✗Model wrong — prediction Brann, result Sarpsborg 08 FF wins
R. Holten
(ast. J. Soltvedt)
29'
41'
(ast. S. Sorli)
V. E. Halvorsen
45'+1
(ast. C. Niyukuri)
S. Sorli
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brann a 58% win probability (draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 20%). The final result was Brann 1–2 Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
0.71
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
3
69%
Possession
31%
7
Corners
5
17
Tackles
28
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Holten
· ast. J. Soltvedt
29'
41'
ast. S. Sorli ·
V. E. Halvorsen⚽
45'+1
ast. C. Niyukuri ·
S. Sorli⚽
46'
E. Wichne
/
V. E. Halvorsen
J. Soltvedt
57'
58'
S. Christiansen
K. Eriksen
/ N. Holm
59'
J. Thorsteinsson
/ M. Haaland
60'
U. Mathisen
/ B. Finne
60'
F. Knudsen
63'
J. Soltvedt
/ J. Torsvik
72'
76'
M. Odegaard
/
C. Niyukuri
80'
M. Svenningsen Gronn
/
S. Sorli
R. Holten
/ M. Hellan
85'
88'
N. Skuseth
/
N. Williams
88'
B. Gueye
/
D. Karlsbakk
90'+3
M. Odegaard
Pre-match prediction
58.25%
Brann
20.93%
X
20.82%
Sarpsborg ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sarpsborg 08 FF)
20.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.80
0.71
-2.09
1.12
0.96
-0.16
xG dominance was balanced (0.71 – 0.96).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
S. Nilsen
G
S. Nilsen
G
17
J. Soltvedt
1 👟
72'
D
J. Soltvedt
1 👟
72'
D
20
V. Dragsnes
D
V. Dragsnes
D
3
F. Knudsen
D
F. Knudsen
D
43
R. Holten
1 ⚽
85'
D
R. Holten
1 ⚽
85'
D
8
F. Myhre
M
F. Myhre
M
25
N. Jensen Wassberg
M
N. Jensen Wassberg
M
10
K. Ingason
M
K. Ingason
M
7
J. Þorsteinsson
60'
F
J. Þorsteinsson
60'
F
16
K. Eriksen
59'
F
K. Eriksen
59'
F
14
U. Mathisen
60'
F
U. Mathisen
60'
F
Bench
11
B. Finne
36'
F
B. Finne
36'
F
6
D. Mbacke
D
D. Mbacke
D
36
Håkon Melås Hellesøy
G
40
Jesper Nerhus Eikrem
M
Jesper Nerhus Eikrem
M
15
J. Torsvik
24'
D
J. Torsvik
24'
D
32
M. Haaland
36'
M
M. Haaland
36'
M
2
M. Hellan
11'
D
M. Hellan
11'
D
29
N. Holm
37'
F
N. Holm
37'
F
26
Rabbi Matondo
M
1
Mamour Ndiaye
G
Mamour Ndiaye
G
21
A. Hiim
D
A. Hiim
D
2
Menno Koch
D
Menno Koch
D
4
B. Utvik
D
B. Utvik
D
12
C. Niyukuri
1 👟
76'
D
C. Niyukuri
1 👟
76'
D
17
N. Williams
88'
M
N. Williams
88'
M
8
S. Christiansen
M
S. Christiansen
M
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
1 ⚽
45'
M
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
1 ⚽
45'
M
10
S. Sørli
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
S. Sørli
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
33
A. Nibe
F
A. Nibe
F
11
D. Karlsbakk
88'
F
D. Karlsbakk
88'
F
Bench
18
Bop Gueye
8'
M
Bop Gueye
8'
M
7
Camil Mmaee
M
Camil Mmaee
M
26
C. Kouakou
M
C. Kouakou
M
32
E. Wichne
51'
D
E. Wichne
51'
D
87
L. Øy
G
L. Øy
G
5
Magnar Odegaard
20'
D
Magnar Odegaard
20'
D
81
Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn
16'
M
Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn
16'
M
50
M. M. Eidal
D
M. M. Eidal
D
3
Nikolai Skuseth
8'
D
Nikolai Skuseth
8'
D
Best on the pitch
S. Sørli
M · Sarpsborg
9.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 21 pass
R. Holten
D · Brann
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 62 pass
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
M · Sarpsborg
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
C. Niyukuri
D · Sarpsborg
7.30
1 👟
· 23 pass
V. Dragsnes
D · Brann
7.20
· 84 pass
N. Jensen Wassberg
M · Brann
7.20
· 67 pass
Brann — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Nilsen | G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| J. Soltvedt | D | 72 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 55 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| V. Dragsnes | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 84 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Knudsen | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 63% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Holten | D | 85 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 62 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Myhre | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Jensen Wassberg | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Ingason | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Þorsteinsson | F | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Eriksen | F | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| U. Mathisen | F | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| B. Finne | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Torsvik | D | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Haaland | M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Hellan | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Holm | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Sarpsborg 08 FF — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamour Ndiaye | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Hiim | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | 6 | — | — |
| Menno Koch | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Utvik | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Niyukuri | D | 76 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Williams | M | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Christiansen | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Victor Emanuel Halvorsen | M | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Sørli | M | 80 | 9.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17% | 6 | — | — |
| A. Nibe | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Karlsbakk | F | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Bop Gueye | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. Wichne | D | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Magnar Odegaard | D | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Nikolai Skuseth | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
The final score was Brann 1–2 Sarpsborg 08 FF.
What did the model predict before Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Brann win, 20% to a draw, and 20% to an Sarpsborg 08 FF win.