Brann 2–3 Valerenga — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — July 26, 2026

← Eliteserien

Eliteserien · Regular Season - 15 July 26, 2026 14:30 Brann Stadion, Bergen

Brann

#7 · 29 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Valerenga

#12 · 23 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Brann, result Valerenga wins

N. Castro 65' (pen.)

F. Myhre (ast. D. De Roeve) 77'

24' (ast. L. Haren) H. Bjordal

41' (ast. F. Ambina) C. Lange

45'+4 (ast. H. Bjordal) L. Haren

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brann a 56% win probability (draw 19%, Valerenga 23%). The final result was Brann 2–3 Valerenga.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.29

Actual xG

1.54

Saves

71%

Possession

29%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

19'

C. Lange

24'

ast. L. Haren · H. Bjordal⚽

41'

ast. F. Ambina · C. Lange⚽

45'+4

ast. H. Bjordal · L. Haren⚽

↕ T. Pedersen / V. Dragsnes

46'

↕ K. Eriksen / J. Sorensen

46'

49'

M. Grundetjern

54'

K. Finnsson

57'

I. Nasberg

61'

H. Sjatil / C. Lange ↕

62'

M. Westergaard / F. Thorvaldsen ↕

⚽N. Castro (pen.)

65'

67'

P. Strand / L. Haren ↕

↕ N. Wassberg / E. Gudmundsson

71'

↕ U. Mathisen / S. Magnusson

76'

⚽F. Myhre · ast. D. De Roeve

77'

78'

M. Ofkir / M. Grundetjern ↕

78'

K. Tshiembe / H. Bjordal ↕

79'

F. Ambina

Pre-match prediction

56.99%

Brann

19.5%

23.51%

Valerenga ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Valerenga) 23.51% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Brann

2.74

2.29

-0.45

Valerenga

1.63

1.54

-0.09

Brann dominated by xG (2.29 vs 1.54). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	21	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	50
3	Tromso	21	38
4	Molde	21	36
5	Rosenborg	21	33
6	Lillestrom	21	32
7	Brann	21	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	25
11	Sandefjord	21	23
12	Valerenga	21	23
13	Ham-Kam	21	23
14	Aalesund	21	21
15	Kristiansund BK	21	19
16	Start	21	16

Lineups

Brann 4-3-3

M. Dyngeland G 7.90

J. Soltvedt D 6.30

T. Pedersen 45' D 6.30

F. Knudsen D 6.70

D. De Roeve 1 👟 D 6.70

F. Myhre 1 ⚽ M 7.90

N. Jensen Wassberg 71' M 5.90

K. Eriksen 45' M 6.30

N. Castro 1 ⚽ F 7.20

N. Holm F 7.20

U. Mathisen 76' F 6.90

Bench

B. Finne F

E. Guðmundsson 26' M 6.90

J. Sørensen 52' M 7.30

J. Torsvik D

K. Ingason F

M. Haaland M

S. Magnússon 21' F 6.20

S. Nilsen G

V. Dragsnes 52' D 7.00

Valerenga 4-4-2

O. Hedvall G 7.30

K. Finnsson D 6.00

I. Näsberg 57' D 5.90

Aaron Kiil Olsen D 7.00

S. Jarl D 6.30

L. Haren 1 ⚽ 1 👟 67' M 8.20

C. Lange 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.70

Ambina Fidèle Brice 1 👟 M 6.50

H. Bjørdal 1 ⚽ 1 👟 78' M 8.00

M. Grundetjern 78' F 6.00

Filip Thorvaldsen 62' F 7.00

Bench

Alexander Svensen Ordal G

G. Rajkovic F

H. Sjåtil 36' D 6.50

K. Tshiembe 19' D 6.90

M. Ofkir 19' M 6.30

M. Westergaard 35' M 6.50

Promise Meliga F

P. Strand 30' M 6.50

V. Hedenstad D

Best on the pitch

L. Haren

M · Valerenga

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 13 pass

H. Bjørdal

M · Valerenga

8.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 39 pass

F. Myhre

M · Brann

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 38 pass

M. Dyngeland

G · Brann

7.90

· 38 pass

C. Lange

M · Valerenga

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 16 pass

J. Sørensen

M · Brann

7.30

· 56 pass

Brann — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Dyngeland	G	97	7.90	—	—	—	38	31%	—	—	—
J. Soltvedt	D	97	6.30	—	—	3	99	81%	2	—	—
T. Pedersen	D	45	6.30	—	—	—	46	37%	1	—	—
F. Knudsen	D	97	6.70	—	—	—	70	61%	1	—	—
D. De Roeve	D	97	6.70	—	1	—	57	48%	1	—	—
F. Myhre	M	97	7.90	1	—	2	38	32%	2	—	—
N. Jensen Wassberg	M	71	5.90	—	—	—	32	26%	3	—	—
K. Eriksen	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	20	15%	—	—	—
N. Castro	F	97	7.20	1	—	2	59	41%	1	—	—
N. Holm	F	97	7.20	—	—	2	23	18%	1	—	—
U. Mathisen	F	76	6.90	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
E. Guðmundsson	M	26	6.90	—	—	1	19	16%	—	—	—
J. Sørensen	M	52	7.30	—	—	—	56	48%	2	—	—
S. Magnússon	F	21	6.20	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
V. Dragsnes	D	52	7.00	—	—	—	68	67%	1	—	—

Valerenga — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
O. Hedvall	G	97	7.30	—	—	—	30	11%	—	—	—
K. Finnsson	D	97	6.00	—	—	1	19	15%	1	1	—
I. Näsberg	D	57	5.90	—	—	1	13	11%	—	—	1
Aaron Kiil Olsen	D	97	7.00	—	—	1	26	18%	1	—	—
S. Jarl	D	97	6.30	—	—	1	30	20%	1	—	—
L. Haren	M	67	8.20	1	1	3	13	7%	—	—	—
C. Lange	M	61	7.70	1	—	2	16	12%	4	1	—
Ambina Fidèle Brice	M	97	6.50	—	1	—	22	15%	3	1	—
H. Bjørdal	M	78	8.00	1	1	2	39	29%	4	—	—
M. Grundetjern	F	78	6.00	—	—	2	18	10%	1	1	—
Filip Thorvaldsen	F	62	7.00	—	—	1	16	14%	3	—	—
H. Sjåtil	D	36	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	2	—	—
K. Tshiembe	D	19	6.90	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
M. Ofkir	M	19	6.30	—	—	1	6	4%	—	—	—
M. Westergaard	M	35	6.50	—	—	—	6	2%	—	—	—
P. Strand	M	30	6.50	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Brann vs Valerenga?

The final score was Brann 2–3 Valerenga.

What did the model predict before Brann vs Valerenga?

The model assigned 56% probability to a Brann win, 19% to a draw, and 23% to an Valerenga win.