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Burkina Faso - Benin

Africa Cup of Nations - Qual. September 25, 2026 21:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
67.27%
Win
Burkina Faso
21.35%
Draw
11.38%
Win
Benin
2.04
Expected xG
0.68
Most likely outcome
Burkina Faso
67.27%
Probability

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (13.67%)
1X2 Result
1 67%
X 21%
2 11%
Double Chance
1X 89%
X2 33%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Burkina Faso a 67% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Benin. Expected goals are 2.0 for Burkina Faso and 0.7 for Benin (total 2.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 13.67% probability.

Season Stats

Burkina Faso
2W 0D 2L
Benin
1W 0D 3L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.5
1.2
Conceded
1.8
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
25%
BTTS
25%
25%
Clean Sht
25%
Based on the last 4 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Burkina Faso
1W 0D 0L · at home
Benin
0W 0D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.5
1.0
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Burkina Faso Benin →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.4% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
2 13.7% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
3 9.3% 6.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
5 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

No data available
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso
Attack
36
Defence
65
Form
46
Benin Benin
Attack
21
Defence
60
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Burkina Faso vs Benin?
The model gives Burkina Faso a 67% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 11% for an Benin win.
How many goals are expected in Burkina Faso vs Benin?
Expected goals: Burkina Faso 2.0, Benin 0.7 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Burkina Faso vs Benin?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.67%.