✗Model wrong — prediction Brann, result Valerenga wins
N. Castro
65'
(pen.)
F. Myhre
(ast. D. De Roeve)
77'
24'
(ast. L. Haren)
H. Bjordal
41'
(ast. F. Ambina)
C. Lange
45'+4
(ast. H. Bjordal)
L. Haren
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brann a 56% win probability (draw 19%, Valerenga 23%). The final result was Brann 2–3 Valerenga.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
15
7
Shots on target
12
2.29
Actual xG
1.54
9
Saves
5
71%
Possession
29%
9
Corners
6
15
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
19'
C. Lange
24'
ast. L. Haren ·
H. Bjordal⚽
41'
ast. F. Ambina ·
C. Lange⚽
45'+4
ast. H. Bjordal ·
L. Haren⚽
T. Pedersen
/ V. Dragsnes
46'
K. Eriksen
/ J. Sorensen
46'
49'
M. Grundetjern
54'
K. Finnsson
57'
I. Nasberg
61'
H. Sjatil
/
C. Lange
62'
M. Westergaard
/
F. Thorvaldsen
⚽N. Castro
(pen.)
65'
67'
P. Strand
/
L. Haren
N. Wassberg
/ E. Gudmundsson
71'
U. Mathisen
/ S. Magnusson
76'
⚽F. Myhre
· ast. D. De Roeve
77'
78'
M. Ofkir
/
M. Grundetjern
78'
K. Tshiembe
/
H. Bjordal
79'
F. Ambina
Pre-match prediction
56.99%
Brann
19.5%
X
23.51%
Valerenga ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Valerenga)
23.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.74
2.29
-0.45
1.63
1.54
-0.09
Brann dominated by xG (2.29 vs 1.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Mathias Dyngeland
G
17
Joachim Soltvedt
D
23
Thore Pedersen
45'
D
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
D
21
Denzel De Roeve
1 👟
D
8
Felix Horn Myhre
1 ⚽
M
Felix Horn Myhre
1 ⚽
M
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
71'
M
16
Kristian Eriksen
45'
M
9
Niklas Castro
1 ⚽
F
29
N. Holm
F
N. Holm
F
14
U. Mathisen
76'
F
U. Mathisen
76'
F
Bench
11
Bård Finne
F
19
Eggert Aron Guðmundsson
26'
M
18
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
52'
M
15
Jonas Torsvik
D
Jonas Torsvik
D
10
K. Ingason
F
K. Ingason
F
32
Markus Haaland
M
22
Sævar Atli Magnússon
21'
F
12
Simen Vidtun Nilsen
G
20
Vetle Dragsnes
52'
D
1
Oscar Hedvall
G
Oscar Hedvall
G
2
K. Finnsson
D
K. Finnsson
D
37
I. Näsberg
57'
D
I. Näsberg
57'
D
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
D
Aaron Kiil Olsen
D
55
S. Jarl
D
S. Jarl
D
77
L. Haren
1 ⚽
1 👟
67'
M
L. Haren
1 ⚽
1 👟
67'
M
10
Carl Lange
1 ⚽
61'
M
Carl Lange
1 ⚽
61'
M
29
Ambina Fidèle Brice
1 👟
M
Ambina Fidèle Brice
1 👟
M
8
H. Bjørdal
1 ⚽
1 👟
78'
M
H. Bjørdal
1 ⚽
1 👟
78'
M
17
M. Grundetjern
78'
F
M. Grundetjern
78'
F
26
Filip Thorvaldsen
62'
F
Filip Thorvaldsen
62'
F
Bench
30
Alexander Svensen Ordal
G
Alexander Svensen Ordal
G
9
Gabriel Rajkovic
F
Gabriel Rajkovic
F
3
Hakon Sjatil
36'
D
Hakon Sjatil
36'
D
5
Kevin Tshiembe
19'
D
Kevin Tshiembe
19'
D
28
Magnus Westergaard
35'
M
Magnus Westergaard
35'
M
7
Mohamed Ofkir
19'
M
Mohamed Ofkir
19'
M
24
Petter Strand
30'
M
Petter Strand
30'
M
19
Promise Meliga
F
Promise Meliga
F
6
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
D
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
D
Best on the pitch
L. Haren
M · Valerenga
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 13 pass
H. Bjørdal
M · Valerenga
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 39 pass
Felix Horn Myhre
M · Brann
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
Mathias Dyngeland
G · Brann
7.90
· 38 pass
Carl Lange
M · Valerenga
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
M · Brann
7.30
· 56 pass
Brann — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Dyngeland | G | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Joachim Soltvedt | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 99 | 81% | 2 | — | — |
| Thore Pedersen | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 70 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Denzel De Roeve | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 57 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Felix Horn Myhre | M | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Niklas Jensen Wassberg | M | 71 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Kristian Eriksen | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Niklas Castro | F | 97 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 59 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Holm | F | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| U. Mathisen | F | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Eggert Aron Guðmundsson | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Lungi Sørensen | M | 52 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Sævar Atli Magnússon | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Vetle Dragsnes | D | 52 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
Valerenga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Hedvall | G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 11% | — | — | — |
| K. Finnsson | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Näsberg | D | 57 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | 1 |
| Aaron Kiil Olsen | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Jarl | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Haren | M | 67 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Carl Lange | M | 61 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Ambina Fidèle Brice | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| H. Bjørdal | M | 78 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Grundetjern | F | 78 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Filip Thorvaldsen | F | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Hakon Sjatil | D | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Tshiembe | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Magnus Westergaard | M | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Ofkir | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Petter Strand | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brann vs Valerenga?
The final score was Brann 2–3 Valerenga.
What did the model predict before Brann vs Valerenga?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Brann win, 19% to a draw, and 23% to an Valerenga win.