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Premier League · Regular Season - 7 October 18, 2026 15:00 American Express Stadium, Falmer
Brighton
#3 · 16 pts
5 – 0
Final score
Crystal Palace
#17 · 7 pts
Jaydee Canvot 4' (og)
Diego Gomez (ast. Olivier Boscagli) 7'
Yasin Ayari (ast. Charalampos Kostoulas) 10'
Charalampos Kostoulas 49'
Jack Hinshelwood 84'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Crystal Palace 24%). The final result was Brighton 5–0 Crystal Palace. In 2 previous meetings, Brighton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Crystal Palace.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
5
9
Shots on target
1
2.02
Actual xG
0.77
1
Saves
5
57%
Possession
43%
8
Corners
5
12
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Jaydee Canvot (og)
4'
⚽Diego Gomez · ast. Olivier Boscagli
7'
⚽Yasin Ayari · ast. Charalampos Kostoulas
10'
Pascal Groß
29'
45'
Dwight McNeil / Quinten Timber ↕
⚽Charalampos Kostoulas
49'
51'
Daichi Kamada
53'
Jefferson Lerma / Honest Ahanor ↕
61'
Jean-Philippe Mateta / Jörgen Strand Larsen ↕
61'
Eddie Nketiah / Yeremy Pino ↕
Chema Andrés
64'
↕ Pascal Groß / Jack Hinshelwood
71'
↕ Charalampos Kostoulas / Georginio Rutter
71'
81'
Will Hughes / Daichi Kamada ↕
↕ Olivier Boscagli / Jaouen Hadjam
81'
↕ Yasin Ayari / Malick Yalcouyé
81'
⚽Jack Hinshelwood
84'
↕ Lewis Dunk / Michael Svoboda
90'
Pre-match prediction
49.63%
Brighton ←
25.71%
X
24.67%
Crystal
we assigned to the actual result (Brighton) 49.63% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Brighton
2.65
2.02
-0.63
Crystal
1.05
0.77
-0.28
Brighton dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.77). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Brighton Brighton 4-2-3-1
1 B. Verbruggen B. Verbruggen G 7.05
21 O. Boscagli O. Boscagli 1 👟 81' D 8.05
5 L. Dunk L. Dunk 89' D 7.73
44 L. Vušković L. Vušković D 7.94
24 F. Kadıoğlu F. Kadıoğlu D 7.47
14 José María Andrés Baixauli José María Andrés Baixauli M 6.51
13 P. Groß P. Groß 71' M 6.62
29 M. De Cuyper M. De Cuyper M 7.20
26 Y. Ayari Y. Ayari 1 ⚽ 81' M 8.18
25 D. Gómez D. Gómez 1 ⚽ M 7.89
19 C. Kostoulas C. Kostoulas 1 ⚽ 1 👟 71' F 8.70
Bench
20 Costinha Costinha D 0.00
10 G. Rutter G. Rutter 19' F 6.63
15 I. Osman I. Osman F 0.00
3 J. Hadjam J. Hadjam 9' D 6.91
8 J. Hinshelwood J. Hinshelwood 1 ⚽ 19' M 7.63
23 J. Steele J. Steele G 0.00
33 M. O'Riley M. O'Riley M 0.00
30 M. Svoboda M. Svoboda 1' D 0.00
35 M. Yalcouyé M. Yalcouyé 9' M 6.86
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1
44 W. Benítez W. Benítez G 6.54
21 H. Ahanor H. Ahanor 53' D 5.92
26 C. Richards C. Richards D 5.88
6 J. Canvot J. Canvot 1 ⚽ D 5.02
3 T. Mitchell T. Mitchell M 5.64
23 Q. Timber Q. Timber 45' M 5.66
20 A. Wharton A. Wharton M 5.32
25 A. Khalaili A. Khalaili M 5.45
10 Yeremy Pino Yeremy Pino 61' M 5.79
18 D. Kamada D. Kamada 81' M 5.75
22 J. Strand Larsen J. Strand Larsen 61' F 6.07
Bench
11 D. McNeil D. McNeil 45' F 6.52
24 D. Osorio D. Osorio M 0.00
9 E. Nketiah E. Nketiah 29' F 6.24
7 I. Sarr I. Sarr F 0.00
8 J. Lerma J. Lerma 37' M 6.03
14 J. Mateta J. Mateta 29' F 6.25
30 Óscar Mingueza Óscar Mingueza D 0.00
31 R. Matthews R. Matthews G 0.00
19 W. Hughes W. Hughes 9' M 5.39
Best on the pitch
C. Kostoulas
C. Kostoulas
F · Brighton
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 13 pass
Y. Ayari
Y. Ayari
M · Brighton
8.18
1 ⚽
4 shots · 15 pass
O. Boscagli
O. Boscagli
D · Brighton
8.05
1 👟
· 71 pass
L. Vušković
L. Vušković
D · Brighton
7.94
3 shots · 79 pass
D. Gómez
D. Gómez
M · Brighton
7.89
1 ⚽
1 shots · 36 pass
L. Dunk
L. Dunk
D · Brighton
7.73
· 84 pass
Brighton Brighton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Verbruggen G 90 7.05 — — 0 26 25% 0 — —
O. Boscagli D 81 8.05 — 1 0 71 62% 0 — —
L. Dunk D 89 7.73 — — 0 84 77% 1 — —
L. Vušković D 90 7.94 — — 3 79 73% 1 — —
F. Kadıoğlu D 90 7.47 — — 1 43 37% 0 — —
José María Andrés Baixauli M 90 6.51 — — 0 46 38% 5 1 —
P. Groß M 71 6.62 — — 2 33 27% 0 1 —
M. De Cuyper M 90 7.20 — — 0 35 27% 3 — —
Y. Ayari M 81 8.18 1 — 4 15 13% 1 — —
D. Gómez M 90 7.89 1 — 1 36 26% 1 — —
C. Kostoulas F 71 8.70 1 1 4 13 9% 0 — —
G. Rutter F 19 6.63 — — 1 5 1% 0 — —
J. Hadjam D 9 6.91 — — 0 10 7% 0 — —
J. Hinshelwood M 19 7.63 1 — 1 6 4% 0 — —
M. Svoboda D 1 0.00 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
M. Yalcouyé M 9 6.86 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
W. Benítez G 90 6.54 — — 0 39 20% 0 — —
H. Ahanor D 53 5.92 — — 0 36 32% 1 — —
C. Richards D 90 5.88 — — 0 57 48% 2 — —
J. Canvot D 90 5.02 1 — 0 54 49% 2 — —
T. Mitchell M 90 5.64 — — 0 28 20% 2 — —
Q. Timber M 45 5.66 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
A. Wharton M 90 5.32 — — 0 35 22% 0 — —
A. Khalaili M 90 5.45 — — 2 36 25% 3 — —
Yeremy Pino M 61 5.79 — — 1 17 13% 0 — —
D. Kamada M 81 5.75 — — 0 23 19% 0 1 —
J. Strand Larsen F 61 6.07 — — 0 12 10% 0 — —
D. McNeil F 45 6.52 — — 0 10 9% 0 — —
E. Nketiah F 29 6.24 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
J. Lerma M 37 6.03 — — 1 17 15% 2 — —
J. Mateta F 29 6.25 — — 1 2 2% 0 — —
W. Hughes M 9 5.39 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Brighton 5–0 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Brighton win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an Crystal Palace win.