Skip to main content
← Conference League
Conference League · League Stage - 1 October 15, 2026 21:00
Brighton
#9 · 4 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Kauno Žalgiris
#36 · 0 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Brighton
G. Rutter (ast. I. Osman) 41'
J. Hinshelwood (ast. G. Rutter) 45'+2
G. Rutter (ast. I. Osman) 53'
M. O'Riley (ast. Y. Ibrahim) 67'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 56% win probability (draw 26%, Kauno Žalgiris 17%). The final result was Brighton 4–0 Kauno Žalgiris.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
3
9
Shots on target
1
4.09
Actual xG
0.02
1
Saves
5
80%
Possession
20%
13
Corners
0
9
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
12'
F. Ourega
⚽G. Rutter · ast. I. Osman
41'
⚽J. Hinshelwood · ast. G. Rutter
45'+2
↕ L. Dunk / L. Vuskovic
46'
↕ O. Boscagli / M. De Cuyper
46'
46'
L. Krekovic / Leo Ribeiro ↕
46'
R. Lekiatas / F. Ourega ↕
⚽G. Rutter · ast. I. Osman
53'
↕ P. Gross / Y. Ayari
57'
↕ J. Hinshelwood / P. David
57'
57'
A. Kalik / F. Baldassarra ↕
57'
G. Debeljuh / Renan Oliveira ↕
61'
V. Slivka / A. Benchaib ↕
↕ I. Osman / Y. Ibrahim
67'
⚽M. O'Riley · ast. Y. Ibrahim
67'
Pre-match prediction
56.67%
Brighton ←
26.34%
X
17.0%
Kauno
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Brighton) 56.67% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Brighton
1.37
4.09
+2.72
Kauno
0.69
0.02
-0.67
Brighton dominated by xG (4.09 vs 0.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2 6
2 FC Lugano FC Lugano 2 6
3 Brann Brann 2 6
4 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2 6
5 Twente Twente 2 6
6 Monaco Monaco 2 6
7 St. Truiden St. Truiden 2 6
8 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 2 6
9 Brighton Brighton 2 4
10 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 2 4
11 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2 4
12 Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF 2 4
13 Ajax Ajax 2 3
14 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 2 3
15 Atalanta Atalanta 2 3
16 SC Braga SC Braga 2 3
17 Gent Gent 2 3
18 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 2 3
19 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2 2
20 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 2
21 Riga Riga 2 2
22 FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda 2 1
23 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2 1
24 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 2 1
25 FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 2 1
26 Aarhus Aarhus 2 1
27 Pafos Pafos 2 1
28 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 2 1
29 FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999 2 1
30 Getafe Getafe 2 1
31 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty 2 1
32 FC Thun FC Thun 2 0
33 Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 0
34 KuPS KuPS 2 0
35 Inter Club d'Escaldes Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 0
36 Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 2 0
Lineups
Brighton Brighton 4-3-3
1 B. Verbruggen B. Verbruggen G 6.90
21 O. Boscagli O. Boscagli 45' D 7.90
30 Michael Svoboda Michael Svoboda D 7.70
5 L. Dunk L. Dunk 45' D 7.30
20 Costinha Costinha D 6.70
8 J. Hinshelwood J. Hinshelwood 1 ⚽ 57' M 7.50
35 M. Yalcouyé M. Yalcouyé M 7.70
13 P. Groß P. Groß 57' M 7.60
15 I. Osman I. Osman 2 👟 67' F 7.70
10 G. Rutter G. Rutter 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.00
33 M. O'Riley M. O'Riley 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
19 C. Kostoulas C. Kostoulas F
25 D. Gómez D. Gómez M
24 F. Kadıoğlu F. Kadıoğlu D
14 José María Andrés Baixauli José María Andrés Baixauli M
23 J. Steele J. Steele G
44 L. Vušković L. Vušković 46' D 7.20
29 M. De Cuyper M. De Cuyper 46' D 8.20
12 P. David P. David 34' F 6.70
50 Shane Nti Shane Nti M
38 Tom McGill Tom McGill G
26 Y. Ayari Y. Ayari 34' M 7.30
59 Younes Ibrahim Younes Ibrahim 1 👟 24' M 7.30
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 4-1-4-1
55 Tomas Švedkauskas Tomas Švedkauskas G 6.30
37 Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor D 6.30
23 Aldayr Hernández Aldayr Hernández D 5.90
3 Anton Tolordava Anton Tolordava D 7.30
45 Joris Moutachy Joris Moutachy D 5.90
32 Franco Baldassarra Franco Baldassarra 57' M 7.30
15 Léo Ribeiro Léo Ribeiro 45' M 6.30
8 Yukiyoshi Karashima Yukiyoshi Karashima M 6.60
7 Amine Benchaib Amine Benchaib 61' M 6.20
70 Fabien Ourega Fabien Ourega 45' M 6.70
19 Renan Oliveira Renan Oliveira 57' F 6.50
Bench
20 Anthony Kalik Anthony Kalik 34' M 6.90
22 Deividas Mikelionis Deividas Mikelionis G
27 Gabriel Debeljuh Gabriel Debeljuh 34' F 6.70
10 Gratas Sirgėdas Gratas Sirgėdas M
17 Ivan Fiolić Ivan Fiolić M
9 Leon Kreković Leon Kreković 46' F 6.20
62 Lirim Kastrati Lirim Kastrati D
33 Marko Konatar Marko Konatar D
24 Motiejus Burba Motiejus Burba F
77 Rokas Lekiatas Rokas Lekiatas 46' D 6.20
14 Vykintas Slivka Vykintas Slivka 30' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
G. Rutter
G. Rutter
F · Brighton
9.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 22 pass
M. De Cuyper
M. De Cuyper
D · Brighton
8.20
· 57 pass
O. Boscagli
O. Boscagli
D · Brighton
7.90
· 51 pass
Michael Svoboda
Michael Svoboda
D · Brighton
7.70
1 shots · 92 pass
M. Yalcouyé
M. Yalcouyé
M · Brighton
7.70
· 82 pass
I. Osman
I. Osman
F · Brighton
7.70
2 👟
3 shots · 40 pass
Brighton Brighton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Verbruggen G 91 6.90 — — — 20 20% — — —
O. Boscagli D 45 7.90 — — — 51 46% — — —
Michael Svoboda D 91 7.70 — — 1 92 88% 1 — —
L. Dunk D 45 7.30 — — 1 52 52% 1 — —
Costinha D 91 6.70 — — 3 46 43% 1 — —
J. Hinshelwood M 57 7.50 1 — 4 25 21% — — —
M. Yalcouyé M 91 7.70 — — — 82 74% 2 — —
P. Groß M 57 7.60 — — 1 59 51% — — —
I. Osman F 67 7.70 — 2 3 40 38% 1 — —
G. Rutter F 91 9.00 2 1 2 22 11% 2 — —
M. O'Riley F 91 7.70 1 — 3 32 31% — — —
L. Vušković D 46 7.20 — — 1 48 46% — — —
M. De Cuyper D 46 8.20 — — — 57 55% 1 — —
P. David F 34 6.70 — — 3 2 1% — — —
Y. Ayari M 34 7.30 — — 2 34 33% — — —
Younes Ibrahim M 24 7.30 — 1 — 13 13% — — —
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Tomas Švedkauskas G 91 6.30 — — — 38 14% — — —
Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor D 91 6.30 — — — 17 11% — — —
Aldayr Hernández D 91 5.90 — — 1 16 11% 2 — —
Anton Tolordava D 91 7.30 — — — 8 6% 3 — —
Joris Moutachy D 91 5.90 — — — 13 10% 2 — —
Franco Baldassarra M 57 7.30 — — 1 8 4% 5 — —
Léo Ribeiro M 45 6.30 — — — 5 2% 1 — —
Yukiyoshi Karashima M 91 6.60 — — — 18 13% 2 — —
Amine Benchaib M 61 6.20 — — — 10 6% — — —
Fabien Ourega M 45 6.70 — — — 12 8% 3 1 —
Renan Oliveira F 57 6.50 — — — 10 8% — — —
Anthony Kalik M 34 6.90 — — — 7 5% — — —
Gabriel Debeljuh F 34 6.70 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Leon Kreković F 46 6.20 — — 1 2 — — — —
Rokas Lekiatas D 46 6.20 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
Vykintas Slivka M 30 6.90 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
The final score was Brighton 4–0 Kauno Žalgiris.
What did the model predict before Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Brighton win, 26% to a draw, and 17% to an Kauno Žalgiris win.