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Bromsgrove Sporting - Leek Town

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.52%
Win
Bromsgrove Sporting
28.16%
Draw
28.33%
Win
Leek Town
2.38
Expected xG
1.18

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.27%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 28%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 57%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 60%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bromsgrove Sporting a 43% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Leek Town. Expected goals are 2.4 for Bromsgrove Sporting and 1.2 for Leek Town (total 3.6), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.27% probability.

Season Stats

Bromsgrove Sporting
1W 0D 1L
Leek Town
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.7
2.5
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
67%
Based on the last 3 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Bromsgrove Sporting
1W 0D 0L · at home
Leek Town
1W 1D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
2.5
0.0
Conceded
0.0
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Bromsgrove Sporting Leek Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 6.8% 8.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.1% 9.5% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.4% 7.5% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.8% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%

Recent form

W Nuneaton Town 2–0
L Evesham United 5–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 46%
W Sporting Khalsa 0–5
L Harborough Town 0–3
D Harborough Town 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 40%

Playing profile

Bromsgrove Sporting Bromsgrove Sporting
Attack
61
Defence
87
Form
76
Leek Town Leek Town
Attack
42
Defence
85
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leek Town?
The model gives Bromsgrove Sporting a 43% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 28% for an Leek Town win.
How many goals are expected in Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leek Town?
Expected goals: Bromsgrove Sporting 2.4, Leek Town 1.2 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leek Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.27%.