Buriram United 2–3 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — pre-match prediction — AFC Champions League — April 18, 2026

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AFC Champions League · Quarter-finals April 18, 2026 18:15

Buriram United

#4 · 14 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

#6 · 11 pts

Bissoli 64' (pen.)

P. Zulj 70'

(og) 13' P. Zulj

49' (ast. Renan) S. Ezatolahi

93' Renan

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shabab Al Ahli Dubai a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Buriram United 33%). The final result was Buriram United 2–3 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.37

Actual xG

1.89

Saves

53%

Possession

47%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

13'

(og) P. Zulj⚽

↕ E. Toku / S. Walsh

46'

49'

ast. Renan · S. Ezatolahi⚽

K. Dougall

52'

56'

Breno

⚽Bissoli (pen.)

64'

⚽P. Zulj

70'

74'

S. Adil / Mateusao ↕

79'

D. Garcia / Breno ↕

P. Zulj

81'

83'

R. Al Menhali

88'

M. Al Mansouri / F. Cartabia ↕

S. Walsh

90'+2

90'

Mateus Henrique / I. Gomes ↕

93'

Renan⚽

↕ S. Jaided / S. Haiprakon

99'

C. Good

102'

106'

E. Al Nuaimi / S. Ezatolahi ↕

↕ S. Walsh / T. Bunmathan

112'

113'

Thiago / Yuri Cesar ↕

G. Causic

116'

Ko Myeong-Seok

120'+4

Pre-match prediction

33.49%

Buriram

32.24%

34.27%

Shabab ←

we assigned to the actual result (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai) 34.27% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Buriram

1.20

1.37

+0.17

Shabab

1.42

1.89

+0.47

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai dominated by xG (1.89 vs 1.37). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	8	17
1	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	8	22
2	Al-Ahli Jeddah	8	17
2	Vissel Kobe	8	16
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	8	15
3	Tractor Sazi	8	17
4	Buriram United	8	14
4	Al-Ittihad FC	8	15
5	Melbourne City	8	14
5	Al Wahda FC	8	14
6	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	8	11
6	Johor Darul Takzim FC	8	11
7	FC Seoul	8	10
7	Al-Duhail SC	8	8
8	Al Sadd	8	8
8	Gangwon FC	8	9
9	Ulsan Hyundai FC	8	9
9	Sharjah FC	8	8
10	Chengdu Better City	8	6
10	Al-Gharafa	8	6
11	Shanghai Shenhua	8	4
11	Al Shorta	8	5
12	Nasaf	8	4
12	SHANGHAI SIPG	8	4

Lineups

Buriram United 4-1-4-1

N. Etheridge G 5.90

D 5.90

C. Good D 6.60

Ko Myeong-Seok D 6.30

D 5.90

K. Dougall M 6.30

S. Jaided M 6.20

G. Čaušić M 6.90

P. Žulj 2 ⚽ M 7.20

E. Toku 45' M 6.60

Bissoli 1 ⚽ F 7.00

Bench

P. Sukjitthammakul M

S. Walsh 67' D 6.30

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 4-2-3-1

H. Al Meqebaali G 6.60

I. Gomes D 7.20

Renan 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 7.90

B. Planic D 6.50

Kauan Santos D 6.70

Breno Cascardo 79' M 6.20

S. Ezatolahi 1 ⚽ M 6.90

Yuri Cesar M 6.00

F. Cartabia 88' M 7.30

Guilherme Bala M 7.60

Mateusao 74' F 6.60

Bench

Mateus Henrique 30' D 6.90

R. Al Menhali G

S. Adil 46' F 6.90

Best on the pitch

Renan

D · Shabab

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 54 pass

Guilherme Bala

M · Shabab

7.60

3 shots · 28 pass

F. Cartabia

M · Shabab

7.30

3 shots · 27 pass

I. Gomes

D · Shabab

7.20

1 shots · 40 pass

P. Žulj

M · Buriram

7.20

2 ⚽

1 shots · 39 pass

Bissoli

F · Buriram

7.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 23 pass

Buriram United — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Etheridge	G	120	5.90	—	—	—	32	20%	—	—	—
	D	120	5.90	—	—	2	50	39%	1	—	—
C. Good	D	120	6.60	—	—	—	59	53%	—	1	—
Ko Myeong-Seok	D	120	6.30	—	—	2	60	55%	2	—	1
	D	120	5.90	—	—	—	35	28%	—	—	—
K. Dougall	M	120	6.30	—	—	1	47	39%	3	1	—
S. Jaided	M	99	6.20	—	—	1	25	17%	1	—	—
G. Čaušić	M	120	6.90	—	—	—	51	42%	—	1	—
P. Žulj	M	120	7.20	2	—	1	39	32%	—	1	—
E. Toku	M	45	6.60	—	—	—	15	14%	—	—	—
Bissoli	F	120	7.00	1	—	2	23	19%	—	—	—
S. Walsh	D	67	6.30	—	—	—	35	31%	2	1	—

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
H. Al Meqebaali	G	120	6.60	—	—	—	34	17%	—	—	—
I. Gomes	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	40	30%	4	—	—
Renan	D	120	7.90	1	1	2	54	41%	1	—	—
B. Planic	D	120	6.50	—	—	1	46	43%	1	—	—
Kauan Santos	D	120	6.70	—	—	—	53	46%	1	—	—
Breno Cascardo	M	79	6.20	—	—	—	23	22%	1	1	—
S. Ezatolahi	M	105	6.90	1	—	1	40	31%	1	—	—
Yuri Cesar	M	113	6.00	—	—	2	33	23%	—	—	—
F. Cartabia	M	88	7.30	—	—	3	27	26%	1	—	—
Guilherme Bala	M	120	7.60	—	—	3	28	24%	—	—	—
Mateusao	F	74	6.60	—	—	—	13	7%	1	—	—
Mateus Henrique	D	30	6.90	—	—	—	7	4%	—	—	—
S. Adil	F	46	6.90	—	—	1	12	6%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?

The final score was Buriram United 2–3 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.

What did the model predict before Buriram United vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?

The model assigned 33% probability to a Buriram United win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win.