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Burgos - Athletic Club

Friendlies Clubs August 01, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.12%
Win
Burgos
32.64%
Draw
33.24%
Win
Athletic Club
1.59
Expected xG
1.47

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.84%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 66%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Burgos a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Athletic Club. Expected goals are 1.6 for Burgos and 1.5 for Athletic Club (total 3.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.84% probability.

Season Stats

Burgos
2W 0D 0L
Athletic Club
4W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
4.2
0.0
Conceded
0.4
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
80%
0%
BTTS
20%
100%
Clean Sht
80%
Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Burgos
1W 0D 0L · at home
Athletic Club
4W 0D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
4.8
0.0
Conceded
0.0
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
75%
0%
O 3.5
25%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Burgos Athletic Club →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7% 6.9% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.5% 11.0% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.7% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.6% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

W Unionistas de Salamanca 0–1
W Real Sociedad II 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
W Racing Santander 0–3
D Eibar 2–2
W Sestao River 0–2
W Leioa 0–11
W Derio 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Burgos Burgos
Attack
50
Defence
100
Form
85
Athletic Club Athletic Club
Attack
68
Defence
87
Form
81
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Burgos vs Athletic Club?
The model gives Burgos a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Athletic Club win.
How many goals are expected in Burgos vs Athletic Club?
Expected goals: Burgos 1.6, Athletic Club 1.5 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Burgos vs Athletic Club?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.84%.