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#14 · 15 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#15 · 15 pts
53' (ast. Ben House) F. Draper
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol City a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Lincoln 29%). The final result was Bristol City 0–1 Lincoln.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
4
67%
Possession
33%
13
Corners
4
8
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
14'
Ben House
Lisav Naif Eissat
28'
37'
Deji Elerewe
lorent tolaj
41'
45'
F. Draper
53'
ast. Ben House · F. Draper⚽
↕ Jed Wallace / Dominic Ballard
59'
63'
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild / Chiedozie Ogbene ↕
68'
Ryley Towler
69'
George Wickens
71'
Robert Nicholas Street / F. Draper ↕
71'
Daniel Oyegoke / Adam Reach ↕
↕ Robert Dickie / Robert Atkinson
76'
↕ Scott Twine / Sam Greenwood
76'
↕ lorent tolaj / Elijah Adebayo
76'
↕ Cameron Pring / Sam Bellis
86'
90'+6
Tom Bayliss / Ivan Varfolomeev ↕
Pre-match prediction
37.42%
Bristol
32.99%
X
29.59%
Lincoln ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lincoln) 29.59% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bristol
1.27
—
—
Lincoln
0.91
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Bristol City Bristol City 4-2-3-1
1 S. Tickle S. Tickle G 6.50
3 C. Pring C. Pring 86' D 6.58
2 L. Eissat L. Eissat D 6.75
16 R. Dickie R. Dickie 76' D 7.23
21 Rio Cardines Rio Cardines D 7.84
27 G. Yah G. Yah M 6.70
12 J. Knight J. Knight M 6.44
7 Y. Hirakawa Y. Hirakawa M 6.24
10 S. Twine S. Twine 76' M 5.98
17 J. Wallace J. Wallace 59' M 5.90
9 L. Tolaj L. Tolaj 76' F 6.08
Bench
4 A. Randell A. Randell M 0.00
40 B. Collins B. Collins G 0.00
23 D. Ballard D. Ballard 31' F 7.01
45 E. Adebayo E. Adebayo 14' F 6.32
19 G. Tanner G. Tanner D 0.00
38 N. Eile N. Eile D 0.00
5 R. Atkinson R. Atkinson 14' D 6.70
11 S. Bell S. Bell 4' F 6.26
20 S. Greenwood S. Greenwood 14' M 6.56
Lincoln Lincoln 3-4-2-1
1 G. Wickens G. Wickens G 6.77
6 R. Towler R. Towler D 6.04
15 S. Bradley S. Bradley D 6.92
25 D. Elerewe D. Elerewe D 6.80
3 A. Reach A. Reach 71' M 6.69
14 C. McGrandles C. McGrandles M 6.37
24 I. Varfolomeev I. Varfolomeev M 6.31
16 D. Jefferies D. Jefferies M 6.24
27 C. Ogbene C. Ogbene 63' M 6.64
18 B. House B. House 1 👟 M 7.64
34 F. Draper F. Draper 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.91
Bench
4 A. Coubiș A. Coubiș D 0.00
33 D. Oyegoke D. Oyegoke 19' D 7.24
19 I. Olaofe I. Olaofe F 0.00
46 J. Gauci J. Gauci G 0.00
11 M. Ladefoged M. Ladefoged F 0.00
7 R. Hackett R. Hackett 27' M 6.92
17 R. Street R. Street 19' F 6.58
8 T. Bayliss T. Bayliss 1' M 0.00
26 Y. Konak Y. Konak M 0.00
Best on the pitch
F. Draper
F. Draper
F · Lincoln
7.91
1 ⚽
3 shots · 11 pass
Rio Cardines
Rio Cardines
D · Bristol
7.84
· 72 pass
B. House
B. House
M · Lincoln
7.64
1 👟
· 10 pass
D. Oyegoke
D. Oyegoke
D · Lincoln
7.24
1 shots · 6 pass
R. Dickie
R. Dickie
D · Bristol
7.23
1 shots · 68 pass
D. Ballard
D. Ballard
F · Bristol
7.01
3 shots · 7 pass
Bristol City Bristol City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Tickle G 90 6.50 — — 0 30 25% 0 — —
C. Pring D 86 6.58 — — 0 44 33% 0 — —
L. Eissat D 90 6.75 — — 3 70 63% 0 1 —
R. Dickie D 76 7.23 — — 1 68 59% 0 — —
Rio Cardines D 90 7.84 — — 0 72 58% 2 — —
G. Yah M 90 6.70 — — 2 62 55% 2 — —
J. Knight M 90 6.44 — — 0 68 56% 1 — —
Y. Hirakawa M 90 6.24 — — 3 20 16% 1 — —
S. Twine M 76 5.98 — — 0 27 22% 1 — —
J. Wallace M 59 5.90 — — 1 17 15% 0 — —
L. Tolaj F 76 6.08 — — 3 8 5% 0 1 —
D. Ballard F 31 7.01 — — 3 7 6% 0 — —
E. Adebayo F 14 6.32 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
R. Atkinson D 14 6.70 — — 1 15 12% 0 — —
S. Bell F 4 6.26 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
S. Greenwood M 14 6.56 — — 1 1 1% 1 — —
Lincoln Lincoln — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Wickens G 90 6.77 — — 0 44 13% 0 1 —
R. Towler D 90 6.04 — — 0 22 13% 1 1 —
S. Bradley D 90 6.92 — — 0 20 14% 1 — —
D. Elerewe D 90 6.80 — — 1 25 19% 2 1 —
A. Reach M 71 6.69 — — 0 22 17% 1 — —
C. McGrandles M 90 6.37 — — 0 33 27% 1 — —
I. Varfolomeev M 96 6.31 — — 0 22 13% 3 — —
D. Jefferies M 90 6.24 — — 1 13 7% 0 — —
C. Ogbene M 63 6.64 — — 3 9 8% 0 — —
B. House M 90 7.64 — 1 0 10 7% 4 1 —
F. Draper F 71 7.91 1 — 3 11 8% 0 1 —
D. Oyegoke D 19 7.24 — — 1 6 5% 1 — —
R. Hackett M 27 6.92 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
R. Street F 19 6.58 — — 0 4 3% 1 — —
T. Bayliss M 1 0.00 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bristol City vs Lincoln?
The final score was Bristol City 0–1 Lincoln.
What did the model predict before Bristol City vs Lincoln?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Bristol City win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an Lincoln win.