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Championship · Regular Season - 1 August 15, 2026 16:00 Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Bristol City
#14 · 15 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Millwall
#13 · 15 pts
41' J. Coburn
50' (ast. J. Metcalfe) J. Coburn
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol City a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Millwall 33%). The final result was Bristol City 0–2 Millwall. In 2 previous meetings, Bristol City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Millwall.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
14
0
Shots on target
3
0.50
Actual xG
3.00
2
Saves
0
35%
Possession
65%
6
Corners
6
13
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
15'
J. Coburn
A. Randell
23'
29'
K. Lisbie / F. Azeez ↕
A. Randell
36'
A. Randell
36'
41'
J. Coburn⚽
45'
J. Metcalfe
↕ Y. Hirakawa / J. Williams
46'
50'
ast. J. Metcalfe · J. Coburn⚽
↕ L. Eissat / R. Cardines
56'
↕ L. Tolaj / S. Bell
64'
↕ S. Greenwood / E. Riis
64'
↕ D. Ballard / J. Wallace
64'
64'
L. Cundle / T. Arconte ↕
64'
M. Sykes / J. Metcalfe ↕
82'
D. Kelly / Z. Sturge ↕
83'
L. Dykes / J. Coburn ↕
Pre-match prediction
33.91%
Bristol
32.49%
X
33.6%
Millwall ←
we assigned to the actual result (Millwall) 33.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bristol
1.17
0.50
-0.67
Millwall
1.72
3.00
+1.29
Millwall dominated by xG (3.00 vs 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Bristol City Bristol City 4-2-3-1
1 S. Tickle S. Tickle G 6.30
2 L. Eissat L. Eissat 56' D 6.30
5 R. Atkinson R. Atkinson D 6.20
16 R. Dickie R. Dickie D 6.90
19 G. Tanner G. Tanner D 6.30
4 A. Randell A. Randell 36' M 5.30
12 J. Knight J. Knight M 6.60
20 S. Greenwood S. Greenwood 64' M 6.30
23 D. Ballard D. Ballard 64' M 6.20
7 Y. Hirakawa Y. Hirakawa 45' M 6.60
9 L. Tolaj L. Tolaj 64' F 6.50
Bench
40 B. Collins B. Collins G
18 E. Riis E. Riis 28' F 6.20
27 G. Yah G. Yah M
17 J. Wallace J. Wallace 28' M 6.70
8 J. Williams J. Williams 47' M 7.20
38 N. Eile N. Eile D
21 Rio Cardines Rio Cardines 36' D 6.30
11 S. Bell S. Bell 28' F 6.50
10 S. Twine S. Twine M
Millwall Millwall 4-3-3
1 Lukas Jensen Lukas Jensen G 6.60
3 Zak Norton Sturge Zak Norton Sturge 82' D 7.30
5 J. Cooper J. Cooper D 7.50
6 C. Taylor C. Taylor D 7.30
18 R. Leonard R. Leonard D 7.20
10 C. Neghli C. Neghli M 6.70
24 C. De Norre C. De Norre M 7.30
14 Jenson Metcalfe Jenson Metcalfe 64' M 6.30
7 T. Arconte T. Arconte 64' F 6.60
19 J. Coburn J. Coburn 2 ⚽ 83' F 8.90
11 Femi Azeez Femi Azeez 29' F 6.30
Bench
23 D. Batth D. Batth D
16 D. Kelly D. Kelly 10' M 6.30
12 E. Baggott E. Baggott D
22 K. Lisbie K. Lisbie 63' F 7.00
25 L. Cundle L. Cundle 28' M 6.60
13 L. Dykes L. Dykes 9' F 6.20
15 M. Crocombe M. Crocombe G
17 M. Sykes M. Sykes 28' M 6.30
31 Raees Bangura-Williams Raees Bangura-Williams M
Best on the pitch
J. Coburn
J. Coburn
F · Millwall
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
J. Cooper
J. Cooper
D · Millwall
7.50
1 shots · 71 pass
C. De Norre
C. De Norre
M · Millwall
7.30
2 shots · 53 pass
C. Taylor
C. Taylor
D · Millwall
7.30
1 shots · 75 pass
Zak Norton Sturge
Zak Norton Sturge
D · Millwall
7.30
· 30 pass
R. Leonard
R. Leonard
D · Millwall
7.20
· 68 pass
Bristol City Bristol City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Tickle G 92 6.30 — — — 32 4% — — —
L. Eissat D 56 6.30 — — — 16 8% 2 — —
R. Atkinson D 92 6.20 — — — 23 17% 1 — —
R. Dickie D 92 6.90 — — — 19 9% 2 — —
G. Tanner D 92 6.30 — — — 22 18% — — —
A. Randell M 36 5.30 — — — 10 9% — 2 1
J. Knight M 92 6.60 — — — 40 22% — — —
S. Greenwood M 64 6.30 — — 1 15 10% 1 — —
D. Ballard M 64 6.20 — — 1 12 8% 1 — —
Y. Hirakawa M 45 6.60 — — 1 7 5% 2 — —
L. Tolaj F 64 6.50 — — 2 7 6% — — —
E. Riis F 28 6.20 — — — 2 1% — — —
J. Wallace M 28 6.70 — — 1 6 4% — — —
J. Williams M 47 7.20 — — — 25 17% 3 — —
Rio Cardines D 36 6.30 — — — 10 6% 1 — —
S. Bell F 28 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
Millwall Millwall — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lukas Jensen G 92 6.60 — — — 16 12% — — —
Zak Norton Sturge D 82 7.30 — — — 30 23% 4 — —
J. Cooper D 92 7.50 — — 1 71 62% 1 — —
C. Taylor D 92 7.30 — — 1 75 71% 1 — —
R. Leonard D 92 7.20 — — — 68 47% — — —
C. Neghli M 92 6.70 — — 2 43 37% — — —
C. De Norre M 92 7.30 — — 2 53 48% 2 — —
Jenson Metcalfe M 64 6.30 — — 1 22 14% 1 1 —
T. Arconte F 64 6.60 — — 2 7 5% — — —
J. Coburn F 83 8.90 2 — 3 16 10% — 1 —
Femi Azeez F 29 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
D. Kelly M 10 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
K. Lisbie F 63 7.00 — — — 17 14% 2 — —
L. Cundle M 28 6.60 — — 1 26 24% 1 — —
L. Dykes F 9 6.20 — — — 3 1% — — —
M. Sykes M 28 6.30 — — 1 10 10% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bristol City vs Millwall?
The final score was Bristol City 0–2 Millwall.
What did the model predict before Bristol City vs Millwall?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Bristol City win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Millwall win.