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#5 · 6 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#16 · 3 pts
D. Ouattara 40'
D. Ouattara (ast. S. van den Berg) 88'
(pen.) 6' I. Sarr
52' (ast. D. Munoz) A. Wharton
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brentford a 48% win probability (draw 25%, Crystal Palace 25%). The final result was Brentford 2–2 Crystal Palace. In 1 previous meetings, Brentford have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Crystal Palace.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
2.05
Actual xG
1.67
3
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
4
6
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
(pen.) I. Sarr
D. Ouattara
40'
46'
B. Johnson / Y. Pino
52'
ast. D. Munoz · A. Wharton
61'
C. Richards / M. Lacroix
61'
J. Mateta / J. S. Larsen
M. Jensen / K. Schade
63'
V. Janelt / J. Henderson
63'
74'
J. Lerma / C. Riad
K. Ajer / S. van den Berg
82'
83'
C. Richards
D. Ouattara · ast. S. van den Berg
88'
Y. Yarmolyuk / J. Dasilva
89'
89'
J. Lerma
90'+3
E. Guessand / I. Sarr
M. Kayode
90'+5
90'+5
D. Henderson
Pre-match prediction
48.77%
Brentford
25.88%
X ←
25.35%
Crystal
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.88% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Brentford
1.48
2.05
+0.57
Crystal
1.05
1.67
+0.62
Brentford dominated by xG (2.05 vs 1.67). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 4 12
2 Manchester City Manchester City 3 9
3 Hull City Hull City 4 8
4 Chelsea Chelsea 4 7
5 Brentford Brentford 4 6
6 Liverpool Liverpool 4 6
7 Everton Everton 4 6
8 Ipswich Ipswich 4 6
9 Newcastle Newcastle 3 5
10 Leeds Leeds 3 5
11 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4 5
12 Brighton Brighton 3 4
13 Manchester United Manchester United 3 4
14 Sunderland Sunderland 4 4
15 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4 3
16 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4 3
17 Tottenham Tottenham 4 2
18 Fulham Fulham 4 1
19 Aston Villa Aston Villa 4 1
20 Coventry Coventry 3 0
Lineups
Brentford Brentford 4-2-3-1
1 C. Kelleher C. Kelleher G 5.60
23 K. Lewis-Potter K. Lewis-Potter D 6.50
22 N. Collins N. Collins D 7.00
20 K. Ajer K. Ajer 82' D 6.20
33 M. Kayode M. Kayode D 6.30
27 V. Janelt V. Janelt 63' M 6.60
18 Y. Yarmolyuk Y. Yarmolyuk 89' M 7.30
24 M. Damsgaard M. Damsgaard M 7.50
8 Mathias Jensen Mathias Jensen 63' M 6.20
19 D. Ouattara D. Ouattara 2 ⚽ M 8.30
9 Thiago Thiago F 6.20
Bench
2 A. Hickey A. Hickey D
5 E. Pinnock E. Pinnock D
12 H. Valdimarsson H. Valdimarsson G
6 Jordan Henderson Jordan Henderson 27' M 7.00
10 Josh Dasilva Josh Dasilva 13' M 6.30
47 Kaye Furo Kaye Furo F
7 K. Schade K. Schade 27' M 6.50
11 Reiss Nelson Reiss Nelson F
4 Sepp van den Berg Sepp van den Berg 1 👟 8' D 8.00
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1
1 D. Henderson D. Henderson G 6.30
34 Chadi Riad Chadi Riad 74' D 5.90
5 M. Lacroix M. Lacroix 61' D 6.90
23 J. Canvot J. Canvot D 6.70
3 T. Mitchell T. Mitchell M 7.50
18 D. Kamada D. Kamada M 6.90
20 A. Wharton A. Wharton 1 ⚽ M 8.20
2 D. Muñoz D. Muñoz 1 👟 M 7.20
10 Yeremy Pino Yeremy Pino 45' F 6.90
7 I. Sarr I. Sarr 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.90
22 J. Strand Larsen J. Strand Larsen 61' F 5.90
Bench
11 B. Johnson B. Johnson 45' F 6.30
26 C. Richards C. Richards 29' D 6.20
29 E. Guessand E. Guessand 9' F 6.60
55 J. Devenny J. Devenny M
14 Jean-Philippe Mateta Jean-Philippe Mateta 29' F 6.50
8 J. Lerma J. Lerma 16' M 6.90
17 Nathaniel Clyne Nathaniel Clyne D
44 W. Benítez W. Benítez G
19 W. Hughes W. Hughes M
Best on the pitch
D. Ouattara
D. Ouattara
M · Brentford
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots · 15 pass
A. Wharton
A. Wharton
M · Crystal
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 42 pass
Sepp van den Berg
Sepp van den Berg
D · Brentford
8.00
1 👟
1 shots · 9 pass
M. Damsgaard
M. Damsgaard
M · Brentford
7.50
1 shots · 49 pass
T. Mitchell
T. Mitchell
M · Crystal
7.50
· 35 pass
Y. Yarmolyuk
Y. Yarmolyuk
M · Brentford
7.30
· 70 pass
Brentford Brentford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Kelleher G 90 5.60 33 25%
K. Lewis-Potter D 90 6.50 1 35 29% 1
N. Collins D 90 7.00 52 45%
K. Ajer D 82 6.20 46 40% 1
M. Kayode D 90 6.30 36 31% 1
V. Janelt M 63 6.60 29 27%
Y. Yarmolyuk M 89 7.30 70 63% 2
M. Damsgaard M 90 7.50 1 49 31% 1
Mathias Jensen M 63 6.20 29 19%
D. Ouattara M 90 8.30 2 5 15 9%
Thiago F 90 6.20 1 20 12%
Jordan Henderson M 27 7.00 25 22%
Josh Dasilva M 13 6.30 1 3 2%
K. Schade M 27 6.50 1 3 1%
Sepp van den Berg D 8 8.00 1 1 9 9% 1
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Henderson G 90 6.30 40 9% 1
Chadi Riad D 74 5.90 1 26 16%
M. Lacroix D 61 6.90 21 17% 1
J. Canvot D 90 6.70 25 20% 2
T. Mitchell M 90 7.50 35 25% 4
D. Kamada M 90 6.90 38 30% 4
A. Wharton M 90 8.20 1 3 42 33% 2
D. Muñoz M 90 7.20 1 2 28 24% 3
Yeremy Pino F 45 6.90 18 13% 1
I. Sarr F 89 6.90 1 2 19 13%
J. Strand Larsen F 61 5.90 2 20 12%
B. Johnson F 45 6.30 11 6% 1
C. Richards D 29 6.20 5 4% 1
E. Guessand F 9 6.60 2 2%
Jean-Philippe Mateta F 29 6.50 5 1%
J. Lerma M 16 6.90 4 3% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Brentford 2–2 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Brentford win, 25% to a draw, and 25% to an Crystal Palace win.