33'
(ast. B. Fernandes)
P. Dorgu
44'
(ast. A. Diallo)
B. Mbeumo
48'
(ast. P. Dorgu)
B. Fernandes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 53% win probability (draw 19%, Manchester United 27%). The final result was Brighton 0–3 Manchester United. In 2 previous meetings, Brighton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Manchester United.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
7
0.68
Actual xG
1.83
5
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
0
Corners
3
15
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
33'
ast. B. Fernandes ·
P. Dorgu⚽
44'
ast. A. Diallo ·
B. Mbeumo⚽
45'+3
K. Mainoo
M. De Cuyper
/ Y. Minteh
46'
48'
ast. P. Dorgu ·
B. Fernandes⚽
D. Welbeck
/ C. Kostoulas
59'
D. Gomez
/ S. March
59'
J. Milner
/ C. Baleba
59'
62'
S. Lacey
/
P. Dorgu
74'
J. Zirkzee
/
B. Mbeumo
74'
T. Fletcher
/
M. Mount
75'
L. Yoro
/
N. Mazraoui
J. Hinshelwood
/ G. Rutter
75'
82'
T. Malacia
/
L. Shaw
Pre-match prediction
53.55%
Brighton
19.06%
X
27.39%
Manchester ←
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United)
27.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.46
0.68
-1.78
1.66
1.83
+0.17
Manchester United dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.68).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Bart Verbruggen
G
Bart Verbruggen
G
24
F. Kadıoğlu
D
F. Kadıoğlu
D
5
L. Dunk
D
L. Dunk
D
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
D
Jan Paul van Hecke
D
27
Mats Wieffer
D
Mats Wieffer
D
20
James Milner
59'
M
James Milner
59'
M
30
Pascal Groß
M
Pascal Groß
M
29
Maxim De Cuyper
45'
M
Maxim De Cuyper
45'
M
13
Jack Hinshelwood
74'
M
Jack Hinshelwood
74'
M
25
D. Gómez
59'
M
D. Gómez
59'
M
18
D. Welbeck
59'
F
D. Welbeck
59'
F
Bench
17
C. Baleba
34'
M
C. Baleba
34'
M
19
Charalampos Kostoulas
34'
F
Charalampos Kostoulas
34'
F
10
Georginio Rutter
19'
F
Georginio Rutter
19'
F
23
Jason Steele
G
Jason Steele
G
34
Joël Veltman
D
Joël Veltman
D
33
M. O'Riley
M
M. O'Riley
M
21
Olivier Boscagli
D
Olivier Boscagli
D
7
Solly March
34'
M
Solly March
34'
M
11
Yankuba Minteh
48'
F
Yankuba Minteh
48'
F
31
Senne Lammens
G
Senne Lammens
G
23
L. Shaw
82'
D
L. Shaw
82'
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
5
Harry Maguire
D
Harry Maguire
D
3
Noussair Mazraoui
74'
D
Noussair Mazraoui
74'
D
37
Kobbie Mainoo
M
Kobbie Mainoo
M
7
Mason Mount
74'
M
Mason Mount
74'
M
13
Patrick Dorgu
1 ⚽
1 👟
62'
M
Patrick Dorgu
1 ⚽
1 👟
62'
M
8
Bruno Fernandes
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Bruno Fernandes
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
16
A. Diallo
1 👟
M
A. Diallo
1 👟
M
19
B. Mbeumo
1 ⚽
74'
F
B. Mbeumo
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
1
A. Bayındır
G
A. Bayındır
G
26
Ayden Heaven
D
Ayden Heaven
D
11
Joshua Zirkzee
19'
F
Joshua Zirkzee
19'
F
15
Leny Yoro
19'
D
Leny Yoro
19'
D
10
Matheus Cunha
F
Matheus Cunha
F
25
M. Ugarte
M
M. Ugarte
M
61
Shea Lacey
31'
F
Shea Lacey
31'
F
39
Tyler Fletcher
19'
M
Tyler Fletcher
19'
M
12
Tyrell Malacia
11'
D
Tyrell Malacia
11'
D
Best on the pitch
Bruno Fernandes
M · Manchester
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 52 pass
Patrick Dorgu
M · Manchester
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 18 pass
A. Diallo
M · Manchester
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 33 pass
C. Baleba
M · Brighton
7.20
· 17 pass
Mason Mount
M · Manchester
7.20
· 43 pass
Kobbie Mainoo
M · Manchester
7.20
1 shots
· 56 pass
Brighton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bart Verbruggen | G | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| F. Kadıoğlu | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Dunk | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| Jan Paul van Hecke | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Mats Wieffer | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| James Milner | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Pascal Groß | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Maxim De Cuyper | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Hinshelwood | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Gómez | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Welbeck | F | 59 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| C. Baleba | M | 34 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Charalampos Kostoulas | F | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Georginio Rutter | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Solly March | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Yankuba Minteh | F | 48 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Manchester United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senne Lammens | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Shaw | D | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Harry Maguire | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Noussair Mazraoui | D | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Kobbie Mainoo | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mason Mount | M | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Patrick Dorgu | M | 62 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | M | 93 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 52 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Diallo | M | 93 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Mbeumo | F | 74 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Joshua Zirkzee | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Leny Yoro | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Shea Lacey | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Tyler Fletcher | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Tyrell Malacia | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brighton vs Manchester United?
The final score was Brighton 0–3 Manchester United.
What did the model predict before Brighton vs Manchester United?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Brighton win, 19% to a draw, and 27% to an Manchester United win.