D. Ouattara
40'
D. Ouattara
(ast. S. van den Berg)
88'
(pen.)
6'
I. Sarr
52'
(ast. D. Munoz)
A. Wharton
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brentford a 48% win probability (draw 25%, Crystal Palace 25%). The final result was Brentford 2–2 Crystal Palace. In 1 previous meetings, Brentford have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Crystal Palace.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
2.05
Actual xG
1.67
3
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
4
6
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
(pen.)
I. Sarr⚽
⚽D. Ouattara
40'
46'
B. Johnson
/
Y. Pino
52'
ast. D. Munoz ·
A. Wharton⚽
61'
C. Richards
/
M. Lacroix
61'
J. Mateta
/
J. S. Larsen
M. Jensen
/ K. Schade
63'
V. Janelt
/ J. Henderson
63'
74'
J. Lerma
/
C. Riad
K. Ajer
/ S. van den Berg
82'
83'
C. Richards
⚽D. Ouattara
· ast. S. van den Berg
88'
Y. Yarmolyuk
/ J. Dasilva
89'
89'
J. Lerma
90'+3
E. Guessand
/
I. Sarr
M. Kayode
90'+5
90'+5
D. Henderson
Pre-match prediction
48.77%
Brentford
25.88%
X ←
25.35%
Crystal
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.88%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
2.05
+0.57
1.05
1.67
+0.62
Brentford dominated by xG (2.05 vs 1.67).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
C. Kelleher
G
C. Kelleher
G
23
K. Lewis-Potter
D
K. Lewis-Potter
D
22
N. Collins
D
N. Collins
D
20
K. Ajer
82'
D
K. Ajer
82'
D
33
M. Kayode
D
M. Kayode
D
27
V. Janelt
63'
M
V. Janelt
63'
M
18
Y. Yarmolyuk
89'
M
Y. Yarmolyuk
89'
M
24
M. Damsgaard
M
M. Damsgaard
M
8
M. Jensen
63'
M
M. Jensen
63'
M
19
D. Ouattara
2 ⚽
M
D. Ouattara
2 ⚽
M
9
Thiago
F
Thiago
F
Bench
2
A. Hickey
D
A. Hickey
D
5
E. Pinnock
D
E. Pinnock
D
12
H. Valdimarsson
G
H. Valdimarsson
G
6
J. Henderson
27'
M
J. Henderson
27'
M
10
Josh Dasilva
13'
M
Josh Dasilva
13'
M
47
Kaye Furo
F
Kaye Furo
F
7
K. Schade
27'
M
K. Schade
27'
M
11
R. Nelson
F
R. Nelson
F
4
S. van den Berg
1 👟
8'
D
S. van den Berg
1 👟
8'
D
1
D. Henderson
G
D. Henderson
G
34
Chadi Riad
74'
D
Chadi Riad
74'
D
5
M. Lacroix
61'
D
M. Lacroix
61'
D
23
J. Canvot
D
J. Canvot
D
3
T. Mitchell
M
T. Mitchell
M
18
D. Kamada
M
D. Kamada
M
20
A. Wharton
1 ⚽
M
A. Wharton
1 ⚽
M
2
D. Muñoz
1 👟
M
D. Muñoz
1 👟
M
10
Yeremy Pino
45'
F
Yeremy Pino
45'
F
7
I. Sarr
1 ⚽
89'
F
I. Sarr
1 ⚽
89'
F
22
J. Strand Larsen
61'
F
J. Strand Larsen
61'
F
Bench
11
B. Johnson
45'
F
B. Johnson
45'
F
26
C. Richards
29'
D
C. Richards
29'
D
29
E. Guessand
9'
F
E. Guessand
9'
F
55
J. Devenny
M
J. Devenny
M
8
J. Lerma
16'
M
J. Lerma
16'
M
14
J. Mateta
29'
F
J. Mateta
29'
F
17
Nathaniel Clyne
D
Nathaniel Clyne
D
44
W. Benítez
G
W. Benítez
G
19
W. Hughes
M
W. Hughes
M
Best on the pitch
D. Ouattara
M · Brentford
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 15 pass
A. Wharton
M · Crystal
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 42 pass
S. van den Berg
D · Brentford
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 9 pass
T. Mitchell
M · Crystal
7.50
· 35 pass
M. Damsgaard
M · Brentford
7.50
1 shots
· 49 pass
Y. Yarmolyuk
M · Brentford
7.30
· 70 pass
Brentford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kelleher | G | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| K. Lewis-Potter | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Collins | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | — | — | — |
| K. Ajer | D | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kayode | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| V. Janelt | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Y. Yarmolyuk | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Damsgaard | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Jensen | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D. Ouattara | M | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 5 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Thiago | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Henderson | M | 27 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Josh Dasilva | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Schade | M | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. van den Berg | D | 8 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Henderson | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Chadi Riad | D | 74 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Lacroix | D | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Canvot | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Mitchell | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Wharton | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 42 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Yeremy Pino | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sarr | F | 89 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 61 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| B. Johnson | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Guessand | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Lerma | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Mateta | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Brentford 2–2 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Brentford win, 25% to a draw, and 25% to an Crystal Palace win.