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Bucaramanga - Llaneros

Liga BetPlay July 31, 2026 03:00
#5 · 3 pts
vs
#6 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.64%
Win
Bucaramanga
27.39%
Draw
20.97%
Win
Llaneros
1.33
Expected xG
0.69
Most likely outcome
Bucaramanga
51.64%
Probability
71.4%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (18.21%)
1X2 Result ✓ 71.4% hit rate (14 picks)
1 52%
X 27%
2 21%
Double Chance
1X 79%
X2 48%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 43%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bucaramanga a 51% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Llaneros. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bucaramanga and 0.7 for Llaneros (total 2.0), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 18.21% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Bucaramanga have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Llaneros.

Season Stats

Bucaramanga
4W 5D 6L
Llaneros
3W 7D 5L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
0.8
1.1
Conceded
1.1
3.7
Shots OT
3.7
4.7
Corners
5.7
50%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
67%
47%
O 2.5
27%
40%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
33%
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga BetPlay. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
37%
BTTS
Bucaramanga
4W 4D 1L · at home
Llaneros
3W 3D 4L · away
2.1
gls/g
0.7
0.7
Conceded
1.1
44%
Win %
30%
89%
Win or Draw
60%
78%
O 1.5
70%
67%
O 2.5
20%
33%
O 3.5
0%
44%
BTTS
30%
56%
Clean Sht
40%
22%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Bucaramanga Llaneros →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3% 9.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
1 17.6% 12.2% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 11.7% 8.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
4 1.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

W Millonarios 0–1
L Fortaleza FC 2–1
D Jaguares 2–2
L Atletico Nacional 2–0
W Chico 5–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
W Deportivo Pereira 1–0
L Chico 3–0
D Alianza Valledupar 0–0
L Junior 2–0
D Deportivo Cali 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
Attack
34
Defence
69
Form
50
Llaneros Llaneros
Attack
31
Defence
69
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Bucaramanga
1
Draw
0
Llaneros
24 Jan 2026 Liga BetPlay 1–1

Primera Division: Clausura

What's at stake · Primera Division: Clausura

Top 2 advance to the next round

Bucaramanga Llaneros
Current #5 #6
Bucaramanga #1 #6
Draw #1 #2
Llaneros #6 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bucaramanga vs Llaneros?
The model gives Bucaramanga a 51% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 20% for an Llaneros win.
How many goals are expected in Bucaramanga vs Llaneros?
Expected goals: Bucaramanga 1.3, Llaneros 0.7 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Bucaramanga vs Llaneros?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.21%.