✗Model wrong — prediction Bulgaria, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bulgaria a 62% win probability (draw 23%, Estonia 13%). The final result was Bulgaria 0–0 Estonia.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
6
19
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Dimitar Velkovski
9'
Borislav Tsonev
37'
45'
Mattias Männilaan
/
karel mustmaa
Borislav Tsonev
/ Asen Chandarov
45'
Zdravko Dimitrov
/ Kristiyan Balov
45'
Kristiyan Stoyanov
/ P. Panayotov
45'
48'
Maksim Paskotsi
58'
Martin Miller
/
Mattias Käit
58'
Kevor Palumets
/
Markus Soomets
Marin Plamenov·Petkov
/ Stanislav Ivanov
70'
Ivan Turitsov
/ Yoan Stoyanov
73'
74'
Frank Liivak
/
Robi Saarma
89'
Patrik Kristal
Kristian Dimitrov
89'
Pre-match prediction
62.35%
Bulgaria
23.93%
X ←
13.72%
Estonia
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.23
—
—
0.90
—
—
Lineups
1
D. Naumov
G
21
D. Velkovski
D
13
S. Velkov
D
S. Velkov
D
5
K. Dimitrov
D
19
I. Turitsov
73'
D
7
B. Tsonev
45'
M
22
K. Stoyanov
45'
M
4
I. Gruev
M
I. Gruev
M
10
Z. Dimitrov
45'
F
Z. Dimitrov
45'
F
20
L. Petkov
F
L. Petkov
F
16
M. Petkov
70'
F
M. Petkov
70'
F
Bench
23
A. Bozhev
G
14
A. Chandarov
45'
M
3
A. Hristov
D
8
A. Kraev
M
A. Kraev
M
12
D. Mitov
G
D. Mitov
G
6
E. Tsenov
D
E. Tsenov
D
15
H. Petrov
D
H. Petrov
D
18
K. Balov
45'
F
K. Balov
45'
F
17
M. Minchev
F
M. Minchev
F
11
P. Panayotov
45'
M
9
S. Ivanov
20'
F
2
Y. Stoyanov
17'
M
Y. Stoyanov
17'
M
1
K. Hein
G
K. Hein
G
19
M. Schjønning-Larsen
D
M. Schjønning-Larsen
D
18
K. Mets
D
K. Mets
D
5
E. Tõugjas
D
E. Tõugjas
D
3
Maksim Paskotsi
D
Maksim Paskotsi
D
7
R. Saarma
74'
D
R. Saarma
74'
D
20
M. Poom
M
M. Poom
M
8
M. Soomets
58'
M
M. Soomets
58'
M
4
M. Käit
58'
M
M. Käit
58'
M
9
Karel Mustmaa
45'
F
Karel Mustmaa
45'
F
14
P. Kristal
F
P. Kristal
F
Bench
23
F. Liivak
16'
M
F. Liivak
16'
M
13
J. Saliste
D
J. Saliste
D
16
J. Tamm
D
J. Tamm
D
10
K. Palumets
32'
M
K. Palumets
32'
M
22
K. Vallner
G
K. Vallner
G
11
M. Ainsalu
M
M. Ainsalu
M
12
M. Igonen
G
M. Igonen
G
2
M. Kuusk
D
M. Kuusk
D
21
M. Männilaan
45'
F
M. Männilaan
45'
F
17
M. Miller
32'
M
M. Miller
32'
M
15
M. Skvortsov
M
M. Skvortsov
M
6
R. Peetson
D
R. Peetson
D
Best on the pitch
P. Panayotov
M · Bulgaria
7.08
2 shots
· 31 pass
K. Hein
G · Estonia
7.02
· 37 pass
S. Velkov
D · Bulgaria
6.95
2 shots
· 58 pass
D. Naumov
G · Bulgaria
6.91
· 22 pass
I. Turitsov
D · Bulgaria
6.90
1 shots
· 44 pass
E. Tõugjas
D · Estonia
6.89
· 40 pass
Bulgaria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Naumov | G | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Velkovski | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 49% | 4 | 1 | — |
| S. Velkov | D | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Dimitrov | D | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 48% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Turitsov | D | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Tsonev | M | 45 | 6.07 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 0 | 1 | — |
| K. Stoyanov | M | 45 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Gruev | M | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Z. Dimitrov | F | 45 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Petkov | F | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Petkov | F | 70 | 6.72 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Chandarov | M | 45 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Balov | F | 45 | 6.85 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Panayotov | M | 45 | 7.08 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ivanov | F | 20 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Stoyanov | M | 17 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
Estonia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hein | G | 90 | 7.02 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Schjønning-Larsen | D | 90 | 6.16 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Mets | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Tõugjas | D | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Maksim Paskotsi | D | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | 4 | 1 | — |
| R. Saarma | D | 74 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Poom | M | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Soomets | M | 58 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Käit | M | 58 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Karel Mustmaa | F | 45 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Kristal | F | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| F. Liivak | M | 16 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Palumets | M | 32 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Männilaan | F | 45 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Miller | M | 32 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bulgaria vs Estonia?
The final score was Bulgaria 0–0 Estonia.
What did the model predict before Bulgaria vs Estonia?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Bulgaria win, 23% to a draw, and 13% to an Estonia win.