The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave BSC Young Boys a 50% win probability (draw 25%, FC Lugano 24%). The final result was BSC Young Boys 1–1 FC Lugano. In 3 previous meetings, BSC Young Boys have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FC Lugano.
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
4
0.75
Actual xG
2.07
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
50.57%
BSC
25.21%
X ←
24.22%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.21%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
0.75
-1.03
0.87
2.07
+1.2
FC Lugano dominated by xG (2.07 vs 0.75).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of BSC Young Boys vs FC Lugano?
The final score was BSC Young Boys 1–1 FC Lugano.
What did the model predict before BSC Young Boys vs FC Lugano?
The model assigned 50% probability to a BSC Young Boys win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an FC Lugano win.