33'
(ast. B. Fernandes)
P. Dorgu
44'
(ast. A. Diallo)
B. Mbeumo
48'
(ast. P. Dorgu)
B. Fernandes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 53% win probability (draw 19%, Manchester United 27%). The final result was Brighton 0–3 Manchester United. In 3 previous meetings, Brighton have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Manchester United.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
7
0.68
Actual xG
1.83
5
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
0
Corners
3
15
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
33'
ast. B. Fernandes ·
P. Dorgu⚽
44'
ast. A. Diallo ·
B. Mbeumo⚽
45'+3
K. Mainoo
M. De Cuyper
/ Y. Minteh
46'
48'
ast. P. Dorgu ·
B. Fernandes⚽
D. Welbeck
/ C. Kostoulas
59'
D. Gomez
/ S. March
59'
J. Milner
/ C. Baleba
59'
62'
S. Lacey
/
P. Dorgu
74'
J. Zirkzee
/
B. Mbeumo
74'
T. Fletcher
/
M. Mount
75'
L. Yoro
/
N. Mazraoui
J. Hinshelwood
/ G. Rutter
75'
82'
T. Malacia
/
L. Shaw
Pre-match prediction
53.55%
Brighton
19.06%
X
27.39%
Manchester ←
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United)
27.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.46
0.68
-1.78
1.66
1.83
+0.17
Manchester United dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.68).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
B. Verbruggen
G
B. Verbruggen
G
24
F. Kadıoğlu
D
F. Kadıoğlu
D
5
L. Dunk
D
L. Dunk
D
6
J. van Hecke
D
J. van Hecke
D
27
M. Wieffer
D
M. Wieffer
D
20
James Milner
59'
M
James Milner
59'
M
30
P. Groß
M
P. Groß
M
29
M. De Cuyper
45'
M
M. De Cuyper
45'
M
13
J. Hinshelwood
74'
M
J. Hinshelwood
74'
M
25
D. Gómez
59'
M
D. Gómez
59'
M
18
D. Welbeck
59'
F
D. Welbeck
59'
F
Bench
17
C. Baleba
34'
M
C. Baleba
34'
M
19
C. Kostoulas
34'
F
C. Kostoulas
34'
F
10
G. Rutter
19'
F
G. Rutter
19'
F
23
J. Steele
G
J. Steele
G
34
J. Veltman
D
J. Veltman
D
33
M. O'Riley
M
M. O'Riley
M
21
O. Boscagli
D
O. Boscagli
D
7
Solly March
34'
M
Solly March
34'
M
11
Y. Minteh
48'
F
Y. Minteh
48'
F
31
S. Lammens
G
S. Lammens
G
23
L. Shaw
82'
D
L. Shaw
82'
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
5
H. Maguire
D
H. Maguire
D
3
N. Mazraoui
74'
D
N. Mazraoui
74'
D
37
K. Mainoo
M
K. Mainoo
M
7
M. Mount
74'
M
M. Mount
74'
M
13
P. Dorgu
1 ⚽
1 👟
62'
M
P. Dorgu
1 ⚽
1 👟
62'
M
8
Bruno Fernandes
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Bruno Fernandes
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
16
A. Diallo
1 👟
M
A. Diallo
1 👟
M
19
B. Mbeumo
1 ⚽
74'
F
B. Mbeumo
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
1
A. Bayındır
G
A. Bayındır
G
26
A. Heaven
D
A. Heaven
D
11
J. Zirkzee
19'
F
J. Zirkzee
19'
F
15
L. Yoro
19'
D
L. Yoro
19'
D
10
Matheus Cunha
F
Matheus Cunha
F
25
M. Ugarte
M
M. Ugarte
M
61
S. Lacey
31'
F
S. Lacey
31'
F
39
T. Fletcher
19'
M
T. Fletcher
19'
M
12
T. Malacia
11'
D
T. Malacia
11'
D
Best on the pitch
Bruno Fernandes
M · Manchester
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 52 pass
P. Dorgu
M · Manchester
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 18 pass
A. Diallo
M · Manchester
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 33 pass
C. Baleba
M · Brighton
7.20
· 17 pass
M. Mount
M · Manchester
7.20
· 43 pass
K. Mainoo
M · Manchester
7.20
1 shots
· 56 pass
Brighton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Verbruggen | G | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| F. Kadıoğlu | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Dunk | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| J. van Hecke | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Wieffer | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| James Milner | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Groß | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 42% | — | — | — |
| M. De Cuyper | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hinshelwood | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Gómez | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Welbeck | F | 59 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| C. Baleba | M | 34 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Kostoulas | F | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| G. Rutter | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Solly March | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Minteh | F | 48 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Manchester United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lammens | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Shaw | D | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Maguire | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Mazraoui | D | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mainoo | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Mount | M | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Dorgu | M | 62 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | M | 93 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 52 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Diallo | M | 93 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Mbeumo | F | 74 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Zirkzee | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Yoro | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Lacey | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Fletcher | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| T. Malacia | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brighton vs Manchester United?
The final score was Brighton 0–3 Manchester United.
What did the model predict before Brighton vs Manchester United?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Brighton win, 19% to a draw, and 27% to an Manchester United win.