✗Model wrong — prediction Burgos, result Draw
M. Gonzalez
(ast. M. Exposito)
31'
22'
(ast. K. Kone)
A. Bassinga
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Burgos a 54% win probability (draw 27%, AD Ceuta FC 18%). The final result was Burgos 1–1 AD Ceuta FC. In 2 previous meetings, Burgos have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AD Ceuta FC.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
3
3
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
8
Corners
3
21
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
22'
ast. K. Kone ·
A. Bassinga⚽
⚽M. Gonzalez
· ast. M. Exposito
31'
Marcelo Expósito
45'+1
M. Exposito
/ P. Galdames
46'
46'
K. Zalazar
/
M. Sanchez
46'
A. Ahmed
/
A. Bassinga
F. Garcia
/ D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
63'
Oier Luengo
68'
I. Cordoba
/ Curro
71'
M. Gonzalez
/ K. Appin
71'
73'
Youness Lachhab
B. Martinez
/ F. Miguel
81'
81'
K. de la Fuente
/
K. Kone
81'
Y. Bodiger
/
Youness
88'
J. Campana
/
M. Illescas
90'
Aisar Ahmed
Pre-match prediction
54.93%
Burgos
27.01%
X ←
18.07%
AD
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
—
—
0.80
—
—
Lineups
13
G
22
B. Martinez
81'
D
28
D
3
Oier Luengo
D
15
D
21
Iñigo Córdoba
71'
M
Iñigo Córdoba
71'
M
23
M
33
Marcelo Expósito
1 👟
45'
M
31
F. Garcia
63'
M
20
Mario González
1 ⚽
71'
F
Mario González
1 ⚽
71'
F
11
Víctor Mollejo
F
Víctor Mollejo
F
Bench
2
A. Lizancos
D
16
Curro Sánchez
19'
M
Curro Sánchez
19'
M
14
David González
27'
M
David González
27'
M
8
G. Sierra
D
10
K. Appin
19'
M
4
P. Galdames
45'
M
13
G
15
D. Gonzalez
D
6
C. Hernandez
D
4
D
3
Matos Jose
M
12
M. Illescas
88'
M
5
Y. Didi
81'
M
Y. Didi
81'
M
2
M. Sanchez
45'
M
22
K. Koné
1 👟
81'
F
K. Koné
1 👟
81'
F
26
Aboubacar Bassinga
1 ⚽
45'
F
9
Marcos Fernández
F
Marcos Fernández
F
Bench
7
Aisar Ahmed
45'
M
16
C. Redruello Nimo
D
17
G. Almenara
D
20
J. Campana
8'
M
18
Konrad de la Fuente
9'
F
Konrad de la Fuente
9'
F
8
K. Zalazar
45'
F
1
Pedro López
G
24
Yago Cantero
D
Yago Cantero
D
14
Y. Bodiger
9'
M
Best on the pitch
M · Burgos
8.20
· 56 pass
K. Koné
F · AD
7.90
1 👟
· 27 pass
Y. Didi
M · AD
7.30
1 shots
· 71 pass
Aboubacar Bassinga
F · AD
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
M. Illescas
M · AD
7.20
1 shots
· 69 pass
Mario González
F · Burgos
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Burgos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| B. Martinez | D | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 47% | 3 | — | — | |
| Oier Luengo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — | |
| Iñigo Córdoba | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 2 | — | — | |
| Marcelo Expósito | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Garcia | M | 63 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Mario González | F | 71 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Víctor Mollejo | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Curro Sánchez | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| David González | M | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| K. Appin | M | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| P. Galdames | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
AD Ceuta FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| D. Gonzalez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Hernandez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 3 | — | — | |
| Matos Jose | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Illescas | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Didi | M | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 63% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Sanchez | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Koné | F | 81 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Aboubacar Bassinga | F | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Fernández | F | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Aisar Ahmed | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Campana | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Konrad de la Fuente | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| K. Zalazar | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Bodiger | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?
The final score was Burgos 1–1 AD Ceuta FC.
What did the model predict before Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Burgos win, 27% to a draw, and 18% to an AD Ceuta FC win.