F. Kadioglu
3'
J. Hinshelwood
(ast. G. Rutter)
56'
D. Welbeck
(ast. M. De Cuyper)
90'+1
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 50% win probability (draw 26%, Chelsea 23%). The final result was Brighton 3–0 Chelsea. In 1 previous meetings, Brighton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chelsea.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
2
9
Shots on target
0
2.17
Actual xG
0.38
0
Saves
4
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
5
13
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽F. Kadioglu
3'
45'+1
W. Fofana
46'
A. Garnacho
/
W. Fofana
M. Wieffer
/ J. Veltman
46'
⚽J. Hinshelwood
· ast. G. Rutter
56'
Y. Minteh
58'
72'
M. Guiu
/
L. Delap
73'
D. Essugo
/
R. Lavia
Y. Minteh
/ M. De Cuyper
77'
K. Mitoma
/ Y. Ayari
82'
G. Rutter
/ D. Welbeck
83'
⚽D. Welbeck
· ast. M. De Cuyper
90'+1
J. Hinshelwood
/ M. O'Riley
90'+2
90'+2
J. Acheampong
/
M. Gusto
Pre-match prediction
50.25%
Brighton ←
26.39%
X
23.36%
Chelsea
we assigned to the actual result (Brighton)
50.25%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
2.17
+0.44
1.01
0.38
-0.63
Brighton dominated by xG (2.17 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
24
F. Kadıoğlu
1 ⚽
D
F. Kadıoğlu
1 ⚽
D
21
D
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
D
Jan Paul van Hecke
D
27
Mats Wieffer
45'
D
Mats Wieffer
45'
D
17
C. Baleba
M
C. Baleba
M
30
Pascal Groß
M
Pascal Groß
M
22
K. Mitoma
82'
M
13
Jack Hinshelwood
1 ⚽
M
Jack Hinshelwood
1 ⚽
M
11
Yankuba Minteh
77'
M
Yankuba Minteh
77'
M
10
Georginio Rutter
1 👟
83'
F
Georginio Rutter
1 👟
83'
F
Bench
18
D. Welbeck
1 ⚽
12'
F
D. Welbeck
1 ⚽
12'
F
34
Joël Veltman
50'
D
Joël Veltman
50'
D
5
L. Dunk
D
L. Dunk
D
29
Maxim De Cuyper
1 👟
18'
D
Maxim De Cuyper
1 👟
18'
D
26
Yasin Ayari
13'
M
Yasin Ayari
13'
M
1
Robert Sánchez
G
Robert Sánchez
G
21
Jorrel Hato
D
Jorrel Hato
D
23
D
29
Wesley Fofana
45'
D
Wesley Fofana
45'
D
27
Malo Gusto
D
Malo Gusto
D
3
Marc Cucurella
M
Marc Cucurella
M
25
M. Caicedo
M
M. Caicedo
M
45
R. Lavia
73'
M
7
Pedro Neto
M
Pedro Neto
M
8
E. Fernández
F
E. Fernández
F
9
L. Delap
72'
F
L. Delap
72'
F
Bench
49
A. Garnacho
50'
F
A. Garnacho
50'
F
17
Andrey Santos
M
Andrey Santos
M
14
Dário Essugo
22'
M
Dário Essugo
22'
M
55
Jesse Derry
F
Jesse Derry
F
4
Tosin Adarabioyo
D
Tosin Adarabioyo
D
Best on the pitch
F. Kadıoğlu
D · Brighton
9.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 42 pass
D · Brighton
7.70
· 83 pass
K. Mitoma
M · Brighton
7.70
3 shots
· 32 pass
Pascal Groß
M · Brighton
7.50
1 shots
· 55 pass
D. Welbeck
F · Brighton
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
Jan Paul van Hecke
D · Brighton
7.30
2 shots
· 77 pass
Brighton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 71 | 57% | — | — | — | |
| F. Kadıoğlu | D | 95 | 9.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 83 | 74% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jan Paul van Hecke | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 77 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Mats Wieffer | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| C. Baleba | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Pascal Groß | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mitoma | M | 82 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Jack Hinshelwood | M | 92 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Yankuba Minteh | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Georginio Rutter | F | 83 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Welbeck | F | 12 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Joël Veltman | D | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Maxim De Cuyper | D | 18 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Yasin Ayari | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Chelsea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Sánchez | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jorrel Hato | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 48% | — | — | — | |
| Wesley Fofana | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Malo Gusto | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Caicedo | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lavia | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Neto | M | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| E. Fernández | F | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Delap | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Garnacho | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Dário Essugo | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brighton vs Chelsea?
The final score was Brighton 3–0 Chelsea.
What did the model predict before Brighton vs Chelsea?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Brighton win, 26% to a draw, and 23% to an Chelsea win.