The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 35% win probability (draw 39%, Bucaramanga 24%). The final result was Bucaramanga 1–2 Santa Fe.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
5
0.96
Actual xG
0.80
60%
Possession
40%
3
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
24.52%
Bucaramanga
39.55%
X
35.93%
Santa ←
we assigned to the actual result (Santa Fe)
35.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.32
0.96
+0.64
0.92
0.80
-0.12
xG dominance was balanced (0.96 – 0.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
The final score was Bucaramanga 1–2 Santa Fe.
What did the model predict before Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Bucaramanga win, 39% to a draw, and 35% to an Santa Fe win.