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Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto

Liga BetPlay October 31, 2026 02:05 Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga
Bucaramanga
#2 · 20 pts
vs
Deportivo Pasto
#3 · 34 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
73.96%
Win
Bucaramanga
16.15%
Draw
9.89%
Win
Deportivo Pasto
2.26
Expected xG
0.53
Most likely outcome
Bucaramanga
73.96%
Probability
53.7%
1X2 accuracy · 41 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (15.78%)
1X2 Result
1 74%
X 16%
2 10%
Double Chance
1X 90%
X2 26%
12 84%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 49%
✓ 58.6% hit rate (29 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bucaramanga a 73% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Deportivo Pasto. Expected goals are 2.3 for Bucaramanga and 0.5 for Deportivo Pasto (total 2.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 15.78% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Bucaramanga have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Pasto.

Season Stats

Bucaramanga
6W 6D 3L
Deportivo Pasto
2W 2D 11L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
0.9
1.1
Conceded
1.8
4.1
Shots OT
3.5
2.9
Corners
4.7
46%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
53%
O 2.5
47%
67%
BTTS
47%
27%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga BetPlay. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Bucaramanga
3W 6D 1L · at home
Deportivo Pasto
2W 3D 5L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.2
0.9
Conceded
1.8
30%
Win %
20%
90%
Win or Draw
50%
90%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
50%
30%
O 3.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Bucaramanga Deportivo Pasto →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% — —
1 13.9% 7.3% 1.9% 0.3% — —
2 15.7% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 11.9% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% — —
4 6.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% — —
5 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
W Once Caldas 1–3
W Internacional de Bogota 2–0
D Independiente Medellin 2–2
W Deportivo Pereira 1–3
D Deportivo Cali 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
L Chico 3–0
W Once Caldas 1–0
W America de Cali 0–1
D Cucuta 2–2
L Deportivo Pereira 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
Attack
44
Defence
63
Form
63
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
Attack
30
Defence
66
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Bucaramanga
1
Draw
0
Deportivo Pasto
7 Feb 2026 Liga BetPlay 0–0

Clausura

# Team G Pts
1 America de Cali America de Cali 11 24
2 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 10 20
3 Millonarios Millonarios 12 20
4 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 9 19
5 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 9 19
6 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 10 18
7 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 10 17
8 Santa Fe Santa Fe 10 16
9 Llaneros Llaneros 10 14
10 Once Caldas Once Caldas 11 12
11 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 9 11
12 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 11 11
13 Chico Chico 10 11
14 Cucuta Cucuta 10 9
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 10 8
16 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 11 8
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 10 8
18 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 8 7
19 Jaguares Jaguares 9 7
20 Junior Junior 8 6

What's at stake · Clausura

Top 2 advance to the next round

Bucaramanga Deportivo Pasto
Current #2 #1
→ Bucaramanga #2 #16
→ Draw #2 #15
→ Deportivo Pasto #2 #14

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model gives Bucaramanga a 73% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 9% for an Deportivo Pasto win.
How many goals are expected in Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?
Expected goals: Bucaramanga 2.3, Deportivo Pasto 0.5 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.78%.