Premier League
· Regular Season - 1
August 22, 2026 18:30
K. Lewis-Potter
(ast. M. Sangare)
12'
V. Janelt
33'
M. Kayode
49'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brentford a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Tottenham 33%). The final result was Brentford 3–0 Tottenham. In 2 previous meetings, Brentford have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Tottenham.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
4
3.96
Actual xG
0.47
4
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
7
Corners
3
20
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽K. Lewis-Potter
· ast. M. Sangare
12'
⚽V. Janelt
33'
34'
C. Gallagher
46'
M. Fernandes
/
C. Gallagher
46'
R. Bentancur
/
L. Bergvall
⚽M. Kayode
49'
⚽I. Thiago
(missed pen.)
54'
M. Jensen
/ Y. Yarmolyuk
67'
D. Ouattara
/ J. Anthony
67'
68'
J. Maddison
/
M. Moore
68'
D. Solanke
/
Richarlison
M. Sangare
/ M. Damsgaard
76'
M. Kayode
/ A. Hickey
76'
V. Janelt
78'
I. Thiago
/ C. Wilson
83'
86'
D. Udogie
/
A. Gray
Pre-match prediction
34.26%
Brentford ←
32.33%
X
33.41%
Tottenham
we assigned to the actual result (Brentford)
34.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.17
3.96
+2.79
0.96
0.47
-0.5
Brentford dominated by xG (3.96 vs 0.47).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
C. Kelleher
G
C. Kelleher
G
23
K. Lewis-Potter
1 ⚽
D
K. Lewis-Potter
1 ⚽
D
22
N. Collins
D
N. Collins
D
20
K. Ajer
D
K. Ajer
D
33
M. Kayode
1 ⚽
76'
D
M. Kayode
1 ⚽
76'
D
18
M. Sangaré
1 👟
76'
M
M. Sangaré
1 👟
76'
M
27
V. Janelt
1 ⚽
M
V. Janelt
1 ⚽
M
7
K. Schade
M
K. Schade
M
8
M. Jensen
67'
M
M. Jensen
67'
M
11
D. Ouattara
67'
M
D. Ouattara
67'
M
9
Thiago
83'
F
Thiago
83'
F
Bench
2
A. Hickey
14'
D
A. Hickey
14'
D
13
C. Wilson
12'
F
C. Wilson
12'
F
5
E. Pinnock
D
E. Pinnock
D
12
H. Valdimarsson
G
H. Valdimarsson
G
44
Jannik Schuster
D
Jannik Schuster
D
19
J. Anthony
23'
F
J. Anthony
23'
F
24
M. Damsgaard
14'
M
M. Damsgaard
14'
M
3
R. Henry
D
R. Henry
D
6
Y. Yarmolyuk
23'
M
Y. Yarmolyuk
23'
M
31
A. Kinský
G
A. Kinský
G
3
A. Robertson
D
A. Robertson
D
5
M. Senesi
D
M. Senesi
D
6
J. van Hecke
D
J. van Hecke
D
14
A. Gray
86'
D
A. Gray
86'
D
15
L. Bergvall
45'
M
L. Bergvall
45'
M
16
S. Tonali
M
S. Tonali
M
11
M. Tel
M
M. Tel
M
8
C. Gallagher
45'
M
C. Gallagher
45'
M
47
M. Moore
68'
M
M. Moore
68'
M
9
Richarlison
68'
F
Richarlison
68'
F
Bench
33
B. Davies
D
B. Davies
D
19
D. Solanke
22'
F
D. Solanke
22'
F
13
D. Udogie
9'
D
D. Udogie
9'
D
10
J. Maddison
22'
M
J. Maddison
22'
M
4
K. Danso
D
K. Danso
D
68
L. Williams-Barnett
M
L. Williams-Barnett
M
18
Mateus Fernandes
45'
M
Mateus Fernandes
45'
M
39
M. Dúbravka
G
M. Dúbravka
G
30
R. Bentancur
45'
M
R. Bentancur
45'
M
Best on the pitch
C. Kelleher
G · Brentford
8.00
· 33 pass
K. Lewis-Potter
D · Brentford
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
V. Janelt
M · Brentford
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
K. Schade
M · Brentford
7.90
4 shots
· 20 pass
M. Kayode
D · Brentford
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
M. Senesi
D · Tottenham
7.70
· 76 pass
Brentford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kelleher | G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| K. Lewis-Potter | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Collins | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 55% | — | — | — |
| K. Ajer | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Kayode | D | 76 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sangaré | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Janelt | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 4 | 1 | — |
| K. Schade | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 4 | 20 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Jensen | M | 67 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Ouattara | M | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Thiago | F | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Hickey | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| C. Wilson | F | 12 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Anthony | F | 23 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Damsgaard | M | 14 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Yarmolyuk | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
Tottenham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kinský | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Robertson | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Senesi | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 76 | 70% | 5 | — | — |
| J. van Hecke | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gray | D | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bergvall | M | 45 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Tonali | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Tel | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| C. Gallagher | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Moore | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Richarlison | F | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Solanke | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Udogie | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Maddison | M | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Mateus Fernandes | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Bentancur | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brentford vs Tottenham?
The final score was Brentford 3–0 Tottenham.
What did the model predict before Brentford vs Tottenham?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Brentford win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Tottenham win.