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Premier League · Regular Season - 7 October 17, 2026 16:00 Gtech Community Stadium, London
Brentford
#6 · 11 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Liverpool
#4 · 15 pts
Keane Lewis-Potter (ast. Igor Thiago) 44'
62' (ast. Florian Wirtz) Víctor Muñoz
70' (ast. Bradley Barcola) Alexander Isak
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brentford a 40% win probability (draw 28%, Liverpool 31%). The final result was Brentford 1–2 Liverpool. In 2 previous meetings, Brentford have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Liverpool.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
21
2
Shots on target
5
0.90
Actual xG
1.54
3
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
3
Corners
9
16
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
31'
Bradley Barcola
32'
Treymaurice Nyoni / Dominik Szoboszlai ↕
41'
⚽Keane Lewis-Potter · ast. Igor Thiago
44'
45'+5
Yehor Yarmoliuk
45'+8
45'
Jeremie Frimpong / Ronald Araujo ↕
↕ Dango Ouattara / Kevin Schade
45'
↕ Mathias Jensen / Mamadou Sangare
45'
Igor Thiago
46'
49'
Jérémy Jacquet
52'
Rio Ngumoha / Jeremie Frimpong ↕
53'
Alexis Mac Allister
Kevin Schade
60'
62'
ast. Florian Wirtz · Víctor Muñoz⚽
Vitaly Janelt
63'
70'
ast. Bradley Barcola · Alexander Isak⚽
↕ Sepp van den Berg / Aaron Hickey
71'
↕ Keane Lewis-Potter / El Hadji Malick Diouf
77'
↕ Jaidon Anthony / Mikkel Damsgaard
77'
79'
Lewis Koumas / Alexander Isak ↕
79'
Joe Gomez / Víctor Muñoz ↕
Vitaly Janelt
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
40.39%
Brentford
28.29%
X
31.32%
Liverpool ←
we assigned to the actual result (Liverpool) 31.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Brentford
1.84
0.90
-0.94
Liverpool
1.28
1.54
+0.26
Liverpool dominated by xG (1.54 vs 0.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Brentford Brentford 4-2-3-1
1 C. Kelleher C. Kelleher G 6.16
23 K. Lewis-Potter K. Lewis-Potter 1 ⚽ 77' D 7.47
4 S. van den Berg S. van den Berg 71' D 6.27
20 K. Ajer K. Ajer D 6.63
33 M. Kayode M. Kayode D 7.36
27 V. Janelt V. Janelt M 5.37
6 Y. Yarmolyuk Y. Yarmolyuk 53' M 5.35
19 J. Anthony J. Anthony 77' M 6.71
8 M. Jensen M. Jensen 45' M 6.54
11 D. Ouattara D. Ouattara 45' M 6.29
9 Thiago Thiago 1 👟 F 6.42
Bench
2 A. Hickey A. Hickey 19' D 6.92
13 C. Wilson C. Wilson F 0.00
25 E. Diouf E. Diouf 13' D 6.47
14 Fábio Carvalho Fábio Carvalho M 0.00
12 H. Valdimarsson H. Valdimarsson G 0.00
7 K. Schade K. Schade 45' M 6.01
24 M. Damsgaard M. Damsgaard 13' M 6.10
18 M. Sangaré M. Sangaré 45' M 6.14
22 N. Collins N. Collins D 0.00
Liverpool Liverpool 4-2-3-1
1 Alisson Becker Alisson Becker G 6.55
6 M. Kerkez M. Kerkez D 6.02
4 V. van Dijk V. van Dijk D 7.19
5 J. Jacquet J. Jacquet D 6.30
33 R. Araújo R. Araújo 45' D 6.24
8 D. Szoboszlai D. Szoboszlai 32' M 6.09
10 A. Mac Allister A. Mac Allister M 7.00
29 B. Barcola B. Barcola 1 👟 M 6.48
7 F. Wirtz F. Wirtz 1 👟 M 7.47
23 Víctor Muñoz Víctor Muñoz 1 ⚽ 79' M 7.94
9 A. Isak A. Isak 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.76
Bench
18 C. Gakpo C. Gakpo F 0.00
25 G. Mamardashvili G. Mamardashvili G 0.00
30 J. Frimpong J. Frimpong 7' D 6.40
2 J. Gomez J. Gomez 11' D 6.40
21 K. Tsimikas K. Tsimikas D 0.00
67 L. Koumas L. Koumas 11' F 6.59
73 R. Ngumoha R. Ngumoha 38' F 6.95
42 T. Nyoni T. Nyoni 58' M 6.78
3 W. Endo W. Endo M 0.00
Best on the pitch
Víctor Muñoz
Víctor Muñoz
M · Liverpool
7.94
1 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
A. Isak
A. Isak
F · Liverpool
7.76
1 ⚽
2 shots · 8 pass
K. Lewis-Potter
K. Lewis-Potter
D · Brentford
7.47
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
F. Wirtz
F. Wirtz
M · Liverpool
7.47
1 👟
1 shots · 64 pass
M. Kayode
M. Kayode
D · Brentford
7.36
1 shots · 23 pass
V. van Dijk
V. van Dijk
D · Liverpool
7.19
1 shots · 63 pass
Brentford Brentford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Kelleher G 90 6.16 — — 0 46 26% 0 — —
K. Lewis-Potter D 77 7.47 1 — 2 18 18% 1 — —
S. van den Berg D 71 6.27 — — 0 18 15% 0 — —
K. Ajer D 90 6.63 — — 0 31 25% 3 — —
M. Kayode D 90 7.36 — — 1 23 20% 1 — —
V. Janelt M 90 5.37 — — 0 34 26% 2 — 1
Y. Yarmolyuk M 53 5.35 — — 0 18 13% 0 — 1
J. Anthony M 77 6.71 — — 4 11 6% 1 — —
M. Jensen M 45 6.54 — — 0 22 20% 0 — —
D. Ouattara M 45 6.29 — — 0 12 8% 1 — —
Thiago F 90 6.42 — 1 3 25 13% 0 1 —
A. Hickey D 19 6.92 — — 0 10 10% 1 — —
E. Diouf D 13 6.47 — — 0 8 7% 2 — —
K. Schade M 45 6.01 — — 0 10 4% 2 1 —
M. Damsgaard M 13 6.10 — — 0 19 14% 0 — —
M. Sangaré M 45 6.14 — — 0 24 19% 2 — —
Liverpool Liverpool — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alisson Becker G 90 6.55 — — 0 23 16% 0 — —
M. Kerkez D 90 6.02 — — 0 50 40% 2 — —
V. van Dijk D 90 7.19 — — 1 63 59% 1 — —
J. Jacquet D 90 6.30 — — 1 45 38% 5 1 —
R. Araújo D 45 6.24 — — 0 17 12% 0 — —
D. Szoboszlai M 32 6.09 — — 1 29 23% 1 — —
A. Mac Allister M 90 7.00 — — 4 78 68% 2 1 —
B. Barcola M 90 6.48 — 1 4 44 36% 1 1 —
F. Wirtz M 90 7.47 — 1 1 64 52% 0 — —
Víctor Muñoz M 79 7.94 1 — 3 18 15% 0 — —
A. Isak F 79 7.76 1 — 2 8 3% 0 — —
J. Frimpong D 7 6.40 — — 0 2 2% 1 — —
J. Gomez D 11 6.40 — — 0 2 1% 1 — —
L. Koumas F 11 6.59 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
R. Ngumoha F 38 6.95 — — 1 10 9% 0 — —
T. Nyoni M 58 6.78 — — 2 45 38% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brentford vs Liverpool?
The final score was Brentford 1–2 Liverpool.
What did the model predict before Brentford vs Liverpool?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Brentford win, 28% to a draw, and 31% to an Liverpool win.