Skip to main content
← USL Championship

Brooklyn - Birmingham Legion

USL Championship October 22, 2026 00:30
#12 · 18 pts
vs
#10 · 23 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.5%
Win
Brooklyn
31.64%
Draw
33.86%
Win
Birmingham Legion
0.87
Expected xG
0.91

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (16.49%)
1X2 Result ✓ 70.5% hit rate (44 picks)
1 35%
X 32%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 66%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 60%
Over 2.5 29%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Brooklyn a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Birmingham Legion. Expected goals are 0.9 for Brooklyn and 0.9 for Birmingham Legion (total 1.8), with a 60% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 16.49% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Brooklyn have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Birmingham Legion.

Season Stats

Brooklyn
2W 5D 8L
Birmingham Legion
2W 6D 7L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.7
2.1
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
93%
60%
O 2.5
73%
47%
BTTS
80%
7%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in USL Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Brooklyn
2W 3D 5L · at home
Birmingham Legion
1W 4D 5L · away
1.1
gls/g
1.4
1.1
Conceded
2.1
20%
Win %
10%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
60%
O 1.5
100%
30%
O 2.5
70%
20%
O 3.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%
10%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Brooklyn Birmingham Legion →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.0% 15.4% 7.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.3% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.4% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% —
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% — — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

L Birmingham Legion 4–0
D FC Tulsa 2–2
L Indy Eleven 4–0
D Miami FC 1–1
L Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 15%
W Brooklyn 4–0
L Tampa Bay Rowdies 4–0
D New Mexico United 4–4
D Charleston Battery 2–2
D Indy Eleven 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

Brooklyn Brooklyn
Attack
26
Defence
47
Form
28
Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion
Attack
47
Defence
32
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Brooklyn
0
Draw
1
Birmingham Legion
23 Sep 2026 USL Championship 0–4

Group 1

# Team G Pts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 25 51
2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 25 43
3 Detroit City Detroit City 24 40
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 26 38
5 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 25 38
6 Louisville City Louisville City 25 36
7 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 24 33
8 Rhode Island Rhode Island 23 32
9 Miami FC Miami FC 25 27
10 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 25 23
11 Loudoun United Loudoun United 24 20
12 Brooklyn Brooklyn 25 18
13 Sporting JAX Sporting JAX 25 14

What's at stake · Group 1

Top 2 advance to the next round

Brooklyn Birmingham Legion
Current #12 #10
→ Brooklyn #11 #10
→ Draw #12 #10
→ Birmingham Legion #12 #10

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Brooklyn vs Birmingham Legion?
The model gives Brooklyn a 34% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Birmingham Legion win.
How many goals are expected in Brooklyn vs Birmingham Legion?
Expected goals: Brooklyn 0.9, Birmingham Legion 0.9 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 60%.
What is the most likely score in Brooklyn vs Birmingham Legion?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.49%.