F. Kadioglu
3'
J. Hinshelwood
(ast. G. Rutter)
56'
D. Welbeck
(ast. M. De Cuyper)
90'+1
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 50% win probability (draw 26%, Chelsea 23%). The final result was Brighton 3–0 Chelsea. In 2 previous meetings, Brighton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chelsea.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
2
9
Shots on target
0
2.17
Actual xG
0.38
0
Saves
4
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
5
13
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽F. Kadioglu
3'
45'+1
W. Fofana
46'
A. Garnacho
/
W. Fofana
M. Wieffer
/ J. Veltman
46'
⚽J. Hinshelwood
· ast. G. Rutter
56'
Y. Minteh
58'
72'
M. Guiu
/
L. Delap
73'
D. Essugo
/
R. Lavia
Y. Minteh
/ M. De Cuyper
77'
K. Mitoma
/ Y. Ayari
82'
G. Rutter
/ D. Welbeck
83'
⚽D. Welbeck
· ast. M. De Cuyper
90'+1
J. Hinshelwood
/ M. O'Riley
90'+2
90'+2
J. Acheampong
/
M. Gusto
Pre-match prediction
50.25%
Brighton ←
26.39%
X
23.36%
Chelsea
we assigned to the actual result (Brighton)
50.25%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
2.17
+0.44
1.01
0.38
-0.63
Brighton dominated by xG (2.17 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
24
F. Kadıoğlu
1 ⚽
D
F. Kadıoğlu
1 ⚽
D
21
D
6
J. van Hecke
D
J. van Hecke
D
27
M. Wieffer
45'
D
M. Wieffer
45'
D
17
C. Baleba
M
C. Baleba
M
30
P. Groß
M
P. Groß
M
22
K. Mitoma
82'
M
13
J. Hinshelwood
1 ⚽
M
J. Hinshelwood
1 ⚽
M
11
Y. Minteh
77'
M
Y. Minteh
77'
M
10
G. Rutter
1 👟
83'
F
G. Rutter
1 👟
83'
F
Bench
18
D. Welbeck
1 ⚽
12'
F
D. Welbeck
1 ⚽
12'
F
34
J. Veltman
50'
D
J. Veltman
50'
D
5
L. Dunk
D
L. Dunk
D
29
M. De Cuyper
1 👟
18'
D
M. De Cuyper
1 👟
18'
D
26
Y. Ayari
13'
M
Y. Ayari
13'
M
1
Robert Sánchez
G
Robert Sánchez
G
21
J. Hato
D
J. Hato
D
23
D
29
W. Fofana
45'
D
W. Fofana
45'
D
27
M. Gusto
D
M. Gusto
D
3
Marc Cucurella
M
Marc Cucurella
M
25
M. Caicedo
M
M. Caicedo
M
45
R. Lavia
73'
M
R. Lavia
73'
M
7
Pedro Neto
M
Pedro Neto
M
8
E. Fernández
F
E. Fernández
F
9
L. Delap
72'
F
L. Delap
72'
F
Bench
49
A. Garnacho
50'
F
A. Garnacho
50'
F
17
Andrey Santos
M
Andrey Santos
M
14
Dário Essugo
22'
M
Dário Essugo
22'
M
55
J. Derry
F
J. Derry
F
4
T. Adarabioyo
D
T. Adarabioyo
D
Best on the pitch
F. Kadıoğlu
D · Brighton
9.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 42 pass
D · Brighton
7.70
· 83 pass
K. Mitoma
M · Brighton
7.70
3 shots
· 32 pass
P. Groß
M · Brighton
7.50
1 shots
· 55 pass
D. Welbeck
F · Brighton
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
J. van Hecke
D · Brighton
7.30
2 shots
· 77 pass
Brighton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 71 | 57% | — | — | — | |
| F. Kadıoğlu | D | 95 | 9.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 83 | 74% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. van Hecke | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 77 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Wieffer | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| C. Baleba | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Groß | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mitoma | M | 82 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| J. Hinshelwood | M | 92 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Minteh | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 4 | 1 | — |
| G. Rutter | F | 83 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Welbeck | F | 12 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Veltman | D | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. De Cuyper | D | 18 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Ayari | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Chelsea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Sánchez | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Hato | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 48% | — | — | — | |
| W. Fofana | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Gusto | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Caicedo | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lavia | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Neto | M | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| E. Fernández | F | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Delap | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Garnacho | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Dário Essugo | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brighton vs Chelsea?
The final score was Brighton 3–0 Chelsea.
What did the model predict before Brighton vs Chelsea?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Brighton win, 26% to a draw, and 23% to an Chelsea win.