S. Morsy
(ast. C. Pring)
2'
S. Bell
90'+3
51'
(ast. K. McLean)
M. Toure
70'
(ast. O. Schwartau)
M. Toure
75'
M. Toure
79'
(ast. K. McLean)
J. Cordoba
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 44% win probability (draw 25%, Bristol City 29%). The final result was Bristol City 2–4 Norwich. In 1 previous meetings, Bristol City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Norwich.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
6
Shots on target
9
1.48
Actual xG
1.80
6
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
10
11
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽S. Morsy
· ast. C. Pring
2'
51'
ast. K. McLean ·
M. Toure⚽
54'
M. Toure
E. Riis
/ D. Burgzorg
65'
M. Sykes
/ S. Bell
65'
S. Twine
/ T. Horvat
65'
70'
ast. O. Schwartau ·
M. Toure⚽
72'
K. McLean
75'
M. Toure⚽
77'
M. Kvistgaarden
/
M. Toure
77'
A. Slimane
/
P. Maghoma
S. Morsy
/ S. Armstrong
78'
79'
ast. K. McLean ·
J. Cordoba⚽
83'
E. Mundle Smith
/
A. Ahmed
84'
A. Forson
/
O. Schwartau
R. McCrorie
/ G. Tanner
87'
90'+1
J. Wright
/
K. McLean
⚽S. Bell
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
29.76%
Bristol
25.95%
X
44.28%
Norwich ←
we assigned to the actual result (Norwich)
44.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
1.48
+0.52
1.62
1.80
+0.18
Norwich dominated by xG (1.80 vs 1.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
G
3
C. Pring
1 👟
D
C. Pring
1 👟
D
21
D
38
N. Eile
D
N. Eile
D
2
R. McCrorie
87'
D
R. McCrorie
87'
D
40
Sam Morsy
1 ⚽
78'
M
Sam Morsy
1 ⚽
78'
M
4
M
12
M
10
S. Twine
65'
M
S. Twine
65'
M
17
M. Sykes
65'
M
M. Sykes
65'
M
18
E. Riis
65'
F
E. Riis
65'
F
Bench
11
D. Burgzorg
33'
F
D. Burgzorg
33'
F
16
R. Dickie
D
R. Dickie
D
20
Sam Bell
1 ⚽
33'
F
Sam Bell
1 ⚽
33'
F
14
T. Horvat
33'
M
T. Horvat
33'
M
1
V. Kovačević
G
V. Kovačević
G
8
L. Gibbs
D
L. Gibbs
D
33
J. Córdoba
1 ⚽
D
J. Córdoba
1 ⚽
D
6
H. Darling
D
H. Darling
D
35
K. Fisher
D
K. Fisher
D
23
K. McLean
2 👟
M
K. McLean
2 👟
M
7
P. Mattsson
M
P. Mattsson
M
21
Ali Ahmed
83'
M
Ali Ahmed
83'
M
25
P. Maghoma
78'
M
P. Maghoma
78'
M
29
O. Schwartau
1 👟
84'
M
O. Schwartau
1 👟
84'
M
37
M. Touré
3 ⚽
77'
F
M. Touré
3 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
20
A. Ben Slimane
20'
M
A. Ben Slimane
20'
M
18
A. Forson
14'
M
A. Forson
14'
M
16
Jacob Wright
7'
M
Jacob Wright
7'
M
3
J. Stacey
D
J. Stacey
D
30
M. Kvistgaarden
21'
F
M. Kvistgaarden
21'
F
26
S. Field
M
S. Field
M
Best on the pitch
M. Touré
F · Norwich
8.50
3 ⚽
4 shots
· 2 pass
Sam Morsy
M · Bristol
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 53 pass
J. Córdoba
D · Norwich
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 70 pass
K. McLean
M · Norwich
7.50
2 👟
3 shots
· 75 pass
Sam Bell
F · Bristol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
V. Kovačević
G · Norwich
7.30
· 15 pass
Bristol City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| C. Pring | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 98 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| N. Eile | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| R. McCrorie | D | 87 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Sam Morsy | M | 78 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 53 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| M | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 2 | — | — | |
| S. Twine | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sykes | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Riis | F | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Burgzorg | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Sam Bell | F | 33 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Horvat | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Norwich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Kovačević | G | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Gibbs | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Córdoba | D | 98 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 70 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Darling | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 63% | — | — | — |
| K. Fisher | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| K. McLean | M | 91 | 7.50 | — | 2 | 3 | 75 | 62% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Mattsson | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Ali Ahmed | M | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Maghoma | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Schwartau | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Touré | F | 77 | 8.50 | 3 | — | 4 | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Ben Slimane | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Forson | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Wright | M | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Kvistgaarden | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bristol City vs Norwich?
The final score was Bristol City 2–4 Norwich.
What did the model predict before Bristol City vs Norwich?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Bristol City win, 25% to a draw, and 44% to an Norwich win.