Skip to main content
← Liga BetPlay
#5 · 9 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#13 · 9 pts
Model wrong — prediction Bucaramanga, result Draw
E. Batalla (ast. L. Pons) 15'
13' (ast. M. B. Carabali Lopez) J. Peralta
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bucaramanga a 68% win probability (draw 19%, Cucuta 11%). The final result was Bucaramanga 1–1 Cucuta. In 1 previous meetings, Bucaramanga have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cucuta.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
7
9
Shots on target
2
1.71
Actual xG
1.30
1
Saves
8
64%
Possession
36%
3
Corners
1
14
Tackles
10
5
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
13'
ast. M. B. Carabali Lopez · J. Peralta
E. Batalla · ast. L. Pons
15'
20'
G. Torres
F. Sambueza
22'
C. Romana
27'
29'
(missed pen.) L. Berdugo
35'
V. Mejia
40'
M. B. Carabali Lopez
46'
Neneco / V. Mejia
53'
Y. Abonia / G. Torres
53'
S. Tamara
57'
E. M. Duarte Barajas
60'
B. Montano / M. B. Carabali Lopez
60'
L. Rios / L. Berdugo
F. Hinestroza
61'
Fabry / J. Salazar
66'
A. Gutierrez / F. Charrupi
67'
67'
S. Mayo / S. Tamara
F. Hinestroza / B. Caicedo
75'
76'
J. Peralta
L. Flores / A. Zarate
80'
90'+5
L. Pons
90'+8
J. Salazar
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
68.87%
Bucaramanga
19.6%
X ←
11.54%
Cucuta
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bucaramanga
1.96
1.71
-0.25
Cucuta
0.50
1.30
+0.8
Bucaramanga dominated by xG (1.71 vs 1.30). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 America de Cali America de Cali 5 13
2 Llaneros Llaneros 5 11
3 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 5 10
4 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4 9
5 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 5 9
6 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 4 8
7 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 4 7
8 Millonarios Millonarios 4 7
9 Once Caldas Once Caldas 5 6
10 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3 6
11 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 5
12 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 5 5
13 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 5 5
14 Cucuta Cucuta 5 5
15 Jaguares Jaguares 5 4
16 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 3 2
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 4 2
18 Junior Junior 3 1
19 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 5 0
20 Chico Chico 3 0
Lineups
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 5-4-1
25 Cristopher Fiermarín Cristopher Fiermarín G 7.50
8 F. Hinestroza F. Hinestroza 75' D 6.30
4 José García José García D 7.60
24 José Ortiz José Ortiz D 6.70
23 Carlos Romaña Carlos Romaña D 6.90
19 Aldair Gutiérrez Aldair Gutiérrez 67' D 6.70
17 E. Batalla E. Batalla 1 ⚽ M 8.30
10 F. Sambueza F. Sambueza M 7.30
28 Leonardo Flores Leonardo Flores 80' M 7.00
22 Fabry Castro Fabry Castro 67' M 6.30
27 L. Pons L. Pons 1 👟 F 6.30
Bench
5 Adrián Murillo Adrián Murillo F
20 Aldair Zárate Aldair Zárate 10' F 6.60
9 Brandon Caicedo Brandon Caicedo 15' F 6.30
12 Diego Novoa Diego Novoa G
21 Felix Charrupí Felix Charrupí 23' M 6.90
11 Fredy Salazar Fredy Salazar 23' F 6.30
30 Víctor Cantillo Víctor Cantillo M
Cucuta Cucuta 4-2-3-1
12 Federico Abadía Federico Abadía G 7.20
27 M. Duarte M. Duarte 56' D 5.20
17 L. Ochoa L. Ochoa D 6.60
3 D. Calcaterra D. Calcaterra D 6.70
33 Sebastián Tamara Sebastián Tamara 67' D 6.20
8 J. Ceballos J. Ceballos M 6.60
5 V. Mejía V. Mejía 45' M 6.60
21
60' M 6.90
10 L. Berdugo L. Berdugo 60' M 6.00
11 G. Torres G. Torres 53' M 6.50
9 J. Peralta J. Peralta 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
30 B. Montaño B. Montaño 30' D 6.60
2 Hernán Lópes Hernán Lópes D
32 Jhonatan Agudelo Jhonatan Agudelo F
1 Juan David Ramírez Juan David Ramírez G
29 Lucas Ríos Lucas Ríos 30' M 6.50
77 Neneco Neneco 45' M 7.50
23 Samir Mayo Samir Mayo 23' D 6.90
26 Y. Abonía Y. Abonía 37' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
E. Batalla
E. Batalla
M · Bucaramanga
8.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 27 pass
José García
José García
D · Bucaramanga
7.60
2 shots · 50 pass
Cristopher Fiermarín
Cristopher Fiermarín
G · Bucaramanga
7.50
· 24 pass
Neneco
Neneco
M · Cucuta
7.50
· 3 pass
J. Peralta
J. Peralta
F · Cucuta
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
F. Sambueza
F. Sambueza
M · Bucaramanga
7.30
6 shots · 38 pass
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Cristopher Fiermarín G 90 7.50 24 18%
F. Hinestroza D 75 6.30 1 31 21% 1
José García D 90 7.60 2 50 40% 3
José Ortiz D 90 6.70 58 51%
Carlos Romaña D 90 6.90 38 33% 6 1
Aldair Gutiérrez D 67 6.70 17 11%
E. Batalla M 90 8.30 1 4 27 17% 2
F. Sambueza M 90 7.30 6 38 32% 1 1
Leonardo Flores M 80 7.00 45 34% 1
Fabry Castro M 67 6.30 26 22%
L. Pons F 90 6.30 1 2 15 11% 1
Aldair Zárate F 10 6.60 1 15 12%
Brandon Caicedo F 15 6.30 1 2 1%
Felix Charrupí M 23 6.90 12 11%
Fredy Salazar F 23 6.30 2 13 13% 1 1
Cucuta Cucuta — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Federico Abadía G 90 7.20 30 8%
M. Duarte D 56 5.20 1 20 13% 1
L. Ochoa D 90 6.60 15 12% 1
D. Calcaterra D 90 6.70 18 15%
Sebastián Tamara D 67 6.20 32 22% 1
J. Ceballos M 90 6.60 35 28%
V. Mejía M 45 6.60 16 15% 3 1
M 60 6.90 12 11% 1 1
L. Berdugo M 60 6.00 3 20 15%
G. Torres M 53 6.50 1 4 3% 1
J. Peralta F 90 7.50 1 2 17 14% 3 1
B. Montaño D 30 6.60 2
Lucas Ríos M 30 6.50 6 3%
Neneco M 45 7.50 3 3%
Samir Mayo D 23 6.90 2 1% 2
Y. Abonía D 37 6.70 3 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bucaramanga vs Cucuta?
The final score was Bucaramanga 1–1 Cucuta.
What did the model predict before Bucaramanga vs Cucuta?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Bucaramanga win, 19% to a draw, and 11% to an Cucuta win.