Skip to main content
← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 1 August 15, 2026 16:00 Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Bristol City
#7 · 10 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Millwall
#9 · 9 pts
41' J. Coburn
50' (ast. J. Metcalfe) J. Coburn
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol City a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Millwall 33%). The final result was Bristol City 0–2 Millwall. In 2 previous meetings, Bristol City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Millwall.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
14
0
Shots on target
3
0.50
Actual xG
3.00
2
Saves
0
35%
Possession
65%
6
Corners
6
13
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
15'
J. Coburn
A. Randell
23'
29'
K. Lisbie / F. Azeez ↕
A. Randell
36'
A. Randell
36'
41'
J. Coburn⚽
45'
J. Metcalfe
↕ Y. Hirakawa / J. Williams
46'
50'
ast. J. Metcalfe · J. Coburn⚽
↕ L. Eissat / R. Cardines
56'
↕ L. Tolaj / S. Bell
64'
↕ S. Greenwood / E. Riis
64'
↕ D. Ballard / J. Wallace
64'
64'
L. Cundle / T. Arconte ↕
64'
M. Sykes / J. Metcalfe ↕
82'
D. Kelly / Z. Sturge ↕
83'
L. Dykes / J. Coburn ↕
Pre-match prediction
33.91%
Bristol
32.49%
X
33.6%
Millwall ←
we assigned to the actual result (Millwall) 33.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bristol
1.17
0.50
-0.67
Millwall
1.72
3.00
+1.29
Millwall dominated by xG (3.00 vs 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
Bristol City Bristol City 4-2-3-1
1 S. Tickle S. Tickle G 6.30
2 L. Eissat L. Eissat 56' D 6.30
5 R. Atkinson R. Atkinson D 6.20
16 R. Dickie R. Dickie D 6.90
19 G. Tanner G. Tanner D 6.30
4 A. Randell A. Randell 36' M 5.30
12 J. Knight J. Knight M 6.60
20 S. Greenwood S. Greenwood 64' M 6.30
23 D. Ballard D. Ballard 64' M 6.20
7 Y. Hirakawa Y. Hirakawa 45' M 6.60
9 L. Tolaj L. Tolaj 64' F 6.50
Bench
40 B. Collins B. Collins G
18 E. Riis E. Riis 28' F 6.20
27 G. Yah G. Yah M
17 J. Wallace J. Wallace 28' M 6.70
8 J. Williams J. Williams 47' M 7.20
38 N. Eile N. Eile D
21 Rio Cardines Rio Cardines 36' D 6.30
11 Sam Bell Sam Bell 28' F 6.50
10 S. Twine S. Twine M
Millwall Millwall 4-3-3
1 Lukas Jensen Lukas Jensen G 6.60
3 Zak Norton Sturge Zak Norton Sturge 82' D 7.30
5 J. Cooper J. Cooper D 7.50
6 C. Taylor C. Taylor D 7.30
18 Ryan Leonard Ryan Leonard D 7.20
10 C. Neghli C. Neghli M 6.70
24 C. De Norre C. De Norre M 7.30
14 Jenson Metcalfe Jenson Metcalfe 64' M 6.30
7 T. Arconte T. Arconte 64' F 6.60
19 J. Coburn J. Coburn 2 ⚽ 83' F 8.90
11 Femi Azeez Femi Azeez 29' F 6.30
Bench
23 D. Batth D. Batth D
16 D. Kelly D. Kelly 10' M 6.30
12 E. Baggott E. Baggott D
22 K. Lisbie K. Lisbie 63' F 7.00
25 L. Cundle L. Cundle 28' M 6.60
13 L. Dykes L. Dykes 9' F 6.20
15 M. Crocombe M. Crocombe G
17 M. Sykes M. Sykes 28' M 6.30
31 Raees Bangura-Williams Raees Bangura-Williams M
Best on the pitch
J. Coburn
J. Coburn
F · Millwall
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
J. Cooper
J. Cooper
D · Millwall
7.50
1 shots · 71 pass
C. De Norre
C. De Norre
M · Millwall
7.30
2 shots · 53 pass
C. Taylor
C. Taylor
D · Millwall
7.30
1 shots · 75 pass
Zak Norton Sturge
Zak Norton Sturge
D · Millwall
7.30
· 30 pass
Ryan Leonard
Ryan Leonard
D · Millwall
7.20
· 68 pass
Bristol City Bristol City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Tickle G 92 6.30 — — — 32 4% — — —
L. Eissat D 56 6.30 — — — 16 8% 2 — —
R. Atkinson D 92 6.20 — — — 23 17% 1 — —
R. Dickie D 92 6.90 — — — 19 9% 2 — —
G. Tanner D 92 6.30 — — — 22 18% — — —
A. Randell M 36 5.30 — — — 10 9% — 2 1
J. Knight M 92 6.60 — — — 40 22% — — —
S. Greenwood M 64 6.30 — — 1 15 10% 1 — —
D. Ballard M 64 6.20 — — 1 12 8% 1 — —
Y. Hirakawa M 45 6.60 — — 1 7 5% 2 — —
L. Tolaj F 64 6.50 — — 2 7 6% — — —
E. Riis F 28 6.20 — — — 2 1% — — —
J. Wallace M 28 6.70 — — 1 6 4% — — —
J. Williams M 47 7.20 — — — 25 17% 3 — —
Rio Cardines D 36 6.30 — — — 10 6% 1 — —
Sam Bell F 28 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
Millwall Millwall — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lukas Jensen G 92 6.60 — — — 16 12% — — —
Zak Norton Sturge D 82 7.30 — — — 30 23% 4 — —
J. Cooper D 92 7.50 — — 1 71 62% 1 — —
C. Taylor D 92 7.30 — — 1 75 71% 1 — —
Ryan Leonard D 92 7.20 — — — 68 47% — — —
C. Neghli M 92 6.70 — — 2 43 37% — — —
C. De Norre M 92 7.30 — — 2 53 48% 2 — —
Jenson Metcalfe M 64 6.30 — — 1 22 14% 1 1 —
T. Arconte F 64 6.60 — — 2 7 5% — — —
J. Coburn F 83 8.90 2 — 3 16 10% — 1 —
Femi Azeez F 29 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
D. Kelly M 10 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
K. Lisbie F 63 7.00 — — — 17 14% 2 — —
L. Cundle M 28 6.60 — — 1 26 24% 1 — —
L. Dykes F 9 6.20 — — — 3 1% — — —
M. Sykes M 28 6.30 — — 1 10 10% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bristol City vs Millwall?
The final score was Bristol City 0–2 Millwall.
What did the model predict before Bristol City vs Millwall?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Bristol City win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Millwall win.