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#3 · 4 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#4 · 3 pts
Asen Chandarov (ast. Dimitar Velkovski) 18'
37' Leandro Barreiro
65' Vincent Thill
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bulgaria a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Luxembourg 23%). The final result was Bulgaria 1–2 Luxembourg. In 3 previous meetings, Bulgaria have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Luxembourg.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
15
7
Shots on target
7
5
Saves
6
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
4
22
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Asen Chandarov · ast. Dimitar Velkovski
18'
Lukas Petkov
28'
Emil Tsenov
35'
37'
Leandro Barreiro⚽
45'+2
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
45'
Timothé Rupil / Danel Sinani ↕
↕ Georgi Rusev / Stanislav Ivanov
45'
↕ Asen Chandarov / Martin Minchev
56'
65'
Vincent Thill⚽
↕ Emil Tsenov / P. Panayotov
68'
↕ Zdravko Dimitrov / Marin Plamenov·Petkov
68'
72'
Mathias Olesen / Vincent Thill ↕
↕ Teodor·Valentinov Ivanov / Stefan Velkov
82'
83'
Dirk Carlson
83'
Sebastien Thill / Hamza Kadamani ↕
83'
jayson videira / Aiman Dardari ↕
90'+1
Miguel Fernandes Goncalves / J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz ↕
Pre-match prediction
49.98%
Bulgaria
26.2%
X
23.82%
Luxembourg ←
we assigned to the actual result (Luxembourg) 23.82% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bulgaria
1.54
—
—
Luxembourg
0.91
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Iceland Iceland 4 8
2 Estonia Estonia 4 6
3 Bulgaria Bulgaria 4 4
4 Luxembourg Luxembourg 4 3
Lineups
Bulgaria Bulgaria 4-2-3-1
1
D. Naumov G 6.74
21
D. Velkovski 1 👟 D 7.08
15
T. Ivanov 82' D 6.15
5
K. Dimitrov D 6.10
19
I. Turitsov D 6.79
4 I. Gruev I. Gruev M 6.88
6 E. Tsenov E. Tsenov 68' M 5.93
10 Z. Dimitrov Z. Dimitrov 68' M 6.50
14
A. Chandarov 1 ⚽ 56' M 7.48
11
G. Rusev 45' M 6.68
20 L. Petkov L. Petkov F 5.80
Bench
23
A. Bozhev G 0.00
3
A. Hristov D 0.00
8 A. Kraev A. Kraev M 0.00
12 D. Mitov D. Mitov G 0.00
18 K. Balov K. Balov F 0.00
22
K. Stoyanov M 0.00
17 M. Minchev M. Minchev 34' F 6.75
16 M. Petkov M. Petkov 22' F 6.46
7
P. Panayotov 22' M 6.11
9
S. Ivanov 45' F 6.32
13 S. Velkov S. Velkov 8' D 6.30
2 Y. Stoyanov Y. Stoyanov M 0.00
Luxembourg Luxembourg 4-2-3-1
1 A. Moris A. Moris G 7.92
4 F. Bohnert F. Bohnert D 5.82
13 D. Carlson D. Carlson D 6.40
3
E. Mahmutović D 6.67
18 Laurent Jans Laurent Jans D 6.86
16 L. Barreiro L. Barreiro 1 ⚽ M 7.88
6 J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz 89' M 6.09
7 Aiman Dardari Aiman Dardari 83' M 5.92
10 D. Sinani D. Sinani 45' M 6.17
11 V. Thill V. Thill 1 ⚽ 72' M 7.64
17 H. Kadamani H. Kadamani 83' F 6.29
Bench
2 E. Džogović E. Džogović D 0.00
14 E. Veiga E. Veiga D 0.00
9 Jayson Videira Pereira Jayson Videira Pereira 7' F 6.52
23 L. Fox L. Fox G 0.00
8 M. Goncalves M. Goncalves 1' M 0.00
22 M. Martins M. Martins D 0.00
19 M. Olesen M. Olesen 18' M 6.26
15 Omar Natami Omar Natami F 0.00
21 S. Thill S. Thill 7' M 6.23
12 T. Pereira Cardoso T. Pereira Cardoso G 0.00
20 T. Rupil T. Rupil 45' M 6.46
5
V. Selimović D 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Moris
A. Moris
G · Luxembourg
7.92
· 38 pass
L. Barreiro
L. Barreiro
M · Luxembourg
7.88
1 ⚽
2 shots · 46 pass
V. Thill
V. Thill
M · Luxembourg
7.64
1 ⚽
3 shots · 29 pass
A. Chandarov
M · Bulgaria
7.48
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
D. Velkovski
D · Bulgaria
7.08
1 👟
1 shots · 48 pass
I. Gruev
I. Gruev
M · Bulgaria
6.88
· 64 pass
Bulgaria Bulgaria — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Naumov G 90 6.74 — — 0 34 22% 0 — —
D. Velkovski D 90 7.08 — 1 1 48 39% 4 — —
T. Ivanov D 82 6.15 — — 0 50 46% 0 — —
K. Dimitrov D 90 6.10 — — 1 52 44% 1 — —
I. Turitsov D 90 6.79 — — 0 37 33% 4 — —
I. Gruev M 90 6.88 — — 0 64 59% 1 — —
E. Tsenov M 68 5.93 — — 1 16 14% 0 1 —
Z. Dimitrov M 68 6.50 — — 2 11 10% 1 — —
A. Chandarov M 56 7.48 1 — 2 10 7% 1 — —
G. Rusev M 45 6.68 — — 0 12 8% 2 — —
L. Petkov F 90 5.80 — — 1 29 18% 2 1 —
M. Minchev F 34 6.75 — — 2 9 6% 2 — —
M. Petkov F 22 6.46 — — 0 13 13% 1 — —
P. Panayotov M 22 6.11 — — 0 10 7% 1 — —
S. Ivanov F 45 6.32 — — 0 9 7% 2 — —
S. Velkov D 8 6.30 — — 0 10 9% 0 — —
Luxembourg Luxembourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Moris G 90 7.92 — — 0 38 28% 0 — —
F. Bohnert D 90 5.82 — — 1 42 35% 1 — —
D. Carlson D 90 6.40 — — 0 59 51% 0 1 —
E. Mahmutović D 90 6.67 — — 1 58 53% 0 — —
Laurent Jans D 90 6.86 — — 0 30 24% 1 — —
L. Barreiro M 90 7.88 1 — 2 46 38% 1 — —
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz M 89 6.09 — — 1 48 39% 1 1 —
Aiman Dardari M 83 5.92 — — 1 13 10% 0 — —
D. Sinani M 45 6.17 — — 3 13 10% 0 — —
V. Thill M 72 7.64 1 — 3 29 24% 2 — —
H. Kadamani F 83 6.29 — — 2 21 17% 3 — —
Jayson Videira Pereira F 7 6.52 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
M. Goncalves M 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
M. Olesen M 18 6.26 — — 0 12 10% 0 — —
S. Thill M 7 6.23 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
T. Rupil M 45 6.46 — — 1 9 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bulgaria vs Luxembourg?
The final score was Bulgaria 1–2 Luxembourg.
What did the model predict before Bulgaria vs Luxembourg?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Bulgaria win, 26% to a draw, and 23% to an Luxembourg win.