Brito - Vitória de Sernache
Taça de Portugal
October 17, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.22%
Win
Brito
31.46%
Draw
31.32%
Win
Vitória de Sernache
4.5
0.84
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(12.81%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
31%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
63%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Brito a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Vitória de Sernache. Expected goals are 4.5 for Brito and 0.8 for Vitória de Sernache (total 5.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.81% probability.
Season Stats
2W
0D
1L
2W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
2.0
2.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
33%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Brito
Vitória de Sernache →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 1 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 2 | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 8.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Brito
Attack
89
Defence
90
Form
83
Vitória de Sernache
Attack
29
Defence
54
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Brito vs Vitória de Sernache?
The model gives Brito a 37% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Vitória de Sernache win.
How many goals are expected in Brito vs Vitória de Sernache?
Expected goals: Brito 4.5, Vitória de Sernache 0.8 (total 5.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Brito vs Vitória de Sernache?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.81%.