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Bristol City - Newcastle

Friendlies Clubs July 29, 2026 20:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.19%
Win
Bristol City
32.55%
Draw
35.26%
Win
Newcastle
0.71
Expected xG
1.32

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.49%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 33%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 68%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Newcastle a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Bristol City. Expected goals are 0.7 for Bristol City and 1.3 for Newcastle (total 2.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.49% probability.

Season Stats

Bristol City
1W 1D 1L
Newcastle
1W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.0
1.0
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Bristol City Newcastle →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.2% 17.3% 11.4% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.4% 12.3% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5

Recent form

W Swindon Town 1–3
D Newport County 0–0
L Stockport County 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 46%
D Gateshead 1–1
W Darlington 1883 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Bristol City Bristol City
Attack
26
Defence
75
Form
54
Newcastle Newcastle
Attack
49
Defence
87
Form
74
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bristol City vs Newcastle?
The model gives Bristol City a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 35% for an Newcastle win.
How many goals are expected in Bristol City vs Newcastle?
Expected goals: Bristol City 0.7, Newcastle 1.3 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Bristol City vs Newcastle?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.49%.