K. M. Ingason
(ast. U. Mathisen)
6'
J. Soltvedt
(ast. K. M. Ingason)
69'
B. Finne
90'+5
(pen.)
90'+9
(ast. D. Eid)
U. Fredriksen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brann a 50% win probability (draw 25%, Fredrikstad 24%). The final result was Brann 3–1 Fredrikstad.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
2.15
Actual xG
0.46
2
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
3
Corners
2
15
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽K. M. Ingason
· ast. U. Mathisen
6'
46'
F. Ghebreyohannes
/
S. Leach
53'
J. Norbye
61'
S. Laghzaoui
/
H. Skogvold
J. Thorsteinsson
/ M. Haaland
65'
U. Mathisen
/ K. Eriksen
65'
⚽J. Soltvedt
· ast. K. M. Ingason
69'
K. Eriksen
71'
75'
M. Nilsson
/
F. Holme
J. Sorensen
/ N. Wassberg
77'
J. Soltvedt
/ J. Torsvik
77'
81'
E. Granaas
/
J. Norbye
81'
B. Faraas
/
O. Ohlenschlaeger
N. Holm
/ B. Finne
87'
⚽B. Finne
(pen.)
90'+5
90'+9
ast. D. Eid ·
U. Fredriksen⚽
Pre-match prediction
50.56%
Brann ←
25.43%
X
24.01%
Fredrikstad
we assigned to the actual result (Brann)
50.56%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.51
2.15
-0.36
0.98
0.46
-0.52
Brann dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.46).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
17
Joachim Soltvedt
1 ⚽
77'
D
Joachim Soltvedt
1 ⚽
77'
D
23
T. Pedersen
D
T. Pedersen
D
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
D
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
D
20
Vetle Dragsnes
D
Vetle Dragsnes
D
8
Felix Horn Myhre
M
Felix Horn Myhre
M
18
J. Sørensen
77'
M
J. Sørensen
77'
M
10
K. Ingason
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
K. Ingason
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
7
J. Þorsteinsson
65'
F
J. Þorsteinsson
65'
F
29
N. Holm
87'
F
N. Holm
87'
F
14
U. Mathisen
1 👟
65'
F
U. Mathisen
1 👟
65'
F
Bench
11
B. Finne
1 ⚽
10'
F
B. Finne
1 ⚽
10'
F
16
Kristian Eriksen
32'
M
Kristian Eriksen
32'
M
32
Markus Haaland
32'
M
Markus Haaland
32'
M
43
Rasmus Holten
D
Rasmus Holten
D
77
Martin Borsheim
G
Martin Borsheim
G
18
Jonathan Norbye
81'
D
Jonathan Norbye
81'
D
12
Ulrik Fredriksen
1 ⚽
D
Ulrik Fredriksen
1 ⚽
D
4
F. Holmé
75'
D
F. Holmé
75'
D
13
Sondre Sørløkk
M
Sondre Sørløkk
M
21
Rocco Robert Shein
M
Rocco Robert Shein
M
24
Leonard Owusu
M
Leonard Owusu
M
6
Samuel Leach Holm
45'
M
Samuel Leach Holm
45'
M
16
D. Eid
1 👟
M
D. Eid
1 👟
M
23
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
61'
F
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
61'
F
20
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
81'
F
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
81'
F
Bench
15
Eirik Granaas
16'
M
Eirik Granaas
16'
M
9
Salim Laghzaoui
36'
M
Salim Laghzaoui
36'
M
5
Simen Rafn
D
Simen Rafn
D
Best on the pitch
K. Ingason
M · Brann
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
Joachim Soltvedt
D · Brann
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 47 pass
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
D · Brann
7.60
· 61 pass
J. Sørensen
M · Brann
7.60
· 56 pass
D. Eid
M · Fredrikstad
7.50
1 👟
· 29 pass
Markus Haaland
M · Brann
7.20
· 12 pass
Brann — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Joachim Soltvedt | D | 77 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 47 | 31% | — | — | — |
| T. Pedersen | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen | D | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| Vetle Dragsnes | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Felix Horn Myhre | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Sørensen | M | 77 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 56 | 46% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Ingason | M | 97 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Þorsteinsson | F | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — |
| N. Holm | F | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 12% | — | — | — |
| U. Mathisen | F | 65 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| B. Finne | F | 10 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Kristian Eriksen | M | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Markus Haaland | M | 32 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
Fredrikstad — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Borsheim | G | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Norbye | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Ulrik Fredriksen | D | 97 | 6.00 | 1 | — | — | 41 | 29% | — | — | — |
| F. Holmé | D | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Sondre Sørløkk | M | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Rocco Robert Shein | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Leonard Owusu | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Samuel Leach Holm | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Eid | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Henrik Langaas Skogvold | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Oskar Øhlenschlaeger | F | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Eirik Granaas | M | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Salim Laghzaoui | M | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brann vs Fredrikstad?
The final score was Brann 3–1 Fredrikstad.
What did the model predict before Brann vs Fredrikstad?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Brann win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an Fredrikstad win.