✗Model wrong — prediction Bristol City, result Sheffield Utd wins
5'
Oliver Arblaster
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol City a 52% win probability (draw 24%, Sheffield Utd 22%). The final result was Bristol City 0–1 Sheffield Utd. In 2 previous meetings, Bristol City have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sheffield Utd.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
1
Shots on target
2
0.58
Actual xG
1.21
1
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
5
20
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
5'
Oliver Arblaster⚽
Scott Twine
/ Elijah Adebayo
45'
George Tanner
/ Jed Wallace
45'
69'
Patrick Bamford
/
Jordan Ayew
69'
Sam McCallum
/
Tahith Chong
Gibson Osahumen Yah
/ Brian de Keersmaecker
72'
78'
Sydie Peck
/
Oliver Arblaster
79'
Ryan One
/
Ben Brereton
79'
Romelle Donovan
/
Mark McGuinness
Jason Knight
/ Tomi Horvat
85'
Yu Hirakawa
/ Sam Bellis
85'
87'
Jamal Baptiste
/
Thomas Cannon
Brian de Keersmaecker
90'+6
90'+10
Patrick Bamford
Pre-match prediction
52.35%
Bristol
24.96%
X
22.69%
Sheffield ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sheffield Utd)
22.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.26
0.58
-1.67
0.99
1.21
+0.22
Sheffield Utd dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.58).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. Tickle
G
S. Tickle
G
3
C. Pring
D
C. Pring
D
5
R. Atkinson
D
R. Atkinson
D
15
L. McNally
D
L. McNally
D
19
G. Tanner
45'
D
G. Tanner
45'
D
27
G. Yah
72'
M
G. Yah
72'
M
12
J. Knight
85'
M
J. Knight
85'
M
7
Y. Hirakawa
85'
M
Y. Hirakawa
85'
M
10
S. Twine
45'
M
S. Twine
45'
M
21
Rio Cardines
M
Rio Cardines
M
23
D. Ballard
F
D. Ballard
F
Bench
4
A. Randell
M
A. Randell
M
40
B. Collins
G
B. Collins
G
6
B. De Keersmaecker
18'
M
B. De Keersmaecker
18'
M
45
E. Adebayo
45'
F
E. Adebayo
45'
F
17
J. Wallace
45'
M
J. Wallace
45'
M
2
L. Eissat
D
L. Eissat
D
11
S. Bell
5'
F
S. Bell
5'
F
20
S. Greenwood
M
S. Greenwood
M
14
T. Horvat
5'
M
T. Horvat
5'
M
1
M. Cooper
G
M. Cooper
G
14
H. Burrows
D
H. Burrows
D
15
L. Kitching
D
L. Kitching
D
25
M. McGuinness
79'
D
M. McGuinness
79'
D
5
J. Tanganga
D
J. Tanganga
D
19
T. Chong
69'
M
T. Chong
69'
M
4
O. Arblaster
1 ⚽
78'
M
O. Arblaster
1 ⚽
78'
M
27
K. Phillips
M
K. Phillips
M
22
B. Brereton
79'
M
B. Brereton
79'
M
10
J. Ayew
69'
F
J. Ayew
69'
F
9
T. Cannon
87'
F
T. Cannon
87'
F
Bench
17
A. Davies
G
A. Davies
G
33
J. Baptiste
3'
M
J. Baptiste
3'
M
7
J. Rothwell
M
J. Rothwell
M
45
P. Bamford
21'
F
P. Bamford
21'
F
11
R. Donovan
11'
M
R. Donovan
11'
M
26
R. Oné
11'
F
R. Oné
11'
F
3
S. McCallum
21'
D
S. McCallum
21'
D
42
Sydie Peck
12'
M
Sydie Peck
12'
M
23
T. Campbell
F
T. Campbell
F
Best on the pitch
O. Arblaster
M · Sheffield
7.55
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
M. McGuinness
D · Sheffield
7.29
1 shots
· 24 pass
S. McCallum
D · Sheffield
7.20
1 shots
· 5 pass
L. Kitching
D · Sheffield
7.10
3 shots
· 48 pass
J. Tanganga
D · Sheffield
6.98
3 shots
· 34 pass
Sydie Peck
M · Sheffield
6.92
· 15 pass
Bristol City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Tickle | G | 90 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Pring | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Atkinson | D | 90 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| L. McNally | D | 90 | 6.82 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Tanner | D | 45 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Yah | M | 72 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Knight | M | 85 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Hirakawa | M | 85 | 6.07 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Twine | M | 45 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Rio Cardines | M | 90 | 5.96 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Ballard | F | 90 | 5.88 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| B. De Keersmaecker | M | 18 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Adebayo | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Wallace | M | 45 | 6.34 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Bell | F | 5 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Horvat | M | 5 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Sheffield Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cooper | G | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Burrows | D | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Kitching | D | 90 | 7.10 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| M. McGuinness | D | 79 | 7.29 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Tanganga | D | 90 | 6.98 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Chong | M | 69 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Arblaster | M | 78 | 7.55 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Phillips | M | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Brereton | M | 79 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ayew | F | 69 | 5.76 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Cannon | F | 87 | 6.43 | — | — | 4 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Baptiste | M | 3 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Bamford | F | 21 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. Donovan | M | 11 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Oné | F | 11 | 6.61 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| S. McCallum | D | 21 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Sydie Peck | M | 12 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd?
The final score was Bristol City 0–1 Sheffield Utd.
What did the model predict before Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Bristol City win, 24% to a draw, and 22% to an Sheffield Utd win.