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Championship · Regular Season - 10 October 13, 2026 20:45 Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Bristol City
#14 · 15 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Blackburn
#10 · 18 pts
38' (ast. Sean McLoughlin) Oladapo Afolayan
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol City a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Blackburn 28%). The final result was Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn. In 2 previous meetings, Bristol City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Blackburn.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
1
1.98
Actual xG
0.21
0
Saves
6
56%
Possession
44%
10
Corners
5
15
Tackles
19
Match Events
38'
ast. Sean McLoughlin · Oladapo Afolayan⚽
↕ Sam Greenwood / Yu Hirakawa
45'
62'
Moussa·Baradji / Todd Cantwell ↕
62'
Augustus Kargbo / Ryoya Morishita ↕
63'
J. Fevrier / Oladapo Afolayan ↕
↕ Jason Knight / Brian de Keersmaecker
67'
↕ Scott Twine / Tomi Horvat
67'
73'
Andri Guðjohnsen / Kristi Montgomery ↕
↕ George Tanner / Rio Cardines
75'
↕ Jed Wallace / Elijah Adebayo
75'
Pre-match prediction
42.38%
Bristol
29.52%
X
28.1%
Blackburn ←
we assigned to the actual result (Blackburn) 28.1% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bristol
1.47
1.98
+0.51
Blackburn
1.01
0.21
-0.8
Bristol City dominated by xG (1.98 vs 0.21). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Bristol City Bristol City 4-2-3-1
1 S. Tickle S. Tickle G 5.87
3 C. Pring C. Pring D 6.03
5 R. Atkinson R. Atkinson D 6.88
2 L. Eissat L. Eissat D 7.37
19 G. Tanner G. Tanner 75' D 6.59
27 G. Yah G. Yah M 6.23
12 J. Knight J. Knight 67' M 6.30
10 S. Twine S. Twine 67' M 6.27
20 S. Greenwood S. Greenwood 45' M 6.93
17 J. Wallace J. Wallace 75' M 6.50
23 D. Ballard D. Ballard F 6.49
Bench
4 A. Randell A. Randell M 0.00
40 B. Collins B. Collins G 0.00
6 B. De Keersmaecker B. De Keersmaecker 23' M 6.14
45 E. Adebayo E. Adebayo 15' F 6.82
15 L. McNally L. McNally D 0.00
21 Rio Cardines Rio Cardines 15' D 6.21
11 S. Bell S. Bell F 0.00
14 T. Horvat T. Horvat 23' M 6.43
7 Y. Hirakawa Y. Hirakawa 45' M 6.67
Blackburn Blackburn 3-4-2-1
22 B. Tóth B. Tóth G 7.52
15 S. McLoughlin S. McLoughlin 1 👟 D 7.74
17 H. Carter H. Carter D 7.00
6 Tom Atcheson Tom Atcheson D 6.92
3 H. Pickering H. Pickering M 6.69
31 Kristi Montgomery Kristi Montgomery 73' M 6.55
8 Sam Morsy Sam Morsy M 6.82
2 R. Alebiosu R. Alebiosu M 6.53
21 O. Afolayan O. Afolayan 1 ⚽ 63' M 8.03
25 R. Morishita R. Morishita 62' M 6.44
10 T. Cantwell T. Cantwell 62' F 6.30
Bench
9 A. Guðjohnsen A. Guðjohnsen 17' F 6.56
7 A. Kargbo A. Kargbo 28' F 6.30
1 A. Pears A. Pears G 0.00
14 D. De Neve D. De Neve M 0.00
27 Gady Beyuku Gady Beyuku D 0.00
11 J. Fevrier J. Fevrier 27' F 6.78
30 J. Garrett J. Garrett M 0.00
24 M. Baradji M. Baradji 28' M 7.17
29 M. Jørgensen M. Jørgensen F 0.00
Best on the pitch
O. Afolayan
O. Afolayan
M · Blackburn
8.03
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
S. McLoughlin
S. McLoughlin
D · Blackburn
7.74
1 👟
· 52 pass
B. Tóth
B. Tóth
G · Blackburn
7.52
· 28 pass
L. Eissat
L. Eissat
D · Bristol
7.37
3 shots · 67 pass
M. Baradji
M. Baradji
M · Blackburn
7.17
1 shots · 11 pass
H. Carter
H. Carter
D · Blackburn
7.00
· 40 pass
Bristol City Bristol City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Tickle G 90 5.87 — — 0 35 25% 0 — —
C. Pring D 90 6.03 — — 1 35 24% 2 — —
R. Atkinson D 90 6.88 — — 1 52 47% 2 — —
L. Eissat D 90 7.37 — — 3 67 57% 2 — —
G. Tanner D 75 6.59 — — 1 35 27% 2 — —
G. Yah M 90 6.23 — — 0 39 31% 1 — —
J. Knight M 67 6.30 — — 0 44 34% 1 — —
S. Twine M 67 6.27 — — 1 16 15% 2 — —
S. Greenwood M 45 6.93 — — 1 11 8% 0 — —
J. Wallace M 75 6.50 — — 1 15 11% 1 — —
D. Ballard F 90 6.49 — — 4 11 8% 1 — —
B. De Keersmaecker M 23 6.14 — — 0 21 17% 1 — —
E. Adebayo F 15 6.82 — — 2 1 1% 0 — —
Rio Cardines D 15 6.21 — — 0 10 5% 0 — —
T. Horvat M 23 6.43 — — 1 10 9% 0 — —
Y. Hirakawa M 45 6.67 — — 1 12 8% 0 — —
Blackburn Blackburn — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Tóth G 90 7.52 — — 0 28 16% 0 — —
S. McLoughlin D 90 7.74 — 1 0 52 43% 2 — —
H. Carter D 90 7.00 — — 0 40 32% 2 — —
Tom Atcheson D 90 6.92 — — 0 44 31% 0 — —
H. Pickering M 90 6.69 — — 0 28 21% 4 — —
Kristi Montgomery M 73 6.55 — — 0 29 24% 2 — —
Sam Morsy M 90 6.82 — — 0 30 26% 3 — —
R. Alebiosu M 90 6.53 — — 1 17 13% 2 — —
O. Afolayan M 63 8.03 1 — 1 16 12% 0 — —
R. Morishita M 62 6.44 — — 0 11 9% 1 — —
T. Cantwell F 62 6.30 — — 0 22 20% 0 — —
A. Guðjohnsen F 17 6.56 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
A. Kargbo F 28 6.30 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
J. Fevrier F 27 6.78 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
M. Baradji M 28 7.17 — — 1 11 8% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bristol City vs Blackburn?
The final score was Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn.
What did the model predict before Bristol City vs Blackburn?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Bristol City win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Blackburn win.