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Bragança - Celoricense

Taça de Portugal September 20, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.07%
Win
Bragança
31.53%
Draw
31.41%
Win
Celoricense
4.5
Expected xG
1.04

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.69%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 32%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 63%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bragança a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Celoricense. Expected goals are 4.5 for Bragança and 1.0 for Celoricense (total 5.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.69% probability.

Season Stats

Bragança
2W 0D 1L
Celoricense
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
0.8
0.3
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
25%
67%
O 2.5
25%
0%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
75%
Based on the last 4 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Bragança Celoricense →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.0% 6.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.7% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
5 6.0% 6.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

W Rebordelo 0–4
L SC Braga 0–1
W Brito 5–0
W Pevidem 1–0
L FC Porto 0–4
W Mafra 1–0
W Celeirós 1–0

Playing profile

Bragança Bragança
Attack
90
Defence
97
Form
82
Celoricense Celoricense
Attack
23
Defence
90
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bragança vs Celoricense?
The model gives Bragança a 37% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Celoricense win.
How many goals are expected in Bragança vs Celoricense?
Expected goals: Bragança 4.5, Celoricense 1.0 (total 5.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Bragança vs Celoricense?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.69%.