World Cup
· Group Stage - 1
June 14, 2026 00:00
Vinicius Junior
(ast. Bruno Guimaraes)
32'
21'
(ast. B. Diaz)
I. Saibari
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brazil a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Morocco 30%). The final result was Brazil 1–1 Morocco.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
1.24
Actual xG
1.28
1
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
5
Corners
0
21
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
21'
ast. B. Diaz ·
I. Saibari⚽
⚽Vinicius Junior
· ast. Bruno Guimaraes
32'
Casemiro
37'
Ibanez
43'
Ibanez
/ Danilo
46'
Casemiro
/ Fabinho
46'
Lucas Paqueta
/ M. Cunha
61'
I. Thiago
/ Luiz Henrique
62'
65'
C. Talbi
/
B. Diaz
65'
S. El Mourabet
/
A. Ounahi
80'
A. Salah-Eddine
/
N. Mazraoui
80'
A. Amaimouni
/
B. El Khannouss
Bruno Guimaraes
/ Danilo Santos
80'
89'
S. Rahimi
/
I. Saibari
Pre-match prediction
43.17%
Brazil
26.75%
X ←
30.08%
Morocco
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.02
1.24
-0.78
1.68
1.28
-0.4
xG dominance was balanced (1.24 – 1.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Alisson
G
Alisson
G
16
Douglas Santos
D
Douglas Santos
D
3
Gabriel Magalhães
D
Gabriel Magalhães
D
4
Marquinhos
D
Marquinhos
D
24
Ibañez
45'
D
Ibañez
45'
D
8
Bruno Guimarães
1 👟
80'
M
Bruno Guimarães
1 👟
80'
M
5
Casemiro
45'
M
Casemiro
45'
M
7
Vinícius Júnior
1 ⚽
M
Vinícius Júnior
1 ⚽
M
11
Raphinha
M
Raphinha
M
20
Lucas Paquetá
61'
M
Lucas Paquetá
61'
M
25
Igor Thiago
62'
F
Igor Thiago
62'
F
Bench
6
Alex Sandro
D
Alex Sandro
D
14
Bremer
D
Bremer
D
13
Danilo
48'
D
Danilo
48'
D
18
Danilo Santos
13'
M
Danilo Santos
13'
M
23
Ederson
G
Ederson
G
2
Éderson
M
Éderson
M
19
Endrick
F
Endrick
F
17
Fabinho
48'
M
Fabinho
48'
M
22
Gabriel Martinelli
F
Gabriel Martinelli
F
15
Léo Pereira
D
Léo Pereira
D
21
Luiz Henrique
31'
F
Luiz Henrique
31'
F
9
Matheus Cunha
32'
F
Matheus Cunha
32'
F
26
Rayan
F
Rayan
F
12
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
1
Yassine Bounou
G
Yassine Bounou
G
3
Noussair Mazraoui
80'
D
Noussair Mazraoui
80'
D
18
Chadi Riad
D
Chadi Riad
D
14
I. Diop
D
I. Diop
D
2
A. Hakimi
D
A. Hakimi
D
6
Ayyoub Bouaddi
M
Ayyoub Bouaddi
M
24
N. El Aynaoui
M
N. El Aynaoui
M
23
Bilal El Khannouss
80'
M
Bilal El Khannouss
80'
M
8
A. Ounahi
65'
M
A. Ounahi
65'
M
10
Brahim Díaz
1 👟
65'
M
Brahim Díaz
1 👟
65'
M
11
I. Saibari
1 ⚽
89'
F
I. Saibari
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
20
A. El Kaabi
F
A. El Kaabi
F
17
Amine Sbai
F
Amine Sbai
F
26
Anass Salah-Eddine
13'
D
Anass Salah-Eddine
13'
D
22
A. Tagnaouti
G
A. Tagnaouti
G
21
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab
13'
F
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab
13'
F
7
Chemsdine Talbi
28'
F
Chemsdine Talbi
28'
F
16
Gessime Yassine
F
Gessime Yassine
F
5
Marwane Saadane
D
Marwane Saadane
D
12
M. Mohamedi
G
M. Mohamedi
G
25
Redouane Halhal
D
Redouane Halhal
D
15
Samir El Mourabet
28'
M
Samir El Mourabet
28'
M
4
Sofyan Amrabat
M
Sofyan Amrabat
M
9
S. Rahimi
4'
F
S. Rahimi
4'
F
19
Youssef Belammari
D
Youssef Belammari
D
13
Zakaria El Ouahdi
D
Zakaria El Ouahdi
D
Best on the pitch
Vinícius Júnior
M · Brazil
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
I. Saibari
F · Morocco
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
Marquinhos
D · Brazil
7.30
1 shots
· 79 pass
Douglas Santos
D · Brazil
7.20
· 61 pass
Gabriel Magalhães
D · Brazil
7.20
· 85 pass
N. El Aynaoui
M · Morocco
7.00
1 shots
· 48 pass
Brazil — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alisson | G | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Douglas Santos | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 52% | 7 | — | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 85 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| Marquinhos | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 75% | — | — | — |
| Ibañez | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Guimarães | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Casemiro | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | M | 93 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Raphinha | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| Igor Thiago | F | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Danilo | D | 48 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Danilo Santos | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Henrique | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Cunha | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Morocco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yassine Bounou | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Noussair Mazraoui | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Chadi Riad | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| I. Diop | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 39% | — | — | — |
| A. Hakimi | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 43 | 41% | 5 | — | — |
| Ayyoub Bouaddi | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| N. El Aynaoui | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| Bilal El Khannouss | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Ounahi | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19% | — | — | — |
| I. Saibari | F | 89 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Anass Salah-Eddine | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Chemsdine Talbi | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Samir El Mourabet | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Rahimi | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brazil vs Morocco?
The final score was Brazil 1–1 Morocco.
What did the model predict before Brazil vs Morocco?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Brazil win, 26% to a draw, and 30% to an Morocco win.