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#3 · 10 pts
3 – 0
Final score
#2 · 12 pts
Pascal Groß (ast. Charalampos Kostoulas) 31'
Charalampos Kostoulas (ast. Diego Gomez) 45'
Chema Andrés (ast. Pascal Groß) 57'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arsenal a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Brighton 32%). The final result was Brighton 3–0 Arsenal. In 3 previous meetings, Brighton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Arsenal.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
2
40%
Possession
60%
5
Corners
6
16
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Pascal Groß · ast. Charalampos Kostoulas
31'
Charalampos Kostoulas
33'
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
45'+1
⚽Charalampos Kostoulas · ast. Diego Gomez
45'
⚽Chema Andrés · ast. Pascal Groß
57'
60'
Martín Zubimendi / Jurriën Timber ↕
60'
Mikel Merino / Bruno Guimarães ↕
Pascal Struijk
71'
73'
Eberechi Eze / Christos Tzolis ↕
73'
Viktor Gyökeres / Martin Odegaard ↕
↕ Ferdi Kadıoğlu / Costinha
76'
↕ Charalampos Kostoulas / Georginio Rutter
76'
81'
Max Dowman / Bukayo Saka ↕
↕ Chema Andrés / Malick Yalcouyé
85'
↕ Diego Gomez / Matt O'Riley
86'
↕ Pascal Struijk / Michael Svoboda
86'
Maxim De Cuyper
90'+1
90'+7
Declan Rice
Pre-match prediction
32.66%
Brighton ←
30.27%
X
37.07%
Arsenal
we assigned to the actual result (Brighton) 32.66% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Brighton
1.45
—
—
Arsenal
1.59
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 5 15
2 Arsenal Arsenal 5 12
3 Brighton Brighton 5 10
4 Brentford Brentford 5 9
5 Leeds Leeds 5 9
6 Liverpool Liverpool 5 9
7 Everton Everton 5 9
8 Hull City Hull City 5 8
9 Newcastle Newcastle 5 8
10 Chelsea Chelsea 5 7
11 Ipswich Ipswich 5 6
12 Manchester United Manchester United 5 5
13 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 5 5
14 Sunderland Sunderland 5 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5 4
16 Aston Villa Aston Villa 5 4
17 Bournemouth Bournemouth 5 3
18 Coventry Coventry 5 3
19 Fulham Fulham 5 2
20 Tottenham Tottenham 5 2
Lineups
Brighton Brighton 4-2-3-1
1 B. Verbruggen B. Verbruggen G 6.66
21 O. Boscagli O. Boscagli D 7.05
4 P. Struijk P. Struijk 86' D 7.10
44 L. Vušković L. Vušković D 7.22
24 F. Kadıoğlu F. Kadıoğlu 76' D 7.29
13 P. Groß P. Groß 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.99
14 José María Andrés Baixauli José María Andrés Baixauli 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.20
29 M. De Cuyper M. De Cuyper M 6.36
26 Y. Ayari Y. Ayari M 6.73
25 D. Gómez D. Gómez 1 👟 86' M 6.98
19 C. Kostoulas C. Kostoulas 1 ⚽ 1 👟 76' F 8.23
Bench
20 Costinha Costinha 14' D 7.38
10 G. Rutter G. Rutter 14' F 6.63
15 I. Osman I. Osman F 0.00
3 J. Hadjam J. Hadjam D 0.00
23 J. Steele J. Steele G 0.00
33 M. O'Riley M. O'Riley 4' M 6.35
30 M. Svoboda M. Svoboda 4' D 6.85
35
M. Yalcouyé 5' M 6.93
12 P. David P. David F 0.00
Arsenal Arsenal 4-2-3-1
1 David Raya David Raya G 5.51
33 R. Calafiori R. Calafiori D 5.95
6 Gabriel Magalhães Gabriel Magalhães D 6.13
15 E. Konsa E. Konsa D 6.42
12 J. Timber J. Timber 60' D 6.67
39 Bruno Guimarães Bruno Guimarães 60' M 5.92
41 D. Rice D. Rice M 6.52
17 C. Tzolis C. Tzolis 73' M 6.17
8 M. Ødegaard M. Ødegaard 73' M 6.24
7 B. Saka B. Saka 81' M 6.33
29 K. Havertz K. Havertz F 6.33
Bench
10 E. Eze E. Eze 17' M 5.80
13 Kepa Kepa G 0.00
36 Martín Zubimendi Martín Zubimendi 30' M 5.89
56 M. Dowman M. Dowman 9' M 5.80
23 Mikel Merino Mikel Merino 30' M 5.73
49 M. Lewis-Skelly M. Lewis-Skelly D 0.00
20 N. Madueke N. Madueke F 0.00
5 P. Hincapié P. Hincapié D 0.00
14 V. Gyökeres V. Gyökeres 17' F 6.58
Best on the pitch
P. Groß
P. Groß
M · Brighton
8.99
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 29 pass
C. Kostoulas
C. Kostoulas
F · Brighton
8.23
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 19 pass
José María Andrés Baixauli
José María Andrés Baixauli
M · Brighton
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
Costinha
Costinha
D · Brighton
7.38
· 2 pass
F. Kadıoğlu
F. Kadıoğlu
D · Brighton
7.29
1 shots · 23 pass
L. Vušković
L. Vušković
D · Brighton
7.22
· 35 pass
Brighton Brighton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Verbruggen G 90 6.66 — — 0 40 24% 0 — —
O. Boscagli D 90 7.05 — — 1 24 17% 2 — —
P. Struijk D 86 7.10 — — 1 48 42% 1 1 —
L. Vušković D 90 7.22 — — 0 35 27% 0 — —
F. Kadıoğlu D 76 7.29 — — 1 23 21% 0 1 —
P. Groß M 90 8.99 1 1 2 29 24% 1 — —
José María Andrés Baixauli M 85 8.20 1 — 2 34 26% 0 — —
M. De Cuyper M 90 6.36 — — 1 24 16% 3 1 —
Y. Ayari M 90 6.73 — — 2 21 19% 1 — —
D. Gómez M 86 6.98 — 1 0 32 21% 5 — —
C. Kostoulas F 76 8.23 1 1 4 19 14% 1 1 —
Costinha D 14 7.38 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
G. Rutter F 14 6.63 — — 1 3 1% 0 — —
M. O'Riley M 4 6.35 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
M. Svoboda D 4 6.85 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
M. Yalcouyé M 5 6.93 — — 1 1 1% 1 — —
Arsenal Arsenal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David Raya G 90 5.51 — — 0 45 30% 1 — —
R. Calafiori D 90 5.95 — — 2 41 32% 2 — —
Gabriel Magalhães D 90 6.13 — — 0 62 55% 3 — —
E. Konsa D 90 6.42 — — 1 68 66% 0 — —
J. Timber D 60 6.67 — — 0 25 22% 2 — —
Bruno Guimarães M 60 5.92 — — 0 38 32% 0 — —
D. Rice M 90 6.52 — — 0 56 50% 2 1 —
C. Tzolis M 73 6.17 — — 0 22 19% 1 — —
M. Ødegaard M 73 6.24 — — 1 41 37% 0 — —
B. Saka M 81 6.33 — — 2 21 16% 1 — —
K. Havertz F 90 6.33 — — 2 27 23% 0 — —
E. Eze M 17 5.80 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
Martín Zubimendi M 30 5.89 — — 2 13 8% 1 — —
M. Dowman M 9 5.80 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Mikel Merino M 30 5.73 — — 0 21 16% 0 — —
V. Gyökeres F 17 6.58 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brighton vs Arsenal?
The final score was Brighton 3–0 Arsenal.
What did the model predict before Brighton vs Arsenal?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Brighton win, 30% to a draw, and 37% to an Arsenal win.