EFL Cup
· Round of 128
August 08, 2026 16:00
(pen.)
19'
H. Leonard
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol Rovers a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Peterborough 28%). The final result was Bristol Rovers 0–1 Peterborough.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
5
30
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
13'
J. Dornelly
19'
(pen.)
H. Leonard⚽
S. Forde
22'
29'
H. Jones
31'
H. Leonard
46'
L. Mendonca
/
T. O'Connor
J. Aitchison
/ F. Cavegn
46'
R. Smallwood
/ K. Gough
55'
C. Mola
/ R. Russell-Denny
55'
67'
C. Conn-Clarke
/
H. Jones
67'
B. Woods
/
J. Dornelly
J. Quigley
/ B. Kamwa
70'
79'
E. Weir
/
C. Johnston
T. Leigh
/ M. Rijks
83'
87'
D. Kamara
/
H. Leonard
Pre-match prediction
43.28%
Bristol
28.65%
X
28.07%
Peterborough ←
we assigned to the actual result (Peterborough)
28.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.05
—
—
0.80
—
—
Lineups
1
Brad Young
G
Brad Young
G
14
Ben Purrington
D
Ben Purrington
D
26
Riley Harbottle
D
Riley Harbottle
D
4
Kofi Balmer
D
Kofi Balmer
D
23
Macauley Southam-Hales
D
Macauley Southam-Hales
D
6
Clinton Mola
55'
M
Clinton Mola
55'
M
21
Richard Smallwood
55'
M
Richard Smallwood
55'
M
11
Jack Aitchison
45'
M
Jack Aitchison
45'
M
7
Shaqai Forde
M
Shaqai Forde
M
24
T. Leigh
83'
M
T. Leigh
83'
M
9
Joe Quigley
70'
F
Joe Quigley
70'
F
Bench
10
B. Kamwa
20'
F
B. Kamwa
20'
F
17
Ciaran Kelly
D
Ciaran Kelly
D
29
F. Cavegn
45'
F
F. Cavegn
45'
F
3
Jack Sparkes
D
Jack Sparkes
D
22
Keenan Gough
35'
M
Keenan Gough
35'
M
31
L. Southwood
G
L. Southwood
G
18
Mees Rijks
7'
F
Mees Rijks
7'
F
8
R. Russell-Denny
35'
M
R. Russell-Denny
35'
M
2
T. James
D
T. James
D
1
A. Bass
G
A. Bass
G
14
Harley Mills
D
Harley Mills
D
6
T. O'Connor
45'
D
T. O'Connor
45'
D
26
D. Okagbue
D
D. Okagbue
D
33
James Dornelly
66'
D
James Dornelly
66'
D
2
C. Johnston
78'
M
C. Johnston
78'
M
19
Bolu Shofowoke
M
Bolu Shofowoke
M
7
Harrison Jones
66'
M
Harrison Jones
66'
M
8
B. Khela
M
B. Khela
M
11
O. Edwards
M
O. Edwards
M
9
H. Leonard
1 ⚽
87'
F
H. Leonard
1 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
16
B. Woods
24'
M
B. Woods
24'
M
20
C. Conn-Clarke
24'
M
C. Conn-Clarke
24'
M
29
David Kamara
3'
F
David Kamara
3'
F
3
E. Weir
12'
D
E. Weir
12'
D
18
Lucca Mendonça
45'
D
Lucca Mendonça
45'
D
21
Patryk Sykut
M
Patryk Sykut
M
Best on the pitch
Kofi Balmer
D · Bristol
8.20
· 36 pass
D. Okagbue
D · Peterborough
7.50
· 32 pass
Brad Young
G · Bristol
7.30
· 34 pass
Richard Smallwood
M · Bristol
7.30
1 shots
· 21 pass
T. Leigh
M · Bristol
7.30
1 shots
· 36 pass
A. Bass
G · Peterborough
7.30
· 30 pass
Bristol Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Young | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ben Purrington | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 11% | 7 | — | — |
| Riley Harbottle | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Kofi Balmer | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| Macauley Southam-Hales | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Clinton Mola | M | 55 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Richard Smallwood | M | 55 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Jack Aitchison | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Shaqai Forde | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| T. Leigh | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Joe Quigley | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 15 | 7% | — | — | — |
| B. Kamwa | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| F. Cavegn | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Keenan Gough | M | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Mees Rijks | F | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Russell-Denny | M | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Peterborough — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bass | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Harley Mills | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| T. O'Connor | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Okagbue | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| James Dornelly | D | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Johnston | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Bolu Shofowoke | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Harrison Jones | M | 66 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Khela | M | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Edwards | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Leonard | F | 87 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 11 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Woods | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| C. Conn-Clarke | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| David Kamara | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Weir | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lucca Mendonça | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough?
The final score was Bristol Rovers 0–1 Peterborough.
What did the model predict before Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Bristol Rovers win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an Peterborough win.