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Championship · Regular Season - 8 September 18, 2026 21:00 Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Bristol City
#14 · 15 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Watford
#21 · 11 pts
Dominic Ballard (ast. Rio Cardines) 31'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol City a 42% win probability (draw 31%, Watford 25%). The final result was Bristol City 1–0 Watford. In 3 previous meetings, Bristol City have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Watford.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
6
36%
Possession
64%
2
Corners
5
19
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
21'
Mamadou Doumbia
25'
Amin Nabizada
⚽Dominic Ballard · ast. Rio Cardines
31'
54'
Branimir Mlacic
Jason Knight
54'
Joe Williams
54'
54'
Edo Kayembe
62'
Albert Eames / Branimir Mlacic ↕
62'
Othmane Maamma / Rocco Vata ↕
62'
Stephy Mavididi / Amin Nabizada ↕
↕ Dominic Ballard / lorent tolaj
63'
↕ Yu Hirakawa / Jed Wallace
63'
70'
Myron Boadu / Mamadou Doumbia ↕
↕ Sam Greenwood / Cameron Pring
70'
81'
Matthew Pollock
↕ N.Eile / Lisav Naif Eissat
88'
↕ Adam Randell / Gibson Osahumen Yah
88'
Pre-match prediction
42.52%
Bristol ←
31.73%
X
25.75%
Watford
we assigned to the actual result (Bristol City) 42.52% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bristol
1.49
—
—
Watford
0.78
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Bristol City Bristol City 4-2-3-1
1 S. Tickle S. Tickle G 6.84
21 Rio Cardines Rio Cardines 1 👟 D 7.81
5 R. Atkinson R. Atkinson D 6.62
38 N. Eile N. Eile 88' D 7.05
19 G. Tanner G. Tanner D 7.00
4 A. Randell A. Randell 88' M 6.81
8 J. Williams J. Williams M 6.44
20 S. Greenwood S. Greenwood 70' M 6.60
12 J. Knight J. Knight M 6.35
7 Y. Hirakawa Y. Hirakawa 63' M 6.37
23 D. Ballard D. Ballard 1 ⚽ 63' F 8.17
Bench
40 B. Collins B. Collins G 0.00
3 C. Pring C. Pring 20' D 6.16
45 E. Adebayo E. Adebayo F 0.00
27 G. Yah G. Yah 2' M 6.69
17 J. Wallace J. Wallace 27' M 6.78
2 L. Eissat L. Eissat 2' D 6.51
9 L. Tolaj L. Tolaj 27' F 6.94
10 S. Twine S. Twine M 0.00
14 T. Horvat T. Horvat M 0.00
Watford Watford 3-4-1-2
1 F. Ravaglia F. Ravaglia G 7.82
29 Branimir Mlačić Branimir Mlačić 62' D 6.35
6 M. Pollock M. Pollock D 6.38
4 K. Keben K. Keben D 6.31
21 Amin Nabizada Amin Nabizada 62' M 5.83
39 E. Kayembe E. Kayembe M 6.48
5 H. Kyprianou H. Kyprianou M 6.73
11 R. Vata R. Vata 62' M 6.19
17 Iker Bravo Iker Bravo M 6.53
9 L. Kjerrumgaard L. Kjerrumgaard F 6.23
20 M. Doumbia M. Doumbia 70' F 6.09
Bench
56 Albert Eames Albert Eames 28' D 6.64
26 D. Bachmann D. Bachmann G 0.00
53 James Andrew Clarridge James Andrew Clarridge D 0.00
43 J. Grieves J. Grieves F 0.00
10 M. Boadu M. Boadu 20' F 6.09
19
N. Chikovani F 0.00
7 O. Maamma O. Maamma 28' F 6.41
45 S. Mavididi S. Mavididi 28' F 6.81
24 S. Walker S. Walker G 0.00
Best on the pitch
D. Ballard
D. Ballard
F · Bristol
8.17
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
F. Ravaglia
F. Ravaglia
G · Watford
7.82
· 37 pass
Rio Cardines
Rio Cardines
D · Bristol
7.81
1 👟
1 shots · 24 pass
N. Eile
N. Eile
D · Bristol
7.05
1 shots · 31 pass
G. Tanner
G. Tanner
D · Bristol
7.00
1 shots · 22 pass
L. Tolaj
L. Tolaj
F · Bristol
6.94
3 shots · 4 pass
Bristol City Bristol City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Tickle G 90 6.84 — — 0 23 14% 0 — —
Rio Cardines D 90 7.81 — 1 1 24 16% 0 — —
R. Atkinson D 90 6.62 — — 0 44 35% 2 — —
N. Eile D 88 7.05 — — 1 31 27% 1 — —
G. Tanner D 90 7.00 — — 1 22 18% 5 — —
A. Randell M 88 6.81 — — 0 24 22% 0 — —
J. Williams M 90 6.44 — — 3 34 28% 2 1 —
S. Greenwood M 70 6.60 — — 2 14 10% 5 — —
J. Knight M 90 6.35 — — 1 22 16% 0 1 —
Y. Hirakawa M 63 6.37 — — 3 16 8% 2 — —
D. Ballard F 63 8.17 1 — 1 5 5% 1 — —
C. Pring D 20 6.16 — — 0 2 1% 1 — —
G. Yah M 2 6.69 — — 1 0 0% 0 — —
J. Wallace M 27 6.78 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
L. Eissat D 2 6.51 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
L. Tolaj F 27 6.94 — — 3 4 3% 0 — —
Watford Watford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Ravaglia G 90 7.82 — — 0 37 27% 0 — —
Branimir Mlačić D 62 6.35 — — 0 50 45% 1 1 —
M. Pollock D 90 6.38 — — 0 101 88% 1 1 —
K. Keben D 90 6.31 — — 0 56 51% 0 — —
Amin Nabizada M 62 5.83 — — 2 23 20% 1 1 —
E. Kayembe M 90 6.48 — — 2 43 37% 2 1 —
H. Kyprianou M 90 6.73 — — 2 54 50% 0 — —
R. Vata M 62 6.19 — — 1 10 6% 0 — —
Iker Bravo M 90 6.53 — — 0 34 29% 0 — —
L. Kjerrumgaard F 90 6.23 — — 1 13 9% 0 — —
M. Doumbia F 70 6.09 — — 0 22 19% 1 1 —
Albert Eames D 28 6.64 — — 0 16 12% 0 — —
M. Boadu F 20 6.09 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
O. Maamma F 28 6.41 — — 0 16 13% 0 — —
S. Mavididi F 28 6.81 — — 1 13 10% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bristol City vs Watford?
The final score was Bristol City 1–0 Watford.
What did the model predict before Bristol City vs Watford?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Bristol City win, 31% to a draw, and 25% to an Watford win.