D. Ouattara
40'
D. Ouattara
(ast. S. van den Berg)
88'
(pen.)
6'
I. Sarr
52'
(ast. D. Munoz)
A. Wharton
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brentford a 48% win probability (draw 25%, Crystal Palace 25%). The final result was Brentford 2–2 Crystal Palace. In 1 previous meetings, Brentford have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Crystal Palace.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
2.05
Actual xG
1.67
3
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
4
6
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
(pen.)
I. Sarr⚽
⚽D. Ouattara
40'
46'
B. Johnson
/
Y. Pino
52'
ast. D. Munoz ·
A. Wharton⚽
61'
C. Richards
/
M. Lacroix
61'
J. Mateta
/
J. S. Larsen
M. Jensen
/ K. Schade
63'
V. Janelt
/ J. Henderson
63'
74'
J. Lerma
/
C. Riad
K. Ajer
/ S. van den Berg
82'
83'
C. Richards
⚽D. Ouattara
· ast. S. van den Berg
88'
Y. Yarmolyuk
/ J. Dasilva
89'
89'
J. Lerma
90'+3
E. Guessand
/
I. Sarr
M. Kayode
90'+5
90'+5
D. Henderson
Pre-match prediction
48.77%
Brentford
25.88%
X ←
25.35%
Crystal
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.88%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
2.05
+0.57
1.05
1.67
+0.62
Brentford dominated by xG (2.05 vs 1.67).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Caoimhin Kelleher
G
Caoimhin Kelleher
G
23
Keane Lewis-Potter
D
Keane Lewis-Potter
D
22
Nathan Collins
D
Nathan Collins
D
20
Kristoffer Ajer
82'
D
Kristoffer Ajer
82'
D
33
Michael Kayode
D
Michael Kayode
D
27
Vitaly Janelt
63'
M
Vitaly Janelt
63'
M
18
Yehor Yarmoliuk
89'
M
Yehor Yarmoliuk
89'
M
24
M. Damsgaard
M
M. Damsgaard
M
8
Mathias Jensen
63'
M
Mathias Jensen
63'
M
19
D. Ouattara
2 ⚽
M
D. Ouattara
2 ⚽
M
9
Igor Thiago
F
Igor Thiago
F
Bench
2
Aaron Hickey
D
Aaron Hickey
D
5
Ethan Pinnock
D
Ethan Pinnock
D
12
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson
G
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson
G
6
Jordan Henderson
27'
M
Jordan Henderson
27'
M
10
Josh Dasilva
13'
M
Josh Dasilva
13'
M
47
Kaye Furo
F
Kaye Furo
F
7
K. Schade
27'
M
K. Schade
27'
M
11
Reiss Nelson
F
Reiss Nelson
F
4
Sepp van den Berg
1 👟
8'
D
Sepp van den Berg
1 👟
8'
D
1
Dean Henderson
G
Dean Henderson
G
34
Chadi Riad
74'
D
Chadi Riad
74'
D
5
Maxence Lacroix
61'
D
Maxence Lacroix
61'
D
23
Jaydee Canvot
D
Jaydee Canvot
D
3
Tyrick Mitchell
M
Tyrick Mitchell
M
18
D. Kamada
M
D. Kamada
M
20
Adam Wharton
1 ⚽
M
Adam Wharton
1 ⚽
M
2
D. Muñoz
1 👟
M
D. Muñoz
1 👟
M
10
Yeremy Pino
45'
F
Yeremy Pino
45'
F
7
I. Sarr
1 ⚽
89'
F
I. Sarr
1 ⚽
89'
F
22
J. Strand Larsen
61'
F
J. Strand Larsen
61'
F
Bench
11
Brennan Johnson
45'
F
Brennan Johnson
45'
F
26
C. Richards
29'
D
C. Richards
29'
D
29
Evann Guessand
9'
F
Evann Guessand
9'
F
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
29'
F
Jean-Philippe Mateta
29'
F
8
J. Lerma
16'
M
J. Lerma
16'
M
55
Justin Devenny
M
Justin Devenny
M
17
Nathaniel Clyne
D
Nathaniel Clyne
D
44
Walter Benítez
G
Walter Benítez
G
19
Will Hughes
M
Will Hughes
M
Best on the pitch
D. Ouattara
M · Brentford
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 15 pass
Adam Wharton
M · Crystal
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 42 pass
Sepp van den Berg
D · Brentford
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 9 pass
M. Damsgaard
M · Brentford
7.50
1 shots
· 49 pass
Tyrick Mitchell
M · Crystal
7.50
· 35 pass
Yehor Yarmoliuk
M · Brentford
7.30
· 70 pass
Brentford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caoimhin Kelleher | G | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Collins | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Kristoffer Ajer | D | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Michael Kayode | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| Vitaly Janelt | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Yehor Yarmoliuk | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Damsgaard | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathias Jensen | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D. Ouattara | M | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 5 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Igor Thiago | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Henderson | M | 27 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Josh Dasilva | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Schade | M | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Sepp van den Berg | D | 8 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Henderson | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Chadi Riad | D | 74 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Maxence Lacroix | D | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Jaydee Canvot | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Tyrick Mitchell | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| Adam Wharton | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 42 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Yeremy Pino | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sarr | F | 89 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 61 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Brennan Johnson | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Evann Guessand | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Lerma | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Brentford 2–2 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Brentford win, 25% to a draw, and 25% to an Crystal Palace win.