Premier League
· Regular Season - 1
August 23, 2026 15:00
V. Lindelof
8'
(og)
M. De Cuyper
(ast. G. Rutter)
18'
J. Hinshelwood
(ast. D. Gomez)
30'
J. Hinshelwood
31'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Aston Villa 32%). The final result was Brighton 4–0 Aston Villa. In 2 previous meetings, Brighton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Aston Villa.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
0
3.62
Actual xG
0.31
0
Saves
3
73%
Possession
27%
5
Corners
2
21
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽V. Lindelof
(og)
8'
9'
Joao Gomes
P. Gross
9'
Y. Ayari
11'
⚽M. De Cuyper
· ast. G. Rutter
18'
⚽J. Hinshelwood
· ast. D. Gomez
30'
⚽J. Hinshelwood
31'
33'
J. McGinn
40'
Joao Gomes
J. Hinshelwood
/ C. Kostoulas
64'
Y. Ayari
/ Costinha
64'
74'
L. Bogarde
/
R. Barkley
74'
T. Mings
/
P. Torres
M. Wieffer
/ Z. Yohanna
78'
M. De Cuyper
/ I. Osman
78'
82'
M. Ruggeri
/
I. Maatsen
82'
Alysson
/
J. McGinn
D. Gomez
/ M. Yalcouye
86'
86'
A. Garnacho
/
E. Buendia
90'+5
M. Cash
Pre-match prediction
34.75%
Brighton ←
32.32%
X
32.93%
Aston
we assigned to the actual result (Brighton)
34.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.89
3.62
+1.73
1.05
0.31
-0.74
Brighton dominated by xG (3.62 vs 0.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
B. Verbruggen
G
B. Verbruggen
G
21
O. Boscagli
D
O. Boscagli
D
5
L. Dunk
D
L. Dunk
D
44
L. Vušković
D
L. Vušković
D
27
Mats Wieffer
78'
D
Mats Wieffer
78'
D
26
Y. Ayari
64'
M
Y. Ayari
64'
M
13
P. Groß
M
P. Groß
M
29
M. De Cuyper
1 ⚽
78'
M
M. De Cuyper
1 ⚽
78'
M
8
J. Hinshelwood
2 ⚽
64'
M
J. Hinshelwood
2 ⚽
64'
M
25
D. Gómez
1 👟
86'
M
D. Gómez
1 👟
86'
M
10
Georginio Rutter
1 👟
F
Georginio Rutter
1 👟
F
Bench
19
C. Kostoulas
30'
F
C. Kostoulas
30'
F
20
Costinha
30'
D
Costinha
30'
D
15
I. Osman
16'
F
I. Osman
16'
F
23
J. Steele
G
J. Steele
G
30
Michael Svoboda
D
Michael Svoboda
D
35
M. Yalcouyé
8'
M
M. Yalcouyé
8'
M
12
P. David
F
P. David
F
4
P. Struijk
D
P. Struijk
D
36
Zadok Yohanna
16'
F
Zadok Yohanna
16'
F
40
M. Bizot
G
M. Bizot
G
22
I. Maatsen
82'
D
I. Maatsen
82'
D
14
Pau Torres
74'
D
Pau Torres
74'
D
3
V. Lindelöf
1 ⚽
D
V. Lindelöf
1 ⚽
D
2
M. Cash
D
M. Cash
D
35
João Gomes
40'
M
João Gomes
40'
M
8
B. Kamara
M
B. Kamara
M
53
George Hemmings
M
George Hemmings
M
6
R. Barkley
74'
M
R. Barkley
74'
M
7
J. McGinn
82'
M
J. McGinn
82'
M
10
E. Buendía
86'
F
E. Buendía
86'
F
Bench
17
A. Garnacho
8'
F
A. Garnacho
8'
F
47
Alysson Edward
12'
F
Alysson Edward
12'
F
49
B. Burrows
F
B. Burrows
F
26
L. Bogarde
20'
M
L. Bogarde
20'
M
74
L. Lynch
F
L. Lynch
F
13
M. Ruggeri
12'
D
M. Ruggeri
12'
D
5
T. Mings
20'
D
T. Mings
20'
D
45
Triston Rowe
D
Triston Rowe
D
1
Z. Suzuki
G
Z. Suzuki
G
Best on the pitch
J. Hinshelwood
M · Brighton
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
D. Gómez
M · Brighton
8.20
1 👟
3 shots
· 32 pass
M. De Cuyper
M · Brighton
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 41 pass
Georginio Rutter
F · Brighton
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 11 pass
O. Boscagli
D · Brighton
7.70
· 65 pass
L. Vušković
D · Brighton
7.60
2 shots
· 103 pass
Brighton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Verbruggen | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 34% | — | — | — |
| O. Boscagli | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 65 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Dunk | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 107 | 103% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Vušković | D | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 103 | 99% | — | — | — |
| Mats Wieffer | D | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 54% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Ayari | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Groß | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 70 | 65% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. De Cuyper | M | 78 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 41 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Hinshelwood | M | 64 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Gómez | M | 86 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 32 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Georginio Rutter | F | 94 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Kostoulas | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Costinha | D | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Osman | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Yalcouyé | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Zadok Yohanna | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Aston Villa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bizot | G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | — | — | — |
| I. Maatsen | D | 82 | 5.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Pau Torres | D | 74 | 4.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| V. Lindelöf | D | 94 | 5.30 | 1 | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Cash | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| João Gomes | M | 40 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| B. Kamara | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| George Hemmings | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Barkley | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. McGinn | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Buendía | F | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Garnacho | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alysson Edward | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bogarde | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Ruggeri | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — |
| T. Mings | D | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brighton vs Aston Villa?
The final score was Brighton 4–0 Aston Villa.
What did the model predict before Brighton vs Aston Villa?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Brighton win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Aston Villa win.