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Premier League · Regular Season - 1 August 23, 2026 15:00
Brighton
#3 · 16 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Aston Villa
#9 · 11 pts
V. Lindelof 8' (og)
M. De Cuyper (ast. G. Rutter) 18'
J. Hinshelwood (ast. D. Gomez) 30'
J. Hinshelwood 31'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Aston Villa 32%). The final result was Brighton 4–0 Aston Villa. In 2 previous meetings, Brighton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Aston Villa.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
0
3.62
Actual xG
0.31
0
Saves
3
73%
Possession
27%
5
Corners
2
21
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽V. Lindelof (og)
8'
9'
Joao Gomes
P. Gross
9'
Y. Ayari
11'
⚽M. De Cuyper · ast. G. Rutter
18'
⚽J. Hinshelwood · ast. D. Gomez
30'
⚽J. Hinshelwood
31'
33'
J. McGinn
40'
Joao Gomes
↕ J. Hinshelwood / C. Kostoulas
64'
↕ Y. Ayari / Costinha
64'
74'
L. Bogarde / R. Barkley ↕
74'
T. Mings / P. Torres ↕
↕ M. Wieffer / Z. Yohanna
78'
↕ M. De Cuyper / I. Osman
78'
82'
M. Ruggeri / I. Maatsen ↕
82'
Alysson / J. McGinn ↕
↕ D. Gomez / M. Yalcouye
86'
86'
A. Garnacho / E. Buendia ↕
90'+5
M. Cash
Pre-match prediction
34.75%
Brighton ←
32.32%
X
32.93%
Aston
we assigned to the actual result (Brighton) 34.75% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Brighton
1.89
3.62
+1.73
Aston
1.05
0.31
-0.74
Brighton dominated by xG (3.62 vs 0.31). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Brighton Brighton 4-2-3-1
1 B. Verbruggen B. Verbruggen G 6.90
21 O. Boscagli O. Boscagli D 7.70
5 L. Dunk L. Dunk D 7.20
44 L. Vušković L. Vušković D 7.60
27 M. Wieffer M. Wieffer 78' D 7.00
26 Y. Ayari Y. Ayari 64' M 6.30
13 P. Groß P. Groß M 6.90
29 M. De Cuyper M. De Cuyper 1 ⚽ 78' M 8.20
8 J. Hinshelwood J. Hinshelwood 2 ⚽ 64' M 8.90
25 D. Gómez D. Gómez 1 👟 86' M 8.20
10 G. Rutter G. Rutter 1 👟 F 7.70
Bench
19 C. Kostoulas C. Kostoulas 30' F 6.20
20 Costinha Costinha 30' D 6.50
15 I. Osman I. Osman 16' F 6.30
23 J. Steele J. Steele G
30 M. Svoboda M. Svoboda D
35 M. Yalcouyé M. Yalcouyé 8' M 6.70
12 P. David P. David F
4 P. Struijk P. Struijk D
36 Zadok Yohanna Zadok Yohanna 16' F 6.70
Aston Villa Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
40 M. Bizot M. Bizot G 6.50
22 I. Maatsen I. Maatsen 82' D 5.50
14 Pau Torres Pau Torres 74' D 4.90
3 V. Lindelöf V. Lindelöf 1 ⚽ D 5.30
2 M. Cash M. Cash D 6.20
35 João Gomes João Gomes 40' M 5.00
8 B. Kamara B. Kamara M 6.30
53 George Hemmings George Hemmings M 6.30
6 R. Barkley R. Barkley 74' M 6.70
7 J. McGinn J. McGinn 82' M 6.30
10 E. Buendía E. Buendía 86' F 6.70
Bench
17 A. Garnacho A. Garnacho 8' F 6.50
47 Alysson Edward Alysson Edward 12' F 6.70
49 B. Burrows B. Burrows F
26 L. Bogarde L. Bogarde 20' M 6.70
74 L. Lynch L. Lynch F
13 M. Ruggeri M. Ruggeri 12' D 6.60
5 T. Mings T. Mings 20' D 6.70
45 T. Rowe T. Rowe D
1 Z. Suzuki Z. Suzuki G
Best on the pitch
J. Hinshelwood
J. Hinshelwood
M · Brighton
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
D. Gómez
D. Gómez
M · Brighton
8.20
1 👟
3 shots · 32 pass
M. De Cuyper
M. De Cuyper
M · Brighton
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 41 pass
G. Rutter
G. Rutter
F · Brighton
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 11 pass
O. Boscagli
O. Boscagli
D · Brighton
7.70
· 65 pass
L. Vušković
L. Vušković
D · Brighton
7.60
2 shots · 103 pass
Brighton Brighton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Verbruggen G 94 6.90 — — — 34 34% — — —
O. Boscagli D 94 7.70 — — — 65 63% 1 — —
L. Dunk D 94 7.20 — — — 107 103% 1 — —
L. Vušković D 94 7.60 — — 2 103 99% — — —
M. Wieffer D 78 7.00 — — 1 58 54% 4 — —
Y. Ayari M 64 6.30 — — 1 39 35% — 1 —
P. Groß M 94 6.90 — — — 70 65% 3 1 —
M. De Cuyper M 78 8.20 1 — 3 41 37% 4 — —
J. Hinshelwood M 64 8.90 2 — 2 15 14% 2 — —
D. Gómez M 86 8.20 — 1 3 32 27% 3 — —
G. Rutter F 94 7.70 — 1 2 11 6% 2 — —
C. Kostoulas F 30 6.20 — — 2 5 2% — — —
Costinha D 30 6.50 — — 2 17 17% 1 — —
I. Osman F 16 6.30 — — — 10 8% — — —
M. Yalcouyé M 8 6.70 — — — 15 15% — — —
Zadok Yohanna F 16 6.70 — — — 6 6% — — —
Aston Villa Aston Villa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Bizot G 94 6.50 — — — 28 17% — — —
I. Maatsen D 82 5.50 — — 1 7 5% 2 — —
Pau Torres D 74 4.90 — — — 26 20% — — —
V. Lindelöf D 94 5.30 1 — — 33 26% — — —
M. Cash D 94 6.20 — — — 29 22% 2 — —
João Gomes M 40 5.00 — — — 15 15% 4 1 1
B. Kamara M 94 6.30 — — — 23 22% 2 — —
George Hemmings M 94 6.30 — — — 13 7% 3 — —
R. Barkley M 74 6.70 — — 1 24 19% — — —
J. McGinn M 82 6.30 — — 1 21 11% 1 1 —
E. Buendía F 86 6.70 — — 3 18 17% 2 — —
A. Garnacho F 8 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Alysson Edward F 12 6.70 — — — — — 1 — —
L. Bogarde M 20 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
M. Ruggeri D 12 6.60 — — — — — 2 — —
T. Mings D 20 6.70 — — — — — 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brighton vs Aston Villa?
The final score was Brighton 4–0 Aston Villa.
What did the model predict before Brighton vs Aston Villa?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Brighton win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Aston Villa win.