79'
(ast. Lin Liangming)
Fabio Abreu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Beijing Guoan a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Buriram United 33%). The final result was Buriram United 0–1 Beijing Guoan.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
1
1.07
Actual xG
0.70
0
Saves
3
65%
Possession
35%
2
Corners
7
6
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Paulinho
31'
57'
Bai Yang
60'
Lin Liangming
/
Zhang Xizhe
60'
Fabio Abreu
/
Chadrac Akolo
60'
Sai Erjini'ao
/
Jeremy Dudziak
Lucas Ahijado
/ Kingsley Schindler
64'
Supachai Chaided
/ Stefan Schimmer
72'
Paulinho
/ Thanakrit Chotmuangpak
72'
73'
Guilherme Ramos
79'
ast. Lin Liangming ·
Fabio Abreu⚽
84'
Yang Liyu
/
Yue Tze-Nam
Wanderson de Jesus Martins
/ Sasalak Haiprakhon
85'
Toni Moya
/ Alexandru Tudorie
85'
90'+1
Sai Erjini'ao
Pre-match prediction
33.45%
Buriram
28.14%
X
38.41%
Beijing ←
we assigned to the actual result (Beijing Guoan)
38.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
1.07
-0.43
2.02
0.70
-1.32
Buriram United dominated by xG (1.07 vs 0.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
N. Etheridge
G
N. Etheridge
G
31
Caju
85'
F
Caju
85'
F
6
C. Good
D
C. Good
D
5
Nathan
D
Nathan
D
17
Lucas Ahijado
64'
D
Lucas Ahijado
64'
D
27
P. Sookjitthammakul
M
P. Sookjitthammakul
M
20
Toni Moya
85'
M
Toni Moya
85'
M
10
Sebas Moyano
F
Sebas Moyano
F
8
72'
M
9
S. Chaided
72'
F
S. Chaided
72'
F
7
Bissoli
F
Bissoli
F
Bench
99
A. Tudorie
5'
F
A. Tudorie
5'
F
34
C. Bootprom
G
C. Bootprom
G
40
Eduardo Mancha
D
Eduardo Mancha
D
19
K. Schindler
26'
F
K. Schindler
26'
F
2
S. Haiprakhon
5'
D
S. Haiprakhon
5'
D
30
S. Schimmer
18'
F
S. Schimmer
18'
F
55
T. Bunmathan
D
T. Bunmathan
D
33
T. Chotmuangpak
18'
M
T. Chotmuangpak
18'
M
18
V. Savićević
M
V. Savićević
M
34
Hou Sen
G
Hou Sen
G
26
Bai Yang
D
Bai Yang
D
5
Guilherme Ramos
D
Guilherme Ramos
D
27
Wang Gang
D
Wang Gang
D
21
Yue Tze Nam
84'
D
Yue Tze Nam
84'
D
10
Zhang Xizhe
60'
M
Zhang Xizhe
60'
M
23
Dawhan
M
Dawhan
M
8
A. Konte
M
A. Konte
M
28
J. Dudziak
60'
D
J. Dudziak
60'
D
77
C. Akolo
60'
F
C. Akolo
60'
F
20
B. Nkololo
F
B. Nkololo
F
Bench
24
Abduhamit Abdugheni
D
Abduhamit Abdugheni
D
6
Chi Zhongguo
M
Chi Zhongguo
M
29
Fábio Abreu
1 ⚽
30'
F
Fábio Abreu
1 ⚽
30'
F
30
Fan Shuangjie
D
Fan Shuangjie
D
22
Han Jiaqi
G
Han Jiaqi
G
47
Jiefu Deng
D
Jiefu Deng
D
4
Li Lei
D
Li Lei
D
11
Lin Liangming
1 👟
30'
F
Lin Liangming
1 👟
30'
F
31
Liu Shaoziyang
G
Liu Shaoziyang
G
7
Serginho
30'
M
Serginho
30'
M
17
Yang Liyu
6'
F
Yang Liyu
6'
F
Best on the pitch
Fábio Abreu
F · Beijing
8.10
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
Wang Gang
D · Beijing
7.56
· 58 pass
Lin Liangming
F · Beijing
7.42
1 👟
· 7 pass
Hou Sen
G · Beijing
7.28
· 39 pass
Toni Moya
M · Buriram
7.19
3 shots
· 36 pass
Nathan
D · Buriram
7.16
· 58 pass
Buriram United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Etheridge | G | 90 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Caju | F | 85 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Good | D | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 49% | 0 | — | — |
| Nathan | D | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 0 | 58 | 49% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucas Ahijado | D | 64 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Sookjitthammakul | M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| Toni Moya | M | 85 | 7.19 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| Sebas Moyano | F | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 4 | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 72 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 33% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| S. Chaided | F | 72 | 6.41 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Bissoli | F | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 6 | 22 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Tudorie | F | 5 | 6.18 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Schindler | F | 26 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Haiprakhon | D | 5 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Schimmer | F | 18 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Chotmuangpak | M | 18 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Beijing Guoan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hou Sen | G | 90 | 7.28 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| Bai Yang | D | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Guilherme Ramos | D | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 60% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wang Gang | D | 90 | 7.56 | — | — | 0 | 58 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Yue Tze Nam | D | 84 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Zhang Xizhe | M | 60 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Dawhan | M | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Konte | M | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Dudziak | D | 60 | 7.09 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Akolo | F | 60 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Nkololo | F | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Fábio Abreu | F | 30 | 8.10 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Lin Liangming | F | 30 | 7.42 | — | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Serginho | M | 30 | 7.11 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Yang Liyu | F | 6 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan?
The final score was Buriram United 0–1 Beijing Guoan.
What did the model predict before Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Buriram United win, 28% to a draw, and 38% to an Beijing Guoan win.