Brann 2–1 Start — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — July 12, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 13 July 12, 2026 17:00 Brann Stadion, Bergen

Brann

#7 · 26 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Start

#16 · 13 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Brann

N. Holm (ast. N. Castro) 68'

K. Eriksen (ast. N. Castro) 90'

53' (ast. T. Strannegard) H. Lorentzen

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brann a 64% win probability (draw 17%, Start 17%). The final result was Brann 2–1 Start.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.90

Actual xG

1.21

Saves

65%

Possession

35%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

↕ M. Hellan / N. Holm

46'

48'

M. Soomets / S. Mvoue ↕

53'

ast. T. Strannegard · H. Lorentzen⚽

55'

E. Reitan

↕ K. M. Ingason / U. Mathisen

62'

↕ B. Finne / N. Castro

62'

↕ T. Pedersen / D. De Roeve

62'

⚽N. Holm · ast. N. Castro

68'

69'

F. Palerud / O. Toure ↕

69'

E. Schulze / H. Lorentzen ↕

↕ N. Wassberg / J. Sorensen

78'

87'

D. Dashaev / M. Ugland ↕

87'

S. Griesbeck / E. Reitan ↕

N. Castro

90'+4

⚽K. Eriksen · ast. N. Castro

90'

Pre-match prediction

64.83%

Brann ←

17.74%

17.43%

Start

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Brann) 64.83% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Brann

2.93

1.90

-1.03

Start

1.11

1.21

+0.1

Brann dominated by xG (1.90 vs 1.21). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	47
2	Viking	19	44
3	Tromso	20	35
4	Molde	19	33
5	Lillestrom	20	32
6	Rosenborg	20	30
7	Brann	19	26
8	Fredrikstad	19	26
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	19	24
10	Ham-Kam	19	23
11	Valerenga	20	22
12	Sandefjord	19	20
13	Kristiansund BK	19	19
14	KFUM Oslo	19	19
15	Aalesund	19	18
16	Start	19	13

Lineups

Brann 4-3-3

M. Dyngeland G 6.90

J. Soltvedt D 7.30

V. Dragsnes D 6.30

F. Knudsen D 6.90

M. Hellan 45' D 6.30

N. Jensen Wassberg 78' M 6.90

T. Pedersen 62' M 6.30

F. Myhre M 7.30

B. Finne 62' F 6.70

K. Eriksen 1 ⚽ F 6.70

K. Ingason 62' F 6.60

Bench

D. De Roeve 34' D 6.90

D. Mbacke D

Jonas Torsvik D

J. Sørensen 18' M 6.70

N. Castro 2 👟 34' F 8.60

N. Holm 1 ⚽ 51' F 7.90

S. Magnússon F

S. Nilsen G

U. Mathisen 34' M 6.20

Start 5-3-2

J. Pryts G 6.20

T. Strannegård 1 👟 D 7.20

Omar Jebali D 6.60

John Olav Norheim D 7.00

E. Reitan 87' D 6.30

O. Toure 69' D 7.20

S. Mvoué 48' M 6.60

E. Segberg M 7.20

M. Ugland 87' M 7.20

H. Lorentzen 1 ⚽ 69' F 7.50

J. Cornelius F 7.00

Bench

Alexander Gurendal F

D. Dashaev D

E. Schulze 27' M 6.70

F. Pålerud 27' D 6.20

James Ampofo 9' F 6.50

Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal M

Markus Soomets 48' M 6.20

S. Griesbeck 9' M 6.50

Best on the pitch

N. Castro

F · Brann

8.60

2 👟

1 shots · 18 pass

N. Holm

F · Brann

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 9 pass

H. Lorentzen

F · Start

7.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 20 pass

J. Soltvedt

D · Brann

7.30

1 shots · 89 pass

F. Myhre

M · Brann

7.30

1 shots · 48 pass

M. Ugland

M · Start

7.20

1 shots · 31 pass

Brann — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Dyngeland	G	96	6.90	—	—	—	54	37%	—	—	—
J. Soltvedt	D	96	7.30	—	—	1	89	74%	1	—	—
V. Dragsnes	D	96	6.30	—	—	—	87	77%	1	—	—
F. Knudsen	D	96	6.90	—	—	—	74	60%	3	—	—
M. Hellan	D	45	6.30	—	—	—	20	15%	—	—	—
N. Jensen Wassberg	M	78	6.90	—	—	—	45	43%	3	—	—
T. Pedersen	M	62	6.30	—	—	—	40	34%	—	—	—
F. Myhre	M	96	7.30	—	—	1	48	42%	6	—	—
B. Finne	F	62	6.70	—	—	1	25	21%	1	—	—
K. Eriksen	F	96	6.70	1	—	3	30	21%	—	—	—
K. Ingason	F	62	6.60	—	—	—	23	22%	1	—	—
D. De Roeve	D	34	6.90	—	—	1	11	6%	1	—	—
J. Sørensen	M	18	6.70	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—
N. Castro	F	34	8.60	—	2	1	18	18%	1	1	—
N. Holm	F	51	7.90	1	—	3	9	7%	2	—	—
U. Mathisen	M	34	6.20	—	—	—	7	4%	—	—	—

Start — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Pryts	G	96	6.20	—	—	—	31	12%	—	—	—
T. Strannegård	D	96	7.20	—	1	1	27	21%	5	—	—
Omar Jebali	D	96	6.60	—	—	1	25	16%	3	—	—
John Olav Norheim	D	96	7.00	—	—	—	33	22%	3	—	—
E. Reitan	D	87	6.30	—	—	—	25	18%	2	1	—
O. Toure	D	69	7.20	—	—	—	29	20%	5	—	—
S. Mvoué	M	48	6.60	—	—	1	14	12%	2	—	—
E. Segberg	M	96	7.20	—	—	—	35	25%	1	—	—
M. Ugland	M	87	7.20	—	—	1	31	26%	2	—	—
H. Lorentzen	F	69	7.50	1	—	2	20	13%	—	—	—
J. Cornelius	F	96	7.00	—	—	3	16	9%	2	—	—
E. Schulze	M	27	6.70	—	—	2	9	5%	—	—	—
F. Pålerud	D	27	6.20	—	—	1	7	3%	1	—	—
James Ampofo	F	9	6.50	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Markus Soomets	M	48	6.20	—	—	—	20	11%	2	—	—
S. Griesbeck	M	9	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Brann vs Start?

The final score was Brann 2–1 Start.

What did the model predict before Brann vs Start?

The model assigned 64% probability to a Brann win, 17% to a draw, and 17% to an Start win.