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World Cup · Round of 16 July 05, 2026 22:00 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Brazil
#1 · 7 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Norway
#2 · 6 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Brazil, result Norway wins
Neymar 90'+10 (pen.)
79' (ast. A. Schjelderup) E. Haaland
90' (ast. A. Schjelderup) E. Haaland
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brazil a 68% win probability (draw 16%, Norway 14%). The final result was Brazil 1–2 Norway.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
2.73
Actual xG
0.84
3
Saves
4
34%
Possession
66%
5
Corners
5
23
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Bruno Guimaraes (missed pen.)
14'
46'
O. Bobb / A. Sorloth ↕
46'
A. Schjelderup / A. Nusa ↕
↕ M. Cunha / Endrick
58'
63'
F. Aursnes / J. Ryerson ↕
↕ Rayan / Danilo Santos
67'
↕ G. Martinelli / Neymar
67'
↕ Bruno Guimaraes / Ederson
79'
79'
ast. A. Schjelderup · E. Haaland⚽
90'+5
L. Ostigard / D. Wolfe ↕
Neymar
90'+6
⚽Neymar (pen.)
90'+10
90'
ast. A. Schjelderup · E. Haaland⚽
Pre-match prediction
68.84%
Brazil
16.28%
X
14.88%
Norway ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Norway) 14.88% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Brazil
3.14
2.73
-0.41
Norway
1.18
0.84
-0.34
Brazil dominated by xG (2.73 vs 0.84). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
Brazil Brazil 4-4-2
1 Alisson Becker Alisson Becker G 6.90
16 Douglas Santos Douglas Santos D 6.90
3 Gabriel Magalhães Gabriel Magalhães D 6.20
4 Marquinhos Marquinhos D 6.20
13 Danilo Danilo D 6.60
22 Gabriel Martinelli Gabriel Martinelli 67' M 7.50
5 Casemiro Casemiro M 7.20
8 Bruno Guimarães Bruno Guimarães 79' M 6.20
26 Rayan Rayan 67' M 7.00
7 Vinícius Júnior Vinícius Júnior F 7.20
9 Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha 58' F 6.90
Bench
6 Alex Sandro Alex Sandro D
14 Bremer Bremer D
18 Danilo Santos Danilo Santos 23' M 7.00
23 Ederson Ederson G
2 Éderson Éderson 11' M 6.30
19 Endrick Endrick 32' F 6.50
17 Fabinho Fabinho M
24 Ibañez Ibañez D
15 Léo Pereira Léo Pereira D
21 Luiz Henrique Luiz Henrique F
10 Neymar Neymar 1 ⚽ 23' F 6.90
11 Raphinha Raphinha F
25 Thiago Thiago F
12 Weverton Weverton G
Norway Norway 4-3-3
1 Ø. Nyland Ø. Nyland G 7.90
5 D. Møller Wolfe D. Møller Wolfe 89' D 7.30
17 T. Heggem T. Heggem D 6.90
3 K. Ajer K. Ajer D 6.60
26 J. Ryerson J. Ryerson 63' D 6.90
6 P. Berg P. Berg M 7.20
8 S. Berge S. Berge M 7.20
10 M. Ødegaard M. Ødegaard M 6.20
20 A. Nusa A. Nusa 45' F 6.50
9 E. Haaland E. Haaland 2 ⚽ F 9.00
7 A. Sørloth A. Sørloth 45' F 6.20
Bench
21 A. Schjelderup A. Schjelderup 2 👟 45' F 7.30
13 E. Selvik E. Selvik G
14 F. Aursnes F. Aursnes 27' M 6.70
15 F. Bjørkan F. Bjørkan D
25 H. Falchener H. Falchener D
23 J. Hauge J. Hauge M
11 J. Strand Larsen J. Strand Larsen F
18 K. Thorstvedt K. Thorstvedt M
4 Leo Østigård Leo Østigård 1' D
2 M. Thorsby M. Thorsby M
22 Oscar Bobb Oscar Bobb 45' M 6.60
24 S. Langås S. Langås D
12 S. Tangvik S. Tangvik G
19 T. Aasgaard T. Aasgaard M
Best on the pitch
E. Haaland
E. Haaland
F · Norway
9.00
2 ⚽
4 shots · 13 pass
Ø. Nyland
Ø. Nyland
G · Norway
7.90
· 41 pass
Gabriel Martinelli
Gabriel Martinelli
M · Brazil
7.50
· 24 pass
D. Møller Wolfe
D. Møller Wolfe
D · Norway
7.30
· 39 pass
A. Schjelderup
A. Schjelderup
F · Norway
7.30
2 👟
1 shots · 27 pass
S. Berge
S. Berge
M · Norway
7.20
· 119 pass
Brazil Brazil — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alisson Becker G 90 6.90 — — — 16 11% — — —
Douglas Santos D 90 6.90 — — — 38 32% 6 — —
Gabriel Magalhães D 90 6.20 — — — 32 30% 2 — —
Marquinhos D 90 6.20 — — — 25 20% 1 — —
Danilo D 90 6.60 — — 1 39 32% 5 — —
Gabriel Martinelli M 67 7.50 — — — 24 20% — — —
Casemiro M 90 7.20 — — — 38 35% 2 — —
Bruno Guimarães M 79 6.20 — — 1 27 22% 2 — —
Rayan M 67 7.00 — — 2 23 21% — — —
Vinícius Júnior F 90 7.20 — — 2 23 19% 1 — —
Matheus Cunha F 58 6.90 — — 1 8 7% — — —
Danilo Santos M 23 7.00 — — — 19 17% 4 — —
Éderson M 11 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Endrick F 32 6.50 — — 1 2 1% — — —
Neymar F 23 6.90 1 — 2 12 9% — 1 —
Norway Norway — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ø. Nyland G 90 7.90 — — — 41 26% — — —
D. Møller Wolfe D 89 7.30 — — — 39 33% 2 — —
T. Heggem D 90 6.90 — — — 80 74% 2 — —
K. Ajer D 90 6.60 — — — 79 73% 1 — —
J. Ryerson D 63 6.90 — — — 60 56% 2 — —
P. Berg M 90 7.20 — — 1 27 25% 3 — —
S. Berge M 90 7.20 — — — 119 117% — — —
M. Ødegaard M 90 6.20 — — 2 109 101% — — —
A. Nusa F 45 6.50 — — — 18 13% — — —
E. Haaland F 90 9.00 2 — 4 13 12% — — —
A. Sørloth F 45 6.20 — — — 29 26% — — —
A. Schjelderup F 45 7.30 — 2 1 27 25% 1 — —
F. Aursnes M 27 6.70 — — — 15 13% 2 — —
Leo Østigård D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Oscar Bobb M 45 6.60 — — — 24 23% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brazil vs Norway?
The final score was Brazil 1–2 Norway.
What did the model predict before Brazil vs Norway?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Brazil win, 16% to a draw, and 14% to an Norway win.