✓Model correct — prediction Bucaramanga
F. Sambueza
18'
F. Sambueza
(ast. K. Londono)
43'
B. Caicedo
(ast. E. Batalla)
83'
B. Caicedo
(ast. J. Salazar)
90'+3
J. Palma
90'+6
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bucaramanga a 61% win probability (draw 25%, Chico 13%). The final result was Bucaramanga 5–0 Chico. In 1 previous meetings, Bucaramanga have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chico.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
0
1.16
Actual xG
0.82
0
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
6
5
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
L. Pons
3'
⚽F. Sambueza
18'
25'
F. Hinestroza
30'
⚽F. Sambueza
· ast. K. Londono
43'
45'+3
I. Montano
F. Charrupi
/ L. Flores
46'
46'
S. Mera
/
I. Montano
A. Zarate
53'
56'
J. Diaz
57'
A. Gutierrez
/ I. Alba
62'
A. Zarate
/ G. Charrupi
62'
63'
O. Caicedo
/
D. A. Ramirez Raigosa
63'
N. Valencia
/
S. Salazar
67'
J. Quiceno
L. Pons
/ B. Caicedo
71'
74'
d. J. Diaz Montes J.
/
Y. Cabrera
F. Sambueza
/ J. Salazar
82'
⚽B. Caicedo
· ast. E. Batalla
83'
85'
A. Aedo
/
D. Ruiz
90'+3
A. Saldana
⚽B. Caicedo
· ast. J. Salazar
90'+3
⚽J. Palma
(og)
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
61.29%
Bucaramanga ←
25.28%
X
13.44%
Chico
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bucaramanga)
61.29%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.79
1.16
-0.63
0.50
0.82
+0.32
Bucaramanga dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.82).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
8
Freddy Hinestroza
D
Freddy Hinestroza
D
23
Carlos Romaña
D
Carlos Romaña
D
2
D
19
Aldair Gutiérrez
62'
D
Aldair Gutiérrez
62'
D
20
Aldair Zárate
62'
M
Aldair Zárate
62'
M
21
Felix Charrupí
45'
M
Felix Charrupí
45'
M
7
Kevin Londoño
1 👟
M
Kevin Londoño
1 👟
M
10
Fabián Sambueza
2 ⚽
82'
M
Fabián Sambueza
2 ⚽
82'
M
15
Emerson Batalla
1 👟
M
Emerson Batalla
1 👟
M
27
Luciano Pons
71'
F
Luciano Pons
71'
F
Bench
9
Brandon Caicedo
2 ⚽
27'
F
Brandon Caicedo
2 ⚽
27'
F
11
Fredy Salazar
1 👟
16'
F
Fredy Salazar
1 👟
16'
F
6
G. CharrupÃ
36'
F
G. CharrupÃ
36'
F
14
J. Mosquera
D
28
Leonardo Flores
53'
M
Leonardo Flores
53'
M
23
G
3
Juan Quiceno
D
Juan Quiceno
D
25
Sebastián Palma
1 ⚽
D
Sebastián Palma
1 ⚽
D
2
A. Saldana
D
29
D. Ruiz
85'
D
7
Italo Montaño Cortes
45'
M
Italo Montaño Cortes
45'
M
28
Juan Diaz
M
Juan Diaz
M
8
Sebastian Salazar
63'
M
Sebastian Salazar
63'
M
11
Delio Ramírez
63'
M
Delio Ramírez
63'
M
9
J. Molina
F
J. Molina
F
18
Yesus Cabrera
74'
F
Yesus Cabrera
74'
F
Bench
6
A. Aedo
13'
F
17
Oscar Caicedo
35'
M
16
Santiago Mera
53'
F
Santiago Mera
53'
F
13
Y. Martinez
M
Best on the pitch
Fabián Sambueza
M · Bucaramanga
10.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
Brandon Caicedo
F · Bucaramanga
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 4 pass
Emerson Batalla
M · Bucaramanga
8.00
1 👟
2 shots
· 24 pass
Leonardo Flores
M · Bucaramanga
7.70
1 shots
· 26 pass
Yesus Cabrera
F · Chico
7.00
1 shots
· 29 pass
Carlos Romaña
D · Bucaramanga
6.90
· 32 pass
Bucaramanga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| Freddy Hinestroza | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Carlos Romaña | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Aldair Gutiérrez | D | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Aldair Zárate | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Felix Charrupí | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Londoño | M | 98 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Fabián Sambueza | M | 82 | 10.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Emerson Batalla | M | 98 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano Pons | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Brandon Caicedo | F | 27 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Fredy Salazar | F | 16 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| G. Charrupà | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Flores | M | 53 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
Chico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| Juan Quiceno | D | 98 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Palma | D | 98 | 5.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Saldana | D | 98 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Ruiz | D | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Italo Montaño Cortes | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Juan Diaz | M | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastian Salazar | M | 63 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Delio Ramírez | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Molina | F | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Yesus Cabrera | F | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| A. Aedo | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Caicedo | M | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Mera | F | 53 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bucaramanga vs Chico?
The final score was Bucaramanga 5–0 Chico.
What did the model predict before Bucaramanga vs Chico?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Bucaramanga win, 25% to a draw, and 13% to an Chico win.