Buriram United - Kashima
AFC Champions League
November 04, 2026 13:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.75%
Win
Buriram United
29.21%
Draw
39.04%
Win
Kashima
0.99
1.33
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.19%)
1X2 Result
1
32%
X
29%
2
39%
Double Chance
1X
61%
X2
68%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
49%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kashima a 39% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Buriram United. Expected goals are 1.0 for Buriram United and 1.3 for Kashima (total 2.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.19% probability.
Season Stats
4W
6D
4L
3W
0D
0L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
3.7
1.1
Conceded
0.3
3.3
Shots OT
5.7
2.8
Corners
2.7
48%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
71%
O 1.5
67%
36%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
33%
36%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ
Based on the last 14 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
22%
BTTS
3W
2D
2L
· at home
1W
0D
0L
· away
1.4
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
0.0
43%
Win %
100%
71%
Win or Draw
100%
71%
O 1.5
0%
43%
O 2.5
0%
29%
O 3.5
0%
43%
BTTS
0%
43%
Clean Sht
100%
29%
Failed to Score
0%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Buriram United
Kashima →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.9% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Buriram United
Attack
35
Defence
63
Form
49
Kashima
Attack
52
Defence
69
Form
70
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
East Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kashima
|
3 | 9 |
| 2 |
Vissel Kobe
|
3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Gamba Osaka
|
3 | 7 |
| 4 |
Johor Darul Takzim FC
|
3 | 7 |
| 5 |
Beijing Guoan
|
3 | 7 |
| 6 |
Kyoto Sanga
|
3 | 6 |
| 7 |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
3 | 4 |
| 8 |
SHANGHAI SIPG
|
3 | 4 |
| 9 |
Daejeon Citizen
|
3 | 4 |
| 10 |
Jeonbuk Motors
|
3 | 4 |
| 11 |
Công An Nhân Dân
|
3 | 3 |
| 12 |
Buriram United
|
3 | 2 |
| 13 |
Ratchaburi
|
3 | 1 |
| 14 |
Pohang Steelers
|
3 | 0 |
| 15 |
Port FC
|
3 | 0 |
| 16 |
Newcastle Jets
|
3 | 0 |
What's at stake · East Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #12 | #1 |
| → Buriram United | #7 | #1 |
| → Draw | #11 | #1 |
| → Kashima | #12 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Buriram United vs Kashima?
The model gives Buriram United a 31% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 39% for an Kashima win.
How many goals are expected in Buriram United vs Kashima?
Expected goals: Buriram United 1.0, Kashima 1.3 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Buriram United vs Kashima?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.19%.