✗Model wrong — prediction Brann, result Sarpsborg 08 FF wins
R. Holten
(ast. J. Soltvedt)
29'
41'
(ast. S. Sorli)
V. E. Halvorsen
45'+1
(ast. C. Niyukuri)
S. Sorli
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brann a 58% win probability (draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 20%). The final result was Brann 1–2 Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
0.71
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
3
69%
Possession
31%
7
Corners
5
17
Tackles
28
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Holten
· ast. J. Soltvedt
29'
41'
ast. S. Sorli ·
V. E. Halvorsen⚽
45'+1
ast. C. Niyukuri ·
S. Sorli⚽
46'
E. Wichne
/
V. E. Halvorsen
J. Soltvedt
57'
58'
S. Christiansen
K. Eriksen
/ N. Holm
59'
J. Thorsteinsson
/ M. Haaland
60'
U. Mathisen
/ B. Finne
60'
F. Knudsen
63'
J. Soltvedt
/ J. Torsvik
72'
76'
M. Odegaard
/
C. Niyukuri
80'
M. Svenningsen Gronn
/
S. Sorli
R. Holten
/ M. Hellan
85'
88'
N. Skuseth
/
N. Williams
88'
B. Gueye
/
D. Karlsbakk
90'+3
M. Odegaard
Pre-match prediction
58.25%
Brann
20.93%
X
20.82%
Sarpsborg ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sarpsborg 08 FF)
20.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.80
0.71
-2.09
1.12
0.96
-0.16
xG dominance was balanced (0.71 – 0.96).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Simen Vidtun Nilsen
G
17
Joachim Soltvedt
1 👟
72'
D
20
Vetle Dragsnes
D
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
D
43
Rasmus Holten
1 ⚽
85'
D
Rasmus Holten
1 ⚽
85'
D
8
Felix Horn Myhre
M
Felix Horn Myhre
M
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
M
10
K. Ingason
M
K. Ingason
M
7
J. Þorsteinsson
60'
F
J. Þorsteinsson
60'
F
16
Kristian Eriksen
59'
F
14
U. Mathisen
60'
F
U. Mathisen
60'
F
Bench
11
Bård Finne
36'
F
6
Cheick Mbacke Diop
D
36
Håkon Melås Hellesøy
G
40
Jesper Nerhus Eikrem
M
Jesper Nerhus Eikrem
M
15
Jonas Torsvik
24'
D
Jonas Torsvik
24'
D
32
Markus Haaland
36'
M
2
Martin Hellan
11'
D
Martin Hellan
11'
D
29
N. Holm
37'
F
N. Holm
37'
F
26
Rabbi Matondo
M
1
Mamour Ndiaye
G
Mamour Ndiaye
G
21
Anders Hiim
D
Anders Hiim
D
2
Menno Koch
D
Menno Koch
D
4
B. Utvik
D
B. Utvik
D
12
C. Niyukuri
1 👟
76'
D
C. Niyukuri
1 👟
76'
D
17
Noa Williams
88'
M
Noa Williams
88'
M
8
Sander Christiansen
M
Sander Christiansen
M
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
1 ⚽
45'
M
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
1 ⚽
45'
M
10
Sondre Sörli
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
Sondre Sörli
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
33
Andreas Hansen
F
Andreas Hansen
F
11
Daniel Karlsbakk
88'
F
Daniel Karlsbakk
88'
F
Bench
18
Bop Guèye
8'
M
Bop Guèye
8'
M
7
Camil Mmaee
M
Camil Mmaee
M
26
Chris Kouakou
M
Chris Kouakou
M
32
Eirik Wichne
51'
D
Eirik Wichne
51'
D
87
Leander Øy
G
Leander Øy
G
5
Magnar Odegaard
20'
D
Magnar Odegaard
20'
D
50
Magnus Mevik Eidal
D
Magnus Mevik Eidal
D
81
Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn
16'
M
Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn
16'
M
3
Nikolai Skuseth
8'
D
Nikolai Skuseth
8'
D
Best on the pitch
Sondre Sörli
M · Sarpsborg
9.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 21 pass
Rasmus Holten
D · Brann
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 62 pass
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
M · Sarpsborg
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
C. Niyukuri
D · Sarpsborg
7.30
1 👟
· 23 pass
Vetle Dragsnes
D · Brann
7.20
· 84 pass
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
M · Brann
7.20
· 67 pass
Brann — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simen Vidtun Nilsen | G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Joachim Soltvedt | D | 72 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 55 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Vetle Dragsnes | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 84 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 63% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rasmus Holten | D | 85 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 62 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| Felix Horn Myhre | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Niklas Jensen Wassberg | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Ingason | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Þorsteinsson | F | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Kristian Eriksen | F | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| U. Mathisen | F | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Bård Finne | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jonas Torsvik | D | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Markus Haaland | M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Martin Hellan | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Holm | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Sarpsborg 08 FF — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamour Ndiaye | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Anders Hiim | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | 6 | — | — |
| Menno Koch | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Utvik | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Niyukuri | D | 76 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Noa Williams | M | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Sander Christiansen | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Victor Emanuel Halvorsen | M | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Sondre Sörli | M | 80 | 9.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17% | 6 | — | — |
| Andreas Hansen | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Karlsbakk | F | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Bop Guèye | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Eirik Wichne | D | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Magnar Odegaard | D | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Nikolai Skuseth | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
The final score was Brann 1–2 Sarpsborg 08 FF.
What did the model predict before Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Brann win, 20% to a draw, and 20% to an Sarpsborg 08 FF win.