F
J. Beesley
57'
F
Bench
1
C. Dawson
G
C. Dawson
G
27
C. O'Keeffe
33'
D
C. O'Keeffe
33'
D
22
Kieran Morgan
M
Kieran Morgan
M
5
M. Gillesphey
D
M. Gillesphey
D
25
N. Powell
33'
M
N. Powell
33'
M
11
S. Humphrys
25'
F
S. Humphrys
25'
F
24
W. Swan
1 ⚽
25'
F
W. Swan
1 ⚽
25'
F
1
T. Setford
G
T. Setford
G
14
S. Earley
D
S. Earley
D
5
C. Piergianni
D
C. Piergianni
D
15
T. Vancooten
D
T. Vancooten
D
2
L. James-Wildin
D
L. James-Wildin
D
25
Wanya Marçal
53'
M
Wanya Marçal
53'
M
24
M. Smith
65'
M
M. Smith
65'
M
8
D. Phillips
82'
M
D. Phillips
82'
M
18
O. Sanderson
66'
M
O. Sanderson
66'
M
10
D. Kemp
M
D. Kemp
M
9
J. Magennis
82'
F
J. Magennis
82'
F
Bench
27
B. Broggio
37'
F
B. Broggio
37'
F
12
D. Barden
G
D. Barden
G
16
K. Casey
D
K. Casey
D
23
L. Thompson
25'
M
L. Thompson
25'
M
28
M. Mellon
24'
F
M. Mellon
24'
F
44
P. Patterson
8'
F
P. Patterson
8'
F
7
T. Taylor
8'
M
T. Taylor
8'
M
Best on the pitch
M. Pennington
D · Bradford
7.54
· 39 pass
George Christopher John Pratt
D · Bradford
7.45
· 63 pass
W. Swan
F · Bradford
7.42
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
N. Powell
M · Bradford
7.14
1 shots
· 10 pass
T. Vancooten
D · Stevenage
7.00
2 shots
· 30 pass
C. O'Keeffe
D · Bradford
6.99
· 16 pass
Bradford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McCracken | G | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| George Christopher John Pratt | D | 90 | 7.45 | — | — | 0 | 63 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Baldwin | D | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Pennington | D | 90 | 7.54 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Touray | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Connolly | M | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Sarcevic | M | 97 | 6.84 | 1 | — | 3 | 34 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Jackson | M | 57 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Pointon | M | 65 | 6.31 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Phillips | M | 65 | 6.40 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Beesley | F | 57 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| C. O'Keeffe | D | 33 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Powell | M | 33 | 7.14 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Humphrys | F | 25 | 6.45 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Swan | F | 25 | 7.42 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Stevenage — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Setford | G | 90 | 5.63 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Earley | D | 90 | 6.82 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Piergianni | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Vancooten | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| L. James-Wildin | D | 90 | 5.85 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Wanya Marçal | M | 53 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Smith | M | 65 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Phillips | M | 82 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 20% | 0 | 1 | — |
| O. Sanderson | M | 66 | 6.47 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kemp | M | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 4 | 26 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Magennis | F | 82 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Broggio | F | 37 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Thompson | M | 25 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Mellon | F | 24 | 6.41 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Patterson | F | 8 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Taylor | M | 8 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bradford vs Stevenage?
The final score was Bradford 2–0 Stevenage.
What did the model predict before Bradford vs Stevenage?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Bradford win, 36% to a draw, and 32% to an Stevenage win.